Wolverhampton Wanderers v Port Vale

2026-08-07 18:45 — EFL Cup

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Option 1: Wolverhampton Wanderers (Local)

Odds

1.2977.52%Min

1.3276.03%Mean

1.3275.76%Median

1.3375.19%Max

Consensus probabilities

68.45%1.461Min

71.53%1.398Max

68.96%1.450Mean

68.92%1.451Median

68.92%1.451IQM

68.97%1.450Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.33 under the IQM model: 68.92%

EV -8.33%Edge -6.26%Kelly -25.24%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Port Vale (Visit)

Odds

6.0016.67%Min

6.3515.74%Mean

6.1016.39%Median

8.2012.20%Max

Consensus probabilities

11.43%8.750Min

14.91%6.706Max

13.48%7.418Mean

13.53%7.393Median

13.53%7.393IQM

13.42%7.451Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 8.20 under the IQM model: 13.53%

EV +10.91%Edge +1.33%Kelly +1.52%Growth +0.165%

Option 3: Draw

Odds

4.7521.05%Min

5.3718.63%Mean

5.4018.52%Median

5.5018.18%Max

Consensus probabilities

16.27%6.147Min

18.81%5.316Max

17.56%5.695Mean

17.55%5.698Median

17.55%5.698IQM

17.61%5.680Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 5.50 under the IQM model: 17.55%

