Language:English
Wolverhampton Wanderers v Port Vale
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Wolverhampton Wanderers (Local)
Prediction 76.62%1.31fair odd
EV -4.22%
Edge -3.38%
Kelly -16.89%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.15%76.64%76.61%79.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.211.221.2586.96%82.47%81.97%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Port Vale (Visit)
Prediction 7.92%12.63fair odd
EV +18.78%
Edge +1.25%
Kelly +1.34%
Growth +0.252%
assuming max odds 15.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.33%7.81%7.84%10.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.0011.5211.0015.0011.11%8.68%9.09%6.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 15.46%6.47fair odd
EV +16.26%
Edge +2.16%
Kelly +2.49%
Growth +0.406%
assuming max odds 7.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.43%15.55%15.54%18.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.955.956.007.5220.20%16.82%16.67%13.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wolverhampton Wanderers (Local): 76.62%; Port Vale (Visit): 7.92%; Draw: 15.46%. For Port Vale (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.63. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 15.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +18.78%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.26%EV -7.29%E -6.02%K -34.71%G +0.000% | 9.07I 11.03%NM 10.31%EV -28.18%E -3.11%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.52I 13.30%NM 12.43%EV +16.26%E +2.16%K +2.49%G +0.406% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 18:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.08%EV -8.05%E -6.71%K -40.27%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV +18.78%E +1.25%K +1.34%G +0.252% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV +0.492%E +0.076%K +0.090%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 18:33 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.08%EV -8.05%E -6.71%K -40.27%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV +18.78%E +1.25%K +1.34%G +0.252% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV +0.492%E +0.076%K +0.090%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.07%EV -4.99%E -4.02%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.64%EV -1.02%E -0.081%K -0.089%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.29%EV -3.37%E -0.540%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-07 18:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.58%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +2.94%E +0.226%K +0.245%G +0.007% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.14%EV -3.37%E -0.540%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 18:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.35%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.55%EV -1.02%E -0.081%K -0.089%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.10%EV -3.37%E -0.540%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 18:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.25%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.86%EV -16.86%E -1.61%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV -3.37%E -0.540%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.37%EV -8.82%E -7.41%K -46.43%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -20.81%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.54%EV -3.37%E -0.540%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.01%EV -8.82%E -7.41%K -46.43%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -24.77%E -2.61%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.47%EV -3.37%E -0.540%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.30%EV -8.82%E -7.41%K -46.43%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.43%EV +14.82%E +1.02%K +1.10%G +0.163% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.27%EV -5.69%E -0.933%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-07 18:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 77.04%EV -11.89%E -10.34%K -79.24%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.44%EV -16.86%E -1.61%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.52%EV -5.69%E -0.933%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-07 18:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.53%EV -5.76%E -4.68%K -25.03%G +0.000% | 12.06I 8.29%NM 7.81%EV -4.50%E -0.373%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 6.01I 16.64%NM 15.66%EV -7.08%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.22%E -3.38%K -16.89%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV -4.98%E -0.415%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 18:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV +2.94%E +0.226%K +0.245%G +0.007% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -4.98%E -0.415%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -4.98%E -0.415%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -4.98%E -0.415%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 18:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -8.05%E -6.71%K -40.27%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV +2.94%E +0.226%K +0.245%G +0.007% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-07 18:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-07 18:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-07 18:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-07 18:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-07 18:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-07 18:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-07 18:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-07 18:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-07 18:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-07 18:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-07 18:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.24%EV -7.29%E -6.02%K -34.71%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-07 18:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -5.76%E -4.68%K -25.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -28.73%E -3.19%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.23%EV -4.99%E -4.02%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.88%EV -4.98%E -0.415%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 15.89%EV -8.01%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.23%EV -4.99%E -4.02%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.88%EV -4.98%E -0.415%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 15.89%EV -8.01%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.52%EV -8.05%E -6.71%K -40.27%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.65%EV -4.98%E -0.415%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -10.33%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.57%EV -9.59%E -8.12%K -53.26%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.92%EV -20.81%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.10%E -1.93%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-07 18:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.57%EV -9.59%E -8.12%K -53.26%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.92%EV -20.81%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.10%E -1.93%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-07 18:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.57%EV -9.59%E -8.12%K -53.26%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.92%EV -20.81%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.10%E -1.93%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-07 18:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.86%EV -8.05%E -6.71%K -40.27%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -4.98%E -0.415%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -14.97%E -2.72%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.73%EV -8.05%E -6.71%K -40.27%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -20.81%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -14.97%E -2.72%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-07 18:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.65%EV -9.59%E -8.12%K -53.26%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.12%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -14.97%E -2.72%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-07 18:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.65%EV -9.59%E -8.12%K -53.26%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.12%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -14.97%E -2.72%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-07 18:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.15%EV -8.05%E -6.71%K -40.27%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.90%EV -20.81%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -18.83%E -3.59%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.75%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV +2.94%E +0.226%K +0.245%G +0.007% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -22.70%E -4.54%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-07 18:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.85%EV -4.99%E -4.02%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.40%EV +14.82%E +1.02%K +1.10%G +0.163% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.75%EV -23.47%E -4.74%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-07 18:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.85%EV -4.99%E -4.02%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.40%EV +14.82%E +1.02%K +1.10%G +0.163% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.75%EV -23.47%E -4.74%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.30% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.63% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.07% | 0.6% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.30% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.63% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.07% | 0.6% | 2026-08-07 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.30% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.63% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.07% | 0.6% | 2026-08-07 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.44% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.59% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.97% | 1.2% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
Discuss this game on odds.forum
No published comments yet.