Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Wycombe Wanderers v Stevenage

Início: 2026-08-07 18:45 UTC

Final: Wycombe Wanderers 1–2 Stevenage

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Wycombe Wanderers (Local)

Previsão 41.97%2.38odd justa
EV -2.63%
Vantagem -1.13%
Kelly -1.99%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.32

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.66%41.94%41.95%43.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.072.212.232.3248.31%45.20%44.84%43.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Stevenage (Visitante)

Previsão 29.31%3.41odd justa
EV +0.547%
Vantagem +0.159%
Kelly +0.225%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.43

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.78%29.31%29.23%31.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.883.113.103.4334.72%32.17%32.26%29.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.72%3.48odd justa
EV -1.21%
Vantagem -0.353%
Kelly -0.498%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.44

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.25%28.74%28.82%30.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.233.253.4433.33%30.99%30.77%29.07%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Wycombe Wanderers (Local): 41.97%; Stevenage (Visitante): 29.31%; Empate: 28.72%. Para Stevenage (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.41. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.43, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.547%.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.35%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.78%EV +0.547%E +0.159%K +0.225%G +0.001%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.87%EV -8.39%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 18:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.74%EV -8.51%E -3.90%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.55%EV -2.09%E -0.626%K -0.894%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.72%EV -1.21%E -0.353%K -0.498%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 18:05
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.67%E -3.48%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.26%E -0.989%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 18:30
SportsBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -8.51%E -3.90%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -3.26%E -0.989%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 18:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -9.77%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -3.26%E -0.989%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-07 18:35
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 18:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.94%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 18:25
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -3.47%E -1.51%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 18:40
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 09:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 09:45
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 09:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 09:44
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 09:44
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.67%E -3.48%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 07:06
1xBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.67%E -3.48%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 18:30
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.67%E -3.48%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-07 18:25
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -11.86%E -5.65%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-07 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -11.86%E -5.65%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -6.20%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-07 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.00%EV -8.51%E -3.90%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -7.66%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.25%EV -1.21%E -0.353%K -0.498%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 18:40
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.32%EV -8.51%E -3.90%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.66%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -6.67%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 05:44
NetBet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.81%EV -13.12%E -6.34%K -12.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.13%EV -7.66%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.06%EV -12.41%E -4.07%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-07 18:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.75%EV -3.89%E -1.70%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.91%EV -8.54%E -2.74%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.34%EV -8.68%E -2.73%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-07 18:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -2.36%E -0.695%K -0.985%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 18:40
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -2.36%E -0.695%K -0.985%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 18:40
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-07 18:40
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-07 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-07 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.85%E -4.62%K -6.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-07 18:40
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.77%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-07 18:30
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -11.86%E -5.65%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.13%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-07 18:30
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -7.67%E -3.48%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -10.59%E -3.47%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-07 18:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.07%EV -9.77%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -10.59%E -3.47%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-07 18:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.07%EV -9.77%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -10.59%E -3.47%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-07 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -6.41%E -2.87%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 18:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -6.41%E -2.87%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 18:15
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -6.41%E -2.87%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 18:15
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -6.41%E -2.87%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 18:15
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -6.41%E -2.87%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 18:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -6.41%E -2.87%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 18:15
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -6.41%E -2.87%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 18:15
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -6.41%E -2.87%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 18:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -6.41%E -2.87%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 18:15
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -6.41%E -2.87%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 18:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -6.41%E -2.87%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 18:15
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -5.57%E -2.47%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.06%E -4.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.11%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-07 18:40
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.76%EV -2.63%E -1.13%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.95%EV -12.64%E -4.24%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -9.54%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 18:40
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -4.31%E -1.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -14.99%E -5.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-07 18:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.17%EV -9.77%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.73%EV -15.58%E -5.41%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.10%EV -9.54%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-07 18:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.17%EV -9.77%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.73%EV -15.58%E -5.41%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.10%EV -9.54%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-07 18:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.17%EV -9.77%E -4.54%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.73%EV -15.58%E -5.41%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.10%EV -9.54%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-07 18:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.23%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.89%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.89%0.3%2026-08-07 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.82%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%0.7%2026-08-07 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.66%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.60%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.74%0.9%2026-08-07 18:40
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.66%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.60%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.74%0.9%2026-08-07 18:40