The School of OddsWimbledon v Newport County
Head to Head
Option 1: Wimbledon (Local)
Odds
1.4270.42%Min
1.4569.04%Mean
1.4469.44%Median
1.5066.67%Max
Consensus probabilities
60.69%1.648Min
64.88%1.541Max
62.56%1.598Mean
62.33%1.604Median
62.33%1.604IQM
62.68%1.595Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.50 under the IQM model: 62.33%
EV -6.50%Edge -4.33%Kelly -13.00%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Newport County (Visit)
Odds
5.5018.18%Min
6.0116.65%Mean
6.0016.67%Median
6.5015.38%Max
Consensus probabilities
14.17%7.055Min
16.55%6.042Max
15.47%6.463Mean
15.58%6.418Median
15.58%6.418IQM
15.40%6.493Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 6.50 under the IQM model: 15.58%
EV +1.27%Edge +0.196%Kelly +0.231%Growth +0.003%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
4.0025.00%Min
4.1424.15%Mean
4.1024.39%Median
4.4022.73%Max
Consensus probabilities
20.94%4.776Min
22.76%4.394Max
21.97%4.552Mean
22.09%4.528Median
22.09%4.528IQM
21.92%4.562Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 4.40 under the IQM model: 22.09%
EV -2.82%Edge -0.641%Kelly -0.829%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Wimbledon (Local) | Newport County (Visit) ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.50I 66.67% NM 64.29%EV -6.50% E -4.33% K -13.00% G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81% NM 14.29%EV +5.17% E +0.765% K +0.898% G +0.046% | 4.50I 22.22% NM 21.43%EV -0.611% E -0.136% K -0.174% G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-26 11:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.48I 67.57% NM 63.62%EV -7.75% E -5.23% K -16.14% G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38% NM 14.49%EV +1.27% E +0.196% K +0.231% G +0.003% | 4.30I 23.26% NM 21.90%EV -5.03% E -1.17% K -1.52% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 02:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.44I 69.44% NM 64.35%EV -10.24% E -7.11% K -23.27% G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38% NM 14.26%EV +1.27% E +0.196% K +0.231% G +0.003% | 4.33I 23.09% NM 21.40%EV -4.37% E -1.01% K -1.31% G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-26 11:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44% NM 64.35%EV -10.24% E -7.11% K -23.27% G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38% NM 14.26%EV +1.27% E +0.196% K +0.231% G +0.003% | 4.33I 23.09% NM 21.40%EV -4.37% E -1.01% K -1.31% G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-26 11:48 |
| Sky Bet | 1.44I 69.44% NM 64.35%EV -10.24% E -7.11% K -23.27% G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38% NM 14.26%EV +1.27% E +0.196% K +0.231% G +0.003% | 4.33I 23.09% NM 21.40%EV -4.37% E -1.01% K -1.31% G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-26 14:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.42I 70.42% NM 64.88%EV -11.49% E -8.09% K -27.35% G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38% NM 14.17%EV +1.27% E +0.196% K +0.231% G +0.003% | 4.40I 22.73% NM 20.94%EV -2.82% E -0.641% K -0.829% G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-26 14:39 |
| 1xBet | 1.48I 67.57% NM 63.27%EV -7.75% E -5.23% K -16.14% G +0.000% | 6.26I 15.97% NM 14.96%EV -2.47% E -0.394% K -0.469% G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26% NM 21.78%EV -5.03% E -1.17% K -1.52% G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-26 17:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.44I 69.44% NM 62.84%EV -10.24% E -7.11% K -23.27% G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67% NM 15.08%EV -6.52% E -1.09% K -1.30% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 22.07%EV -9.45% E -2.30% K -3.05% G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-30 08:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.44I 69.44% NM 62.84%EV -10.24% E -7.11% K -23.27% G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67% NM 15.08%EV -6.52% E -1.09% K -1.30% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 22.07%EV -9.45% E -2.30% K -3.05% G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-30 08:29 |
| Unibet | 1.44I 69.44% NM 62.84%EV -10.24% E -7.11% K -23.27% G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67% NM 15.08%EV -6.52% E -1.09% K -1.30% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 22.07%EV -9.45% E -2.30% K -3.05% G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-30 08:39 |
| BetRivers | 1.43I 69.93% NM 63.01%EV -10.86% E -7.60% K -25.26% G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67% NM 15.02%EV -6.52% E -1.09% K -1.30% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 21.98%EV -9.45% E -2.30% K -3.05% G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-30 05:19 |
