La escuela de los momios

Wolverhampton Wanderers v Port Vale

2026-08-07 18:45 UTC — EFL Cup

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Wolverhampton Wanderers (Local)

Predicción 69.45%1.44momio equitativo
EV -5.55%
Ventaja -4.08%
Kelly -15.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.63%69.36%69.59%72.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.251.321.321.3680.00%75.81%75.76%73.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Port Vale (Visitante)

Predicción 12.15%8.23momio equitativo
EV +6.35%
Ventaja +0.726%
Kelly +0.820%
Crecimiento +0.052%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.57%12.36%12.02%14.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.807.177.508.7517.24%13.94%13.33%11.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 18.39%5.44momio equitativo
EV +1.17%
Ventaja +0.213%
Kelly +0.260%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.71%18.28%18.40%19.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.105.045.5022.22%19.61%19.84%18.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Betr (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.31%EV -8.32%E -6.31%K -26.02%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.76%EV +6.35%E +0.726%K +0.820%G +0.052%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.93%EV -3.43%E -0.653%K -0.807%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-23 05:59
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.29%EV -11.10%E -8.67%K -39.65%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.57%EV +6.35%E +0.726%K +0.820%G +0.052%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.14%EV -0.669%E -0.124%K -0.152%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-23 05:59
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -10.41%E -8.07%K -35.89%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV +3.31%E +0.390%K +0.442%G +0.015%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -8.03%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-23 05:59
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -10.41%E -8.07%K -35.89%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV +3.31%E +0.390%K +0.442%G +0.015%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -8.03%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-23 06:00
Marathon Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.62%EV -8.32%E -6.31%K -26.02%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.10%EV +2.10%E +0.250%K +0.283%G +0.006%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -6.19%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-14 05:38
1xBet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.37%EV -7.63%E -5.74%K -23.12%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.28%EV +0.882%E +0.106%K +0.121%G +0.001%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV -6.19%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-14 05:40
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 69.98%EV -5.55%E -4.08%K -15.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV -2.76%E -0.345%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -3.43%E -0.653%K -0.807%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 19:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.98%EV -5.55%E -4.08%K -15.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV -2.76%E -0.345%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -3.43%E -0.653%K -0.807%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 21:55
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 69.98%EV -5.55%E -4.08%K -15.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV -2.76%E -0.345%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -3.43%E -0.653%K -0.807%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-22 02:39
William Hill1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.24%E -4.62%K -17.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -2.76%E -0.345%K -0.395%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -11.71%E -2.44%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-14 05:54
FanDuel1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -11.10%E -8.67%K -39.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -2.76%E -0.345%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV +1.17%E +0.213%K +0.260%G +0.003%8.8%2026-07-23 06:00
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -9.71%E -7.47%K -32.38%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -2.76%E -0.345%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -8.03%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-17 18:59
betano_uk1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -9.71%E -7.47%K -32.38%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -2.76%E -0.345%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -8.03%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-17 19:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -13.19%E -10.55%K -52.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -2.76%E -0.345%K -0.395%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -8.03%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-23 05:59
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 68.58%EV -6.24%E -4.62%K -17.83%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.72%EV -3.98%E -0.504%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70%EV -13.55%E -2.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 23:59
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 68.58%EV -6.24%E -4.62%K -17.83%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.72%EV -3.98%E -0.504%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.70%EV -13.55%E -2.88%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 23:59
Pinnacle1.33I 75.19%NM 69.73%EV -7.63%E -5.74%K -23.12%G +0.000%7.81I 12.80%NM 11.87%EV -5.07%E -0.650%K -0.745%G +0.000%5.04I 19.84%NM 18.40%EV -7.29%E -1.45%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-10 19:05
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.59%EV -9.71%E -7.47%K -32.38%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV -5.19%E -0.666%K -0.764%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -4.35%E -0.836%K -1.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-15 08:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.24%E -4.62%K -17.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.84%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -8.03%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-21 21:55
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.24%E -4.62%K -17.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.84%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -8.03%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-21 21:55
Bovada1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -8.32%E -6.31%K -26.02%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -8.84%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -8.03%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-23 14:32
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -7.63%E -5.74%K -23.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -8.84%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -11.71%E -2.44%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-21 19:20
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -7.63%E -5.74%K -23.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -8.84%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -11.71%E -2.44%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-21 19:50
