L’École des cotes

Wolverhampton Wanderers v Port Vale

2026-08-07 18:45 UTC — EFL Cup

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Wolverhampton Wanderers (Local)

Prévision 69.45%1.44cote équitable
EV -5.55%
Avantage -4.08%
Kelly -15.41%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.63%69.36%69.59%72.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.251.321.321.3680.00%75.81%75.76%73.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Port Vale (Visiteur)

Prévision 12.15%8.23cote équitable
EV +6.35%
Avantage +0.726%
Kelly +0.820%
Croissance +0.052%

avec la cote maximale 8.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.57%12.36%12.02%14.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.807.177.508.7517.24%13.94%13.33%11.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 18.39%5.44cote équitable
EV +1.17%
Avantage +0.213%
Kelly +0.260%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 5.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.71%18.28%18.40%19.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.105.045.5022.22%19.61%19.84%18.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Betr (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.31%EV -8.32%E -6.31%K -26.02%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.76%EV +6.35%E +0.726%K +0.820%G +0.052%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.93%EV -3.43%E -0.653%K -0.807%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-23 05:59
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.29%EV -11.10%E -8.67%K -39.65%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.57%EV +6.35%E +0.726%K +0.820%G +0.052%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.14%EV -0.669%E -0.124%K -0.152%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-23 05:59
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -10.41%E -8.07%K -35.89%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV +3.31%E +0.390%K +0.442%G +0.015%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -8.03%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-23 05:59
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -10.41%E -8.07%K -35.89%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV +3.31%E +0.390%K +0.442%G +0.015%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -8.03%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-23 06:00
Marathon Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.62%EV -8.32%E -6.31%K -26.02%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.10%EV +2.10%E +0.250%K +0.283%G +0.006%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -6.19%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-14 05:38
1xBet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.37%EV -7.63%E -5.74%K -23.12%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.28%EV +0.882%E +0.106%K +0.121%G +0.001%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV -6.19%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-14 05:40
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 69.98%EV -5.55%E -4.08%K -15.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV -2.76%E -0.345%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -3.43%E -0.653%K -0.807%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 19:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.98%EV -5.55%E -4.08%K -15.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV -2.76%E -0.345%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -3.43%E -0.653%K -0.807%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 21:55
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 69.98%EV -5.55%E -4.08%K -15.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV -2.76%E -0.345%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -3.43%E -0.653%K -0.807%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 02:39
William Hill1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.24%E -4.62%K -17.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -2.76%E -0.345%K -0.395%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -11.71%E -2.44%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-14 05:54
FanDuel1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -11.10%E -8.67%K -39.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -2.76%E -0.345%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV +1.17%E +0.213%K +0.260%G +0.003%8.8%2026-07-23 06:00
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -9.71%E -7.47%K -32.38%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -2.76%E -0.345%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -8.03%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-17 18:59
betano_uk1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -9.71%E -7.47%K -32.38%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -2.76%E -0.345%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -8.03%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-17 19:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -13.19%E -10.55%K -52.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -2.76%E -0.345%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -8.03%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-23 05:59
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 68.58%EV -6.24%E -4.62%K -17.83%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.72%EV -3.98%E -0.504%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70%EV -13.55%E -2.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 23:59
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 68.58%EV -6.24%E -4.62%K -17.83%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.72%EV -3.98%E -0.504%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70%EV -13.55%E -2.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 23:59
Pinnacle1.33I 75.19%NM 69.73%EV -7.63%E -5.74%K -23.12%G +0.000%7.81I 12.80%NM 11.87%EV -5.07%E -0.650%K -0.745%G +0.000%5.04I 19.84%NM 18.40%EV -7.29%E -1.45%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-10 19:05
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.59%EV -9.71%E -7.47%K -32.38%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV -5.19%E -0.666%K -0.764%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -4.35%E -0.836%K -1.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-15 08:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.24%E -4.62%K -17.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.84%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -8.03%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-21 21:55
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.24%E -4.62%K -17.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.84%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -8.03%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-21 21:55
Bovada1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -8.32%E -6.31%K -26.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -8.84%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -8.03%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-23 14:32
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -7.63%E -5.74%K -23.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -8.84%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -11.71%E -2.44%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-21 19:20
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -7.63%E -5.74%K -23.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -8.84%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -11.71%E -2.44%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-21 19:50