| betPARX | 1.43I 69.93% NM 63.01%EV -10.86% E -7.60% K -25.26% G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67% NM 15.02%EV -6.52% E -1.09% K -1.30% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 21.98%EV -9.45% E -2.30% K -3.05% G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-30 08:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.43I 69.93% NM 63.01%EV -10.86% E -7.60% K -25.26% G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67% NM 15.02%EV -6.52% E -1.09% K -1.30% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 21.98%EV -9.45% E -2.30% K -3.05% G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-30 08:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.43I 69.93% NM 63.01%EV -10.86% E -7.60% K -25.26% G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67% NM 15.02%EV -6.52% E -1.09% K -1.30% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 21.98%EV -9.45% E -2.30% K -3.05% G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-30 08:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.43I 69.93% NM 63.01%EV -10.86% E -7.60% K -25.26% G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67% NM 15.02%EV -6.52% E -1.09% K -1.30% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 21.98%EV -9.45% E -2.30% K -3.05% G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-30 08:29 |
| Grosvenor | 1.43I 69.93% NM 63.01%EV -10.86% E -7.60% K -25.26% G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67% NM 15.02%EV -6.52% E -1.09% K -1.30% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 21.98%EV -9.45% E -2.30% K -3.05% G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-30 08:29 |
| Casumo | 1.43I 69.93% NM 63.01%EV -10.86% E -7.60% K -25.26% G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67% NM 15.02%EV -6.52% E -1.09% K -1.30% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 21.98%EV -9.45% E -2.30% K -3.05% G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-30 08:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.43I 69.93% NM 63.01%EV -10.86% E -7.60% K -25.26% G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67% NM 15.02%EV -6.52% E -1.09% K -1.30% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 21.98%EV -9.45% E -2.30% K -3.05% G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-30 08:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.43I 69.93% NM 63.01%EV -10.86% E -7.60% K -25.26% G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67% NM 15.02%EV -6.52% E -1.09% K -1.30% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 21.98%EV -9.45% E -2.30% K -3.05% G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-30 08:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.43I 69.93% NM 63.01%EV -10.86% E -7.60% K -25.26% G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67% NM 15.02%EV -6.52% E -1.09% K -1.30% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 21.98%EV -9.45% E -2.30% K -3.05% G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-30 08:39 |
| LeoVegas | 1.45I 68.97% NM 63.01%EV -9.62% E -6.63% K -21.37% G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95% NM 15.49%EV -8.08% E -1.37% K -1.65% G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53% NM 21.50%EV -6.13% E -1.44% K -1.89% G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-02 10:20 |
| William Hill | 1.50I 66.67% NM 60.69%EV -6.50% E -4.33% K -13.00% G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18% NM 16.55%EV -14.31% E -2.60% K -3.18% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 22.76%EV -11.65% E -2.91% K -3.88% G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-30 14:00 |
| 888sport | 1.50I 66.67% NM 60.69%EV -6.50% E -4.33% K -13.00% G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18% NM 16.55%EV -14.31% E -2.60% K -3.18% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 22.76%EV -11.65% E -2.91% K -3.88% G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.50I 66.67% NM 60.69%EV -6.50% E -4.33% K -13.00% G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18% NM 16.55%EV -14.31% E -2.60% K -3.18% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 22.76%EV -11.65% E -2.91% K -3.88% G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-30 14:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.50I 66.67% NM 60.69%EV -6.50% E -4.33% K -13.00% G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18% NM 16.55%EV -14.31% E -2.60% K -3.18% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 22.76%EV -11.65% E -2.91% K -3.88% G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-30 14:19 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44% NM 61.66%EV -10.24% E -7.11% K -23.27% G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18% NM 16.14%EV -14.31% E -2.60% K -3.18% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 22.20%EV -11.65% E -2.91% K -3.88% G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-06-30 12:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Wimbledon (Local) | Newport County (Visit) | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.04I 96.15% | 1.04I 96.15% | 1.02I 98.04% | 190.3% | 2026-06-26 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.04I 96.15% | 1.04I 96.15% | 1.02I 98.04% | 190.3% | 2026-06-26 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.04I 96.15% | 1.04I 96.15% | 1.02I 98.04% | 190.3% | 2026-06-26 15:29 |