Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Wolverhampton Wanderers v Port Vale

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-07 18:45 UTC

Score final : Wolverhampton Wanderers 3–0 Port Vale

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Wolverhampton Wanderers (Local)

Prévision 76.62%1.31cote équitable
EV -4.22%
Avantage -3.38%
Kelly -16.89%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
74.15%76.64%76.61%79.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.151.211.221.2586.96%82.47%81.97%80.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Port Vale (Visiteur)

Prévision 7.92%12.63cote équitable
EV +18.78%
Avantage +1.25%
Kelly +1.34%
Croissance +0.252%

avec la cote maximale 15.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
6.33%7.81%7.84%10.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
9.0011.5211.0015.0011.11%8.68%9.09%6.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 15.46%6.47cote équitable
EV +16.26%
Avantage +2.16%
Kelly +2.49%
Croissance +0.406%

avec la cote maximale 7.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.43%15.55%15.54%18.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.955.956.007.5220.20%16.82%16.67%13.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Wolverhampton Wanderers (Local) : 76.62% ; Port Vale (Visiteur) : 7.92% ; Match nul : 15.46%. Pour Port Vale (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 12.63. 9 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 15.00, soit une espérance positive de +18.78%.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.26%EV -7.29%E -6.02%K -34.71%G +0.000%9.07I 11.03%NM 10.31%EV -28.18%E -3.11%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.52I 13.30%NM 12.43%EV +16.26%E +2.16%K +2.49%G +0.406%7.0%2026-08-07 18:44
Bet Victor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.08%EV -8.05%E -6.71%K -40.27%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV +18.78%E +1.25%K +1.34%G +0.252%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV +0.492%E +0.076%K +0.090%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 18:33
betano_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.08%EV -8.05%E -6.71%K -40.27%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV +18.78%E +1.25%K +1.34%G +0.252%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV +0.492%E +0.076%K +0.090%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 18:35
BetMGM🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.07%EV -4.99%E -4.02%K -20.79%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.64%EV -1.02%E -0.081%K -0.089%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.29%EV -3.37%E -0.540%K -0.642%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 18:34
Coolbet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.58%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +2.94%E +0.226%K +0.245%G +0.007%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.14%EV -3.37%E -0.540%K -0.642%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 18:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.35%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.55%EV -1.02%E -0.081%K -0.089%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.10%EV -3.37%E -0.540%K -0.642%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 18:40
theScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.25%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.86%EV -16.86%E -1.61%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV -3.37%E -0.540%K -0.642%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 18:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 76.37%EV -8.82%E -7.41%K -46.43%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -20.81%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.54%EV -3.37%E -0.540%K -0.642%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-07 18:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 76.01%EV -8.82%E -7.41%K -46.43%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -24.77%E -2.61%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.47%EV -3.37%E -0.540%K -0.642%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-07 18:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.30%EV -8.82%E -7.41%K -46.43%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.43%EV +14.82%E +1.02%K +1.10%G +0.163%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.27%EV -5.69%E -0.933%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-07 18:44
NetBet (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 77.04%EV -11.89%E -10.34%K -79.24%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.44%EV -16.86%E -1.61%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.52%EV -5.69%E -0.933%K -1.12%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-07 18:44
Pinnacle🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.53%EV -5.76%E -4.68%K -25.03%G +0.000%12.06I 8.29%NM 7.81%EV -4.50%E -0.373%K -0.407%G +0.000%6.01I 16.64%NM 15.66%EV -7.08%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 18:35
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.22%E -3.38%K -16.89%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV -4.98%E -0.415%K -0.452%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 18:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV +2.94%E +0.226%K +0.245%G +0.007%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -4.98%E -0.415%K -0.452%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 18:35
Neds🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -4.98%E -0.415%K -0.452%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -4.98%E -0.415%K -0.452%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 18:40
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -8.05%E -6.71%K -40.27%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV +2.94%E +0.226%K +0.245%G +0.007%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 18:25
Unibet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 18:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 18:15
Casumo🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 18:15
BetRivers🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 18:15
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 18:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 18:15
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 18:35
TABtouch🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 18:15
Grosvenor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 18:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 18:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 18:35
betPARX🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 18:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 18:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 18:35
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 18:35
FanDuel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.24%EV -7.29%E -6.02%K -34.71%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 18:44
Bovada🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -5.76%E -4.68%K -25.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -28.73%E -3.19%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-07 18:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.23%EV -4.99%E -4.02%K -20.79%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.88%EV -4.98%E -0.415%K -0.452%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.89%EV -8.01%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 18:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.23%EV -4.99%E -4.02%K -20.79%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.88%EV -4.98%E -0.415%K -0.452%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.89%EV -8.01%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 18:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.52%EV -8.05%E -6.71%K -40.27%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.65%EV -4.98%E -0.415%K -0.452%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -10.33%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-07 18:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 75.57%EV -9.59%E -8.12%K -53.26%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.92%EV -20.81%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.10%E -1.93%K -2.34%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-07 18:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 75.57%EV -9.59%E -8.12%K -53.26%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.92%EV -20.81%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.10%E -1.93%K -2.34%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-07 18:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 75.57%EV -9.59%E -8.12%K -53.26%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.92%EV -20.81%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.10%E -1.93%K -2.34%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-07 18:15
BoyleSports🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.86%EV -8.05%E -6.71%K -40.27%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -4.98%E -0.415%K -0.452%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -14.97%E -2.72%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-07 18:35
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.73%EV -8.05%E -6.71%K -40.27%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -20.81%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -14.97%E -2.72%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-07 18:20
Paddy Power🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 75.65%EV -9.59%E -8.12%K -53.26%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.12%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -14.97%E -2.72%K -3.33%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-07 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 75.65%EV -9.59%E -8.12%K -53.26%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.12%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -14.97%E -2.72%K -3.33%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-07 18:40
LeoVegas🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.15%EV -8.05%E -6.71%K -40.27%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.90%EV -20.81%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -18.83%E -3.59%K -4.43%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-07 18:35
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.75%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV +2.94%E +0.226%K +0.245%G +0.007%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -22.70%E -4.54%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-07 18:40
Betsson🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.85%EV -4.99%E -4.02%K -20.79%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.40%EV +14.82%E +1.02%K +1.10%G +0.163%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.75%EV -23.47%E -4.74%K -5.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 18:40
NordicBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.85%EV -4.99%E -4.02%K -20.79%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.40%EV +14.82%E +1.02%K +1.10%G +0.163%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.75%EV -23.47%E -4.74%K -5.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 18:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.30%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.63%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.07%0.6%2026-08-07 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 78.30%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.63%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.07%0.6%2026-08-07 18:40
Matchbook1.27I 78.74%NM 78.30%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.63%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.07%0.6%2026-08-07 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.44%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.59%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.97%1.2%2026-08-07 18:35