Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Wolverhampton Wanderers v Port Vale

Início: 2026-08-07 18:45 UTC

Final: Wolverhampton Wanderers 3–0 Port Vale

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Wolverhampton Wanderers (Local)

Previsão 76.62%1.31odd justa
EV -4.22%
Vantagem -3.38%
Kelly -16.89%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
74.15%76.64%76.61%79.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.151.211.221.2586.96%82.47%81.97%80.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Port Vale (Visitante)

Previsão 7.92%12.63odd justa
EV +18.78%
Vantagem +1.25%
Kelly +1.34%
Crescimento +0.252%

pressupondo odds máximas de 15.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
6.33%7.81%7.84%10.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
9.0011.5211.0015.0011.11%8.68%9.09%6.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 15.46%6.47odd justa
EV +16.26%
Vantagem +2.16%
Kelly +2.49%
Crescimento +0.406%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.52

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
12.43%15.55%15.54%18.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.955.956.007.5220.20%16.82%16.67%13.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Wolverhampton Wanderers (Local): 76.62%; Port Vale (Visitante): 7.92%; Empate: 15.46%. Para Port Vale (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 12.63. 9 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 15.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +18.78%.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.26%EV -7.29%E -6.02%K -34.71%G +0.000%9.07I 11.03%NM 10.31%EV -28.18%E -3.11%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.52I 13.30%NM 12.43%EV +16.26%E +2.16%K +2.49%G +0.406%7.0%2026-08-07 18:44
Bet Victor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.08%EV -8.05%E -6.71%K -40.27%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV +18.78%E +1.25%K +1.34%G +0.252%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV +0.492%E +0.076%K +0.090%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 18:33
betano_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.08%EV -8.05%E -6.71%K -40.27%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV +18.78%E +1.25%K +1.34%G +0.252%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV +0.492%E +0.076%K +0.090%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 18:35
BetMGM🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.07%EV -4.99%E -4.02%K -20.79%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.64%EV -1.02%E -0.081%K -0.089%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.29%EV -3.37%E -0.540%K -0.642%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 18:34
Coolbet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.58%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +2.94%E +0.226%K +0.245%G +0.007%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.14%EV -3.37%E -0.540%K -0.642%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 18:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.35%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.55%EV -1.02%E -0.081%K -0.089%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.10%EV -3.37%E -0.540%K -0.642%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 18:40
theScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.25%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.86%EV -16.86%E -1.61%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV -3.37%E -0.540%K -0.642%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 18:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 76.37%EV -8.82%E -7.41%K -46.43%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -20.81%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.54%EV -3.37%E -0.540%K -0.642%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-07 18:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 76.01%EV -8.82%E -7.41%K -46.43%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -24.77%E -2.61%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.47%EV -3.37%E -0.540%K -0.642%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-07 18:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.30%EV -8.82%E -7.41%K -46.43%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.43%EV +14.82%E +1.02%K +1.10%G +0.163%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.27%EV -5.69%E -0.933%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-07 18:44
NetBet (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 77.04%EV -11.89%E -10.34%K -79.24%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.44%EV -16.86%E -1.61%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.52%EV -5.69%E -0.933%K -1.12%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-07 18:44
Pinnacle🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.53%EV -5.76%E -4.68%K -25.03%G +0.000%12.06I 8.29%NM 7.81%EV -4.50%E -0.373%K -0.407%G +0.000%6.01I 16.64%NM 15.66%EV -7.08%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 18:35
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.22%E -3.38%K -16.89%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV -4.98%E -0.415%K -0.452%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 18:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV +2.94%E +0.226%K +0.245%G +0.007%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -4.98%E -0.415%K -0.452%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 18:35
Neds🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -4.98%E -0.415%K -0.452%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -4.98%E -0.415%K -0.452%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 18:40
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -8.05%E -6.71%K -40.27%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV +2.94%E +0.226%K +0.245%G +0.007%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 18:25
Unibet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 18:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 18:15
Casumo🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 18:15
BetRivers🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 18:15
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 18:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 18:15
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 18:35
TABtouch🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 18:15
Grosvenor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 18:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 18:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 18:35
betPARX🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 18:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 18:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 18:35
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 18:35
FanDuel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.24%EV -7.29%E -6.02%K -34.71%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 18:44
Bovada🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -5.76%E -4.68%K -25.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -28.73%E -3.19%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-07 18:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.23%EV -4.99%E -4.02%K -20.79%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.88%EV -4.98%E -0.415%K -0.452%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.89%EV -8.01%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 18:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.23%EV -4.99%E -4.02%K -20.79%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.88%EV -4.98%E -0.415%K -0.452%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.89%EV -8.01%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 18:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.52%EV -8.05%E -6.71%K -40.27%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.65%EV -4.98%E -0.415%K -0.452%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -10.33%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-07 18:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 75.57%EV -9.59%E -8.12%K -53.26%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.92%EV -20.81%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.10%E -1.93%K -2.34%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-07 18:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 75.57%EV -9.59%E -8.12%K -53.26%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.92%EV -20.81%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.10%E -1.93%K -2.34%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-07 18:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 75.57%EV -9.59%E -8.12%K -53.26%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.92%EV -20.81%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.10%E -1.93%K -2.34%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-07 18:15
BoyleSports🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.86%EV -8.05%E -6.71%K -40.27%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -4.98%E -0.415%K -0.452%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -14.97%E -2.72%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-07 18:35
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.73%EV -8.05%E -6.71%K -40.27%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -20.81%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -14.97%E -2.72%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-07 18:20
Paddy Power🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 75.65%EV -9.59%E -8.12%K -53.26%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.12%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -14.97%E -2.72%K -3.33%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-07 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 75.65%EV -9.59%E -8.12%K -53.26%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.12%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -14.97%E -2.72%K -3.33%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-07 18:40
LeoVegas🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.15%EV -8.05%E -6.71%K -40.27%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.90%EV -20.81%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -18.83%E -3.59%K -4.43%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-07 18:35
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.75%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV +2.94%E +0.226%K +0.245%G +0.007%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -22.70%E -4.54%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-07 18:40
Betsson🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.85%EV -4.99%E -4.02%K -20.79%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.40%EV +14.82%E +1.02%K +1.10%G +0.163%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.75%EV -23.47%E -4.74%K -5.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 18:40
NordicBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.85%EV -4.99%E -4.02%K -20.79%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.40%EV +14.82%E +1.02%K +1.10%G +0.163%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.75%EV -23.47%E -4.74%K -5.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 18:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.30%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.63%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.07%0.6%2026-08-07 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.30%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.63%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.07%0.6%2026-08-07 18:40
Matchbook1.27I 78.74%NM 78.30%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.63%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.07%0.6%2026-08-07 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.44%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.59%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.97%1.2%2026-08-07 18:35