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -7.63%E -5.74%K -23.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -8.84%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -11.71%E -2.44%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-21 19:50
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -9.71%E -7.47%K -32.38%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -8.84%E -1.18%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -12.63%E -2.66%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-21 08:15
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -7.63%E -5.74%K -23.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -14.92%E -2.13%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -8.03%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-22 12:14
Unibet (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -7.63%E -5.74%K -23.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -14.92%E -2.13%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -8.03%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-21 14:30
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -7.63%E -5.74%K -23.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -14.92%E -2.13%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -8.03%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-23 14:35
NetBet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 69.16%EV -11.80%E -9.29%K -43.69%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.55%EV -14.92%E -2.13%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.30%EV -11.71%E -2.44%K -3.08%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-25 09:05
LowVig.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 66.63%EV -6.94%E -5.18%K -20.40%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.17%EV -23.43%E -3.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.20%EV -14.46%E -3.11%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-13 08:04
BetOnline.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 66.63%EV -6.94%E -5.18%K -20.40%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.17%EV -23.43%E -3.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.20%EV -14.46%E -3.11%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-13 08:04
Winamax (DE)1.29I 77.52%NM 67.79%EV -10.41%E -8.07%K -35.89%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 13.99%EV -24.03%E -3.85%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.22%EV -11.71%E -2.44%K -3.08%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-22 15:39
Unibet1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -8.32%E -6.31%K -26.02%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -25.86%E -4.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -0.669%E -0.124%K -0.152%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-07 16:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -8.32%E -6.31%K -26.02%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -25.86%E -4.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -0.669%E -0.124%K -0.152%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-07 16:09
Unibet (NL)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -8.32%E -6.31%K -26.02%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -25.86%E -4.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -0.669%E -0.124%K -0.152%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-07 16:09
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -8.32%E -6.31%K -26.02%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -25.86%E -4.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -0.669%E -0.124%K -0.152%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-07 16:10
Casumo1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -8.32%E -6.31%K -26.02%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -25.86%E -4.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -0.669%E -0.124%K -0.152%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-07 16:10
BetRivers1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -8.32%E -6.31%K -26.02%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -25.86%E -4.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -0.669%E -0.124%K -0.152%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-07 16:10
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -8.32%E -6.31%K -26.02%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -25.86%E -4.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -0.669%E -0.124%K -0.152%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-07 16:10
Unibet (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -8.32%E -6.31%K -26.02%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -25.86%E -4.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -0.669%E -0.124%K -0.152%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-07 16:09
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -8.32%E -6.31%K -26.02%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -25.86%E -4.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -0.669%E -0.124%K -0.152%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-07 16:09
Grosvenor1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -8.32%E -6.31%K -26.02%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -25.86%E -4.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -0.669%E -0.124%K -0.152%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-07 16:09
Svenska Spel1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -8.32%E -6.31%K -26.02%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -25.86%E -4.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -0.669%E -0.124%K -0.152%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-07 16:09
betPARX1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -8.32%E -6.31%K -26.02%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -25.86%E -4.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -0.669%E -0.124%K -0.152%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-07 16:10
ATG (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -8.32%E -6.31%K -26.02%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -25.86%E -4.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -0.669%E -0.124%K -0.152%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-07 16:10
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.45%EV -8.32%E -6.31%K -26.02%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.81%EV -25.86%E -4.24%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -0.669%E -0.124%K -0.152%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-16 14:05
Winamax (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 66.79%EV -12.49%E -9.91%K -48.05%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 14.51%EV -29.50%E -5.09%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.70%EV -17.22%E -3.83%K -4.92%G +0.000%18.8%2026-07-22 15:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 71.35%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.47%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.18%3.8%2026-07-26 03:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 71.35%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.47%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.18%3.8%2026-07-26 03:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 30.01%1.21I 82.64%NM 33.49%1.11I 90.09%NM 36.50%146.8%2026-07-26 05:15