Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Wycombe Wanderers v Stevenage

Inicio: 2026-08-07 18:45 UTC

Final: Wycombe Wanderers 1–2 Stevenage

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Wycombe Wanderers (Local)

Predicción 41.97%2.38momio equitativo
EV -2.63%
Ventaja -1.13%
Kelly -1.99%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.32

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.66%41.94%41.95%43.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.072.212.232.3248.31%45.20%44.84%43.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Stevenage (Visitante)

Predicción 29.31%3.41momio equitativo
EV +0.547%
Ventaja +0.159%
Kelly +0.225%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.78%29.31%29.23%31.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.883.113.103.4334.72%32.17%32.26%29.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 28.72%3.48momio equitativo
EV -1.21%
Ventaja -0.353%
Kelly -0.498%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.44

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.25%28.74%28.82%30.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.233.253.4433.33%30.99%30.77%29.07%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Wycombe Wanderers (Local): 41.97%; Stevenage (Visitante): 29.31%; Empate: 28.72%. Para Stevenage (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.41. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.43, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.547%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.35%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.78%EV +0.547%E +0.159%K +0.225%G +0.001%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.87%EV -8.39%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 18:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.74%EV -8.51%E -3.90%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.55%EV -2.09%E -0.626%K -0.894%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.72%EV -1.21%E -0.353%K -0.498%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 18:05
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.67%E -3.48%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.26%E -0.989%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 18:30
SportsBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -8.51%E -3.90%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -3.26%E -0.989%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 18:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -9.77%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -3.26%E -0.989%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-07 18:35
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 18:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.94%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 18:25
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -3.47%E -1.51%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 18:40
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 09:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 09:45
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 09:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 09:44
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 09:44
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.67%E -3.48%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 07:06
1xBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.67%E -3.48%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 18:30
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.67%E -3.48%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 18:25
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -11.86%E -5.65%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-07 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -11.86%E -5.65%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-07 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.00%EV -8.51%E -3.90%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -7.66%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.25%EV -1.21%E -0.353%K -0.498%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 18:40
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.32%EV -8.51%E -3.90%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.66%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 05:44
NetBet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.81%EV -13.12%E -6.34%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.13%EV -7.66%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.06%EV -12.41%E -4.07%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-07 18:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.75%EV -3.89%E -1.70%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.91%EV -8.54%E -2.74%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.34%EV -8.68%E -2.73%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-07 18:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -2.36%E -0.695%K -0.985%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 18:40
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -2.36%E -0.695%K -0.985%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 18:40
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-07 18:40
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-07 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-07 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-07 18:40
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.77%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-07 18:30
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -11.86%E -5.65%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-07 18:30
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -7.67%E -3.48%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -10.59%E -3.47%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-07 18:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.07%EV -9.77%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -10.59%E -3.47%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-07 18:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.07%EV -9.77%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -10.59%E -3.47%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-07 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -6.41%E -2.87%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 18:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -6.41%E -2.87%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 18:15
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -6.41%E -2.87%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 18:15
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -6.41%E -2.87%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 18:15
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -6.41%E -2.87%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 18:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -6.41%E -2.87%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 18:15
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -6.41%E -2.87%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 18:15
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -6.41%E -2.87%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 18:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -6.41%E -2.87%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 18:15
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -6.41%E -2.87%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 18:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -6.41%E -2.87%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 18:15
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-07 18:40
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.76%EV -2.63%E -1.13%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.95%EV -12.64%E -4.24%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -9.54%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 18:40
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -4.31%E -1.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -14.99%E -5.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-07 18:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.17%EV -9.77%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.73%EV -15.58%E -5.41%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.10%EV -9.54%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-07 18:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.17%EV -9.77%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.73%EV -15.58%E -5.41%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.10%EV -9.54%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-07 18:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.17%EV -9.77%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.73%EV -15.58%E -5.41%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.10%EV -9.54%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-07 18:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.23%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.89%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.89%0.3%2026-08-07 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.82%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%0.7%2026-08-07 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.66%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.60%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.74%0.9%2026-08-07 18:40
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.66%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.60%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.74%0.9%2026-08-07 18:40