The School of Odds

Wolverhampton Wanderers v Port Vale

2026-08-07 18:45 UTC — EFL Cup

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Wolverhampton Wanderers (Local)

Prediction 69.45%1.44fair odd
EV -5.55%
Edge -4.08%
Kelly -15.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.63%69.36%69.59%72.29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.251.321.321.3680.00%75.79%75.76%73.53%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Port Vale (Visit)

Prediction 12.15%8.23fair odd
EV +6.35%
Edge +0.726%
Kelly +0.820%
Growth +0.052%

assuming max odds 8.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.57%12.36%12.02%14.81%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
6.007.187.508.7516.67%13.92%13.33%11.43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 18.39%5.44fair odd
EV +1.17%
Edge +0.213%
Kelly +0.260%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.71%18.28%18.40%19.70%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.655.115.045.5021.51%19.58%19.84%18.18%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.31%EV -8.32%E -6.31%K -26.02%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.76%EV +6.35%E +0.726%K +0.820%G +0.052%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.93%EV -3.43%E -0.653%K -0.807%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-23 05:59
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.29%EV -11.10%E -8.67%K -39.65%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.57%EV +6.35%E +0.726%K +0.820%G +0.052%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.14%EV -0.669%E -0.124%K -0.152%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-23 05:59
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -10.41%E -8.07%K -35.89%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV +3.31%E +0.390%K +0.442%G +0.015%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -8.03%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-23 05:59
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -10.41%E -8.07%K -35.89%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV +3.31%E +0.390%K +0.442%G +0.015%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -8.03%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-23 06:00
Marathon Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.62%EV -8.32%E -6.31%K -26.02%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.10%EV +2.10%E +0.250%K +0.283%G +0.006%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -6.19%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-14 05:38
1xBet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.37%EV -7.63%E -5.74%K -23.12%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.28%EV +0.882%E +0.106%K +0.121%G +0.001%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV -6.19%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-14 05:40
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 69.98%EV -5.55%E -4.08%K -15.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV -2.76%E -0.345%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -3.43%E -0.653%K -0.807%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 19:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.98%EV -5.55%E -4.08%K -15.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV -2.76%E -0.345%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -3.43%E -0.653%K -0.807%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 21:55
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 69.98%EV -5.55%E -4.08%K -15.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV -2.76%E -0.345%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -3.43%E -0.653%K -0.807%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 02:39
William Hill1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.24%E -4.62%K -17.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -2.76%E -0.345%K -0.395%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -11.71%E -2.44%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-14 05:54
FanDuel1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -11.10%E -8.67%K -39.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -2.76%E -0.345%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV +1.17%E +0.213%K +0.260%G +0.003%8.8%2026-07-23 06:00
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -9.71%E -7.47%K -32.38%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -2.76%E -0.345%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -8.03%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-17 18:59
betano_uk1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -9.71%E -7.47%K -32.38%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -2.76%E -0.345%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -8.03%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-17 19:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -13.19%E -10.55%K -52.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -2.76%E -0.345%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -8.03%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-23 05:59
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 68.58%EV -6.24%E -4.62%K -17.83%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.72%EV -3.98%E -0.504%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70%EV -13.55%E -2.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 23:59
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 68.58%EV -6.24%E -4.62%K -17.83%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.72%EV -3.98%E -0.504%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70%EV -13.55%E -2.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 23:59
Pinnacle1.33I 75.19%NM 69.73%EV -7.63%E -5.74%K -23.12%G +0.000%7.81I 12.80%NM 11.87%EV -5.07%E -0.650%K -0.745%G +0.000%5.04I 19.84%NM 18.40%EV -7.29%E -1.45%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-10 19:05
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.59%EV -9.71%E -7.47%K -32.38%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV -5.19%E -0.666%K -0.764%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -4.35%E -0.836%K -1.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-15 08:44
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 69.88%EV -9.02%E -6.89%K -29.09%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.81%EV -5.80%E -0.749%K -0.860%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.31%EV -8.03%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 19:46
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.24%E -4.62%K -17.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.84%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -8.03%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-21 21:55
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.24%E -4.62%K -17.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.84%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -8.03%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-21 21:55
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -7.63%E -5.74%K -23.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -8.84%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -11.71%E -2.44%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-21 19:20
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -7.63%E -5.74%K -23.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -8.84%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -11.71%E -2.44%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-21 19:50