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -7.63%E -5.74%K -23.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -8.84%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -11.71%E -2.44%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-21 19:50
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -9.71%E -7.47%K -32.38%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -8.84%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -12.63%E -2.66%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-21 08:15
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -7.63%E -5.74%K -23.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -14.92%E -2.13%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -8.03%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-22 12:14
Unibet (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -7.63%E -5.74%K -23.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -14.92%E -2.13%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -8.03%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-21 14:30
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -7.63%E -5.74%K -23.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -14.92%E -2.13%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -8.03%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-23 14:35
NetBet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 69.16%EV -11.80%E -9.29%K -43.69%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.55%EV -14.92%E -2.13%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.30%EV -11.71%E -2.44%K -3.08%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-25 09:05
LowVig.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 66.63%EV -6.94%E -5.18%K -20.40%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.17%EV -23.43%E -3.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.20%EV -14.46%E -3.11%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-13 08:04
BetOnline.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 66.63%EV -6.94%E -5.18%K -20.40%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.17%EV -23.43%E -3.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.20%EV -14.46%E -3.11%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-13 08:04
Winamax (DE)1.29I 77.52%NM 67.79%EV -10.41%E -8.07%K -35.89%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 13.99%EV -24.03%E -3.85%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.22%EV -11.71%E -2.44%K -3.08%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-22 15:39
Unibet1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -8.32%E -6.31%K -26.02%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -25.86%E -4.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -0.669%E -0.124%K -0.152%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-07 16:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -8.32%E -6.31%K -26.02%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -25.86%E -4.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -0.669%E -0.124%K -0.152%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-07 16:09
Unibet (NL)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -8.32%E -6.31%K -26.02%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -25.86%E -4.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -0.669%E -0.124%K -0.152%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-07 16:09
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -8.32%E -6.31%K -26.02%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -25.86%E -4.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -0.669%E -0.124%K -0.152%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-07 16:10
Casumo1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -8.32%E -6.31%K -26.02%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -25.86%E -4.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -0.669%E -0.124%K -0.152%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-07 16:10
BetRivers1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -8.32%E -6.31%K -26.02%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -25.86%E -4.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -0.669%E -0.124%K -0.152%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-07 16:10
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -8.32%E -6.31%K -26.02%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -25.86%E -4.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -0.669%E -0.124%K -0.152%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-07 16:10
Unibet (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -8.32%E -6.31%K -26.02%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -25.86%E -4.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -0.669%E -0.124%K -0.152%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-07 16:09
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -8.32%E -6.31%K -26.02%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -25.86%E -4.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -0.669%E -0.124%K -0.152%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-07 16:09
Grosvenor1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -8.32%E -6.31%K -26.02%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -25.86%E -4.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -0.669%E -0.124%K -0.152%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-07 16:09
Svenska Spel1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -8.32%E -6.31%K -26.02%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -25.86%E -4.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -0.669%E -0.124%K -0.152%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-07 16:09
betPARX1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -8.32%E -6.31%K -26.02%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -25.86%E -4.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -0.669%E -0.124%K -0.152%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-07 16:10
ATG (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -8.32%E -6.31%K -26.02%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -25.86%E -4.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -0.669%E -0.124%K -0.152%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-07 16:10
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -8.32%E -6.31%K -26.02%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -25.86%E -4.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -0.669%E -0.124%K -0.152%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-16 14:05
Winamax (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 66.79%EV -12.49%E -9.91%K -48.05%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 14.51%EV -29.50%E -5.09%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.70%EV -17.22%E -3.83%K -4.92%G +0.000%18.8%2026-07-22 15:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 71.35%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.47%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.18%3.8%2026-07-25 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 71.35%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.47%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.18%3.8%2026-07-25 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 71.35%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.47%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.18%3.8%2026-07-25 22:30