Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Wycombe Wanderers v Stevenage

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-07 18:45 UTC

Score final : Wycombe Wanderers 1–2 Stevenage

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Wycombe Wanderers (Local)

Prévision 41.97%2.38cote équitable
EV -2.63%
Avantage -1.13%
Kelly -1.99%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.66%41.94%41.95%43.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.072.212.232.3248.31%45.20%44.84%43.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Stevenage (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.31%3.41cote équitable
EV +0.547%
Avantage +0.159%
Kelly +0.225%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.78%29.31%29.23%31.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.883.113.103.4334.72%32.17%32.26%29.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.72%3.48cote équitable
EV -1.21%
Avantage -0.353%
Kelly -0.498%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.25%28.74%28.82%30.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.233.253.4433.33%30.99%30.77%29.07%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Wycombe Wanderers (Local) : 41.97% ; Stevenage (Visiteur) : 29.31% ; Match nul : 28.72%. Pour Stevenage (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.41. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.43, soit une espérance positive de +0.547%.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.35%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.78%EV +0.547%E +0.159%K +0.225%G +0.001%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.87%EV -8.39%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 18:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.74%EV -8.51%E -3.90%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.55%EV -2.09%E -0.626%K -0.894%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.72%EV -1.21%E -0.353%K -0.498%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 18:05
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.67%E -3.48%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.26%E -0.989%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 18:30
SportsBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -8.51%E -3.90%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -3.26%E -0.989%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 18:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -9.77%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -3.26%E -0.989%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-07 18:35
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 18:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.94%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 18:25
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -3.47%E -1.51%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 18:40
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 09:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 09:45
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 09:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 09:44
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 09:44
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.67%E -3.48%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 07:06
1xBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.67%E -3.48%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 18:30
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.67%E -3.48%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 18:25
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -11.86%E -5.65%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-07 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -11.86%E -5.65%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-07 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.00%EV -8.51%E -3.90%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -7.66%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.25%EV -1.21%E -0.353%K -0.498%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 18:40
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.32%EV -8.51%E -3.90%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.66%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 05:44
NetBet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.81%EV -13.12%E -6.34%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.13%EV -7.66%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.06%EV -12.41%E -4.07%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-07 18:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.75%EV -3.89%E -1.70%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.91%EV -8.54%E -2.74%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.34%EV -8.68%E -2.73%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-07 18:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -2.36%E -0.695%K -0.985%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 18:40
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -2.36%E -0.695%K -0.985%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 18:40
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-07 18:40
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-07 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-07 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-07 18:40
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.77%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-07 18:30
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -11.86%E -5.65%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-07 18:30
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -7.67%E -3.48%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -10.59%E -3.47%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-07 18:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.07%EV -9.77%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -10.59%E -3.47%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-07 18:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.07%EV -9.77%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -10.59%E -3.47%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-07 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -6.41%E -2.87%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 18:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -6.41%E -2.87%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 18:15
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -6.41%E -2.87%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 18:15
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -6.41%E -2.87%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 18:15
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -6.41%E -2.87%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 18:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -6.41%E -2.87%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 18:15
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -6.41%E -2.87%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 18:15
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -6.41%E -2.87%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 18:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -6.41%E -2.87%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 18:15
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -6.41%E -2.87%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 18:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -6.41%E -2.87%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 18:15
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-07 18:40
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.76%EV -2.63%E -1.13%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.95%EV -12.64%E -4.24%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -9.54%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 18:40
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -4.31%E -1.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -14.99%E -5.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-07 18:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.17%EV -9.77%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.73%EV -15.58%E -5.41%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.10%EV -9.54%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-07 18:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.17%EV -9.77%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.73%EV -15.58%E -5.41%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.10%EV -9.54%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-07 18:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.17%EV -9.77%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.73%EV -15.58%E -5.41%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.10%EV -9.54%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-07 18:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.23%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.89%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.89%0.3%2026-08-07 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.82%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%0.7%2026-08-07 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.66%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.60%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.74%0.9%2026-08-07 18:40
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.66%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.60%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.74%0.9%2026-08-07 18:40