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -7.63%E -5.74%K -23.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -8.84%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -11.71%E -2.44%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-21 19:50
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -9.71%E -7.47%K -32.38%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -8.84%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -12.63%E -2.66%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-21 08:15
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -7.63%E -5.74%K -23.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -14.92%E -2.13%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -8.03%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-22 12:14
Unibet (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -7.63%E -5.74%K -23.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -14.92%E -2.13%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -8.03%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-21 14:30
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -7.63%E -5.74%K -23.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -14.92%E -2.13%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -8.03%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-23 14:35
NetBet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 69.16%EV -11.80%E -9.29%K -43.69%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.55%EV -14.92%E -2.13%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.30%EV -11.71%E -2.44%K -3.08%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-27 18:30
LowVig.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 66.63%EV -6.94%E -5.18%K -20.40%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.17%EV -23.43%E -3.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.20%EV -14.46%E -3.11%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-13 08:04
BetOnline.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 66.63%EV -6.94%E -5.18%K -20.40%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.17%EV -23.43%E -3.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.20%EV -14.46%E -3.11%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-13 08:04
Winamax (DE)1.29I 77.52%NM 68.04%EV -10.41%E -8.07%K -35.89%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.04%EV -24.03%E -3.85%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%EV -9.87%E -2.01%K -2.53%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-27 16:50
Unibet1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -8.32%E -6.31%K -26.02%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -25.86%E -4.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -0.669%E -0.124%K -0.152%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-07 16:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -8.32%E -6.31%K -26.02%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -25.86%E -4.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -0.669%E -0.124%K -0.152%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-07 16:09
Unibet (NL)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -8.32%E -6.31%K -26.02%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -25.86%E -4.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -0.669%E -0.124%K -0.152%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-07 16:09
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -8.32%E -6.31%K -26.02%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -25.86%E -4.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -0.669%E -0.124%K -0.152%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-07 16:10
Casumo1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -8.32%E -6.31%K -26.02%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -25.86%E -4.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -0.669%E -0.124%K -0.152%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-07 16:10
BetRivers1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -8.32%E -6.31%K -26.02%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -25.86%E -4.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -0.669%E -0.124%K -0.152%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-07 16:10
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -8.32%E -6.31%K -26.02%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -25.86%E -4.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -0.669%E -0.124%K -0.152%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-07 16:10
Unibet (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -8.32%E -6.31%K -26.02%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -25.86%E -4.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -0.669%E -0.124%K -0.152%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-07 16:09
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -8.32%E -6.31%K -26.02%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -25.86%E -4.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -0.669%E -0.124%K -0.152%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-07 16:09
Grosvenor1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -8.32%E -6.31%K -26.02%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -25.86%E -4.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -0.669%E -0.124%K -0.152%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-07 16:09
Svenska Spel1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -8.32%E -6.31%K -26.02%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -25.86%E -4.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -0.669%E -0.124%K -0.152%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-07 16:09
betPARX1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -8.32%E -6.31%K -26.02%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -25.86%E -4.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -0.669%E -0.124%K -0.152%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-07 16:10
ATG (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -8.32%E -6.31%K -26.02%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -25.86%E -4.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -0.669%E -0.124%K -0.152%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-07 16:10
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -8.32%E -6.31%K -26.02%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -25.86%E -4.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -0.669%E -0.124%K -0.152%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-16 14:05
Winamax (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 67.31%EV -11.10%E -8.67%K -39.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.36%EV -27.07%E -4.51%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.33%EV -13.55%E -2.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%16.1%2026-07-27 16:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.51%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.75%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%8.9%2026-07-28 01:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.51%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.75%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%8.9%2026-07-28 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.34I 74.63%NM 41.40%7.20I 13.89%NM 7.70%1.09I 91.74%NM 50.90%80.3%2026-07-28 01:00