EV -3.47%Edge -0.632%Kelly -0.772%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Wolverhampton Wanderers (Local)	Port Vale (Visit) ▼	Draw	Margin	Updated
1xBet	1.31I 76.34% NM 71.53%EV -9.71% E -7.41% K -31.32% G +0.000%	8.20I 12.20% NM 11.43%EV +10.91% E +1.33% K +1.52% G +0.165%	5.50I 18.18% NM 17.04%EV -3.47% E -0.632% K -0.772% G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-07-07 18:54
Unibet (UK)	1.33I 75.19% NM 69.28%EV -8.33% E -6.26% K -25.24% G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33% NM 12.29%EV +1.44% E +0.192% K +0.222% G +0.003%	5.00I 20.00% NM 18.43%EV -12.25% E -2.45% K -3.06% G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-07-07 16:09
BoyleSports	1.29I 77.52% NM 69.27%EV -11.09% E -8.60% K -38.23% G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33% NM 11.91%EV +1.44% E +0.192% K +0.222% G +0.003%	4.75I 21.05% NM 18.81%EV -16.64% E -3.50% K -4.44% G +0.000%	11.9%	2026-07-07 16:24
LeoVegas	1.33I 75.19% NM 69.27%EV -8.33% E -6.26% K -25.24% G +0.000%	6.90I 14.49% NM 13.35%EV -6.67% E -0.967% K -1.13% G +0.000%	5.30I 18.87% NM 17.38%EV -6.98% E -1.32% K -1.62% G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-07-07 16:09
Unibet	1.32I 75.76% NM 68.45%EV -9.02% E -6.83% K -28.19% G +0.000%	6.10I 16.39% NM 14.81%EV -17.49% E -2.87% K -3.43% G +0.000%	5.40I 18.52% NM 16.73%EV -5.23% E -0.968% K -1.19% G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-07-07 16:09
LeoVegas (SE)	1.32I 75.76% NM 68.45%EV -9.02% E -6.83% K -28.19% G +0.000%	6.10I 16.39% NM 14.81%EV -17.49% E -2.87% K -3.43% G +0.000%	5.40I 18.52% NM 16.73%EV -5.23% E -0.968% K -1.19% G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-07-07 16:09
Unibet (NL)	1.32I 75.76% NM 68.45%EV -9.02% E -6.83% K -28.19% G +0.000%	6.10I 16.39% NM 14.81%EV -17.49% E -2.87% K -3.43% G +0.000%	5.40I 18.52% NM 16.73%EV -5.23% E -0.968% K -1.19% G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-07-07 16:09
LiveScore Bet	1.32I 75.76% NM 68.45%EV -9.02% E -6.83% K -28.19% G +0.000%	6.10I 16.39% NM 14.81%EV -17.49% E -2.87% K -3.43% G +0.000%	5.40I 18.52% NM 16.73%EV -5.23% E -0.968% K -1.19% G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-07-07 16:10
Casumo	1.32I 75.76% NM 68.45%EV -9.02% E -6.83% K -28.19% G +0.000%	6.10I 16.39% NM 14.81%EV -17.49% E -2.87% K -3.43% G +0.000%	5.40I 18.52% NM 16.73%EV -5.23% E -0.968% K -1.19% G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-07-07 16:10
BetRivers	1.32I 75.76% NM 68.45%EV -9.02% E -6.83% K -28.19% G +0.000%	6.10I 16.39% NM 14.81%EV -17.49% E -2.87% K -3.43% G +0.000%	5.40I 18.52% NM 16.73%EV -5.23% E -0.968% K -1.19% G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-07-07 16:10
Virgin Bet	1.32I 75.76% NM 68.45%EV -9.02% E -6.83% K -28.19% G +0.000%	6.10I 16.39% NM 14.81%EV -17.49% E -2.87% K -3.43% G +0.000%	5.40I 18.52% NM 16.73%EV -5.23% E -0.968% K -1.19% G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-07-07 16:10
Unibet (SE)	1.32I 75.76% NM 68.45%EV -9.02% E -6.83% K -28.19% G +0.000%	6.10I 16.39% NM 14.81%EV -17.49% E -2.87% K -3.43% G +0.000%	5.40I 18.52% NM 16.73%EV -5.23% E -0.968% K -1.19% G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-07-07 16:09
TABtouch	1.32I 75.76% NM 68.45%EV -9.02% E -6.83% K -28.19% G +0.000%	6.10I 16.39% NM 14.81%EV -17.49% E -2.87% K -3.43% G +0.000%	5.40I 18.52% NM 16.73%EV -5.23% E -0.968% K -1.19% G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-07-07 16:09
Grosvenor	1.32I 75.76% NM 68.45%EV -9.02% E -6.83% K -28.19% G +0.000%	6.10I 16.39% NM 14.81%EV -17.49% E -2.87% K -3.43% G +0.000%	5.40I 18.52% NM 16.73%EV -5.23% E -0.968% K -1.19% G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-07-07 16:09
Svenska Spel	1.32I 75.76% NM 68.45%EV -9.02% E -6.83% K -28.19% G +0.000%	6.10I 16.39% NM 14.81%EV -17.49% E -2.87% K -3.43% G +0.000%	5.40I 18.52% NM 16.73%EV -5.23% E -0.968% K -1.19% G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-07-07 16:09
betPARX	1.32I 75.76% NM 68.45%EV -9.02% E -6.83% K -28.19% G +0.000%	6.10I 16.39% NM 14.81%EV -17.49% E -2.87% K -3.43% G +0.000%	5.40I 18.52% NM 16.73%EV -5.23% E -0.968% K -1.19% G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-07-07 16:10
ATG (SE)	1.32I 75.76% NM 68.45%EV -9.02% E -6.83% K -28.19% G +0.000%	6.10I 16.39% NM 14.81%EV -17.49% E -2.87% K -3.43% G +0.000%	5.40I 18.52% NM 16.73%EV -5.23% E -0.968% K -1.19% G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-07-07 16:10
William Hill	1.30I 76.92% NM 68.82%EV -10.40% E -8.00% K -34.66% G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67% NM 14.91%EV -18.85% E -3.14% K -3.77% G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18% NM 16.27%EV -3.47% E -0.632% K -0.772% G +0.000%	11.8%	2026-07-07 16:09
888sport	1.30I 76.92% NM 68.82%EV -10.40% E -8.00% K -34.66% G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67% NM 14.91%EV -18.85% E -3.14% K -3.77% G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18% NM 16.27%EV -3.47% E -0.632% K -0.772% G +0.000%	11.8%	2026-07-07 16:09
Mr Green (SE)	1.30I 76.92% NM 68.82%EV -10.40% E -8.00% K -34.66% G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67% NM 14.91%EV -18.85% E -3.14% K -3.77% G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18% NM 16.27%EV -3.47% E -0.632% K -0.772% G +0.000%	11.8%	2026-07-07 16:09
888sport (SE)	1.30I 76.92% NM 68.82%EV -10.40% E -8.00% K -34.66% G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67% NM 14.91%EV -18.85% E -3.14% K -3.77% G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18% NM 16.27%EV -3.47% E -0.632% K -0.772% G +0.000%	11.8%	2026-07-07 16:09

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth