Idioma:Español
Wolverhampton Wanderers v Port Vale
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Wolverhampton Wanderers (Local)
Predicción 76.62%1.31momio equitativo
EV -4.22%
Ventaja -3.38%
Kelly -16.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
74.15%76.64%76.61%79.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.151.211.221.2586.96%82.47%81.97%80.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Port Vale (Visitante)
Predicción 7.92%12.63momio equitativo
EV +18.78%
Ventaja +1.25%
Kelly +1.34%
Crecimiento +0.252%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 15.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
6.33%7.81%7.84%10.31%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
9.0011.5211.0015.0011.11%8.68%9.09%6.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 15.46%6.47momio equitativo
EV +16.26%
Ventaja +2.16%
Kelly +2.49%
Crecimiento +0.406%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.52
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.43%15.55%15.54%18.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.955.956.007.5220.20%16.82%16.67%13.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Wolverhampton Wanderers (Local): 76.62%; Port Vale (Visitante): 7.92%; Empate: 15.46%. Para Port Vale (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 12.63. 9 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 15.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +18.78%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.26%EV -7.29%E -6.02%K -34.71%G +0.000% | 9.07I 11.03%NM 10.31%EV -28.18%E -3.11%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.52I 13.30%NM 12.43%EV +16.26%E +2.16%K +2.49%G +0.406% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 18:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.08%EV -8.05%E -6.71%K -40.27%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV +18.78%E +1.25%K +1.34%G +0.252% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV +0.492%E +0.076%K +0.090%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 18:33 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.08%EV -8.05%E -6.71%K -40.27%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV +18.78%E +1.25%K +1.34%G +0.252% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV +0.492%E +0.076%K +0.090%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.07%EV -4.99%E -4.02%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.64%EV -1.02%E -0.081%K -0.089%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.29%EV -3.37%E -0.540%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-07 18:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.58%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +2.94%E +0.226%K +0.245%G +0.007% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.14%EV -3.37%E -0.540%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 18:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.35%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.55%EV -1.02%E -0.081%K -0.089%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.10%EV -3.37%E -0.540%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 18:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.25%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.86%EV -16.86%E -1.61%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV -3.37%E -0.540%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.37%EV -8.82%E -7.41%K -46.43%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -20.81%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.54%EV -3.37%E -0.540%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.01%EV -8.82%E -7.41%K -46.43%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -24.77%E -2.61%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.47%EV -3.37%E -0.540%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.30%EV -8.82%E -7.41%K -46.43%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.43%EV +14.82%E +1.02%K +1.10%G +0.163% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.27%EV -5.69%E -0.933%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-07 18:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 77.04%EV -11.89%E -10.34%K -79.24%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.44%EV -16.86%E -1.61%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.52%EV -5.69%E -0.933%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-07 18:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.53%EV -5.76%E -4.68%K -25.03%G +0.000% | 12.06I 8.29%NM 7.81%EV -4.50%E -0.373%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 6.01I 16.64%NM 15.66%EV -7.08%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.22%E -3.38%K -16.89%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV -4.98%E -0.415%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 18:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV +2.94%E +0.226%K +0.245%G +0.007% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -4.98%E -0.415%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -4.98%E -0.415%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -4.98%E -0.415%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 18:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -8.05%E -6.71%K -40.27%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV +2.94%E +0.226%K +0.245%G +0.007% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-07 18:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-07 18:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-07 18:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-07 18:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-07 18:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-07 18:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-07 18:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-07 18:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-07 18:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-07 18:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-07 18:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.24%EV -7.29%E -6.02%K -34.71%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-07 18:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -5.76%E -4.68%K -25.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -28.73%E -3.19%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -7.24%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.23%EV -4.99%E -4.02%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.88%EV -4.98%E -0.415%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 15.89%EV -8.01%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.23%EV -4.99%E -4.02%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.88%EV -4.98%E -0.415%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 15.89%EV -8.01%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.52%EV -8.05%E -6.71%K -40.27%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.65%EV -4.98%E -0.415%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -10.33%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.57%EV -9.59%E -8.12%K -53.26%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.92%EV -20.81%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.10%E -1.93%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-07 18:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.57%EV -9.59%E -8.12%K -53.26%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.92%EV -20.81%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.10%E -1.93%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-07 18:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.57%EV -9.59%E -8.12%K -53.26%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.92%EV -20.81%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.51%EV -11.10%E -1.93%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-07 18:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.86%EV -8.05%E -6.71%K -40.27%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -4.98%E -0.415%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -14.97%E -2.72%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.73%EV -8.05%E -6.71%K -40.27%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -20.81%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -14.97%E -2.72%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-07 18:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.65%EV -9.59%E -8.12%K -53.26%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.12%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -14.97%E -2.72%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-07 18:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.65%EV -9.59%E -8.12%K -53.26%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.12%EV -12.90%E -1.17%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -14.97%E -2.72%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-07 18:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.15%EV -8.05%E -6.71%K -40.27%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.90%EV -20.81%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -18.83%E -3.59%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.75%EV -6.52%E -5.35%K -29.65%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV +2.94%E +0.226%K +0.245%G +0.007% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.24%EV -22.70%E -4.54%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-07 18:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.85%EV -4.99%E -4.02%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.40%EV +14.82%E +1.02%K +1.10%G +0.163% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.75%EV -23.47%E -4.74%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-07 18:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.85%EV -4.99%E -4.02%K -20.79%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.40%EV +14.82%E +1.02%K +1.10%G +0.163% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.75%EV -23.47%E -4.74%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.30% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.63% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.07% | 0.6% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.30% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.63% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.07% | 0.6% | 2026-08-07 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.30% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.63% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.07% | 0.6% | 2026-08-07 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.44% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.59% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.97% | 1.2% | 2026-08-07 18:35 |