Language:English
Wimbledon v Newport County
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Wimbledon (Local)
Prediction 57.50%1.74fair odd
EV -3.97%
Edge -2.38%
Kelly -5.92%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.21%57.41%57.44%58.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.631.621.6765.36%61.53%61.73%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Newport County (Visit)
Prediction 19.17%5.22fair odd
EV +0.662%
Edge +0.126%
Kelly +0.156%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 5.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.94%19.19%19.13%20.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.354.714.705.2522.99%21.21%21.28%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.32%4.29fair odd
EV -2.51%
Edge -0.602%
Kelly -0.791%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.39%23.40%23.43%25.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.653.883.854.1827.40%25.76%25.97%23.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wimbledon (Local): 57.50%; Newport County (Visit): 19.17%; Draw: 23.32%. For Newport County (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.22. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.662%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -7.42%E -4.61%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV +0.662%E +0.126%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -7.42%E -4.61%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV +0.662%E +0.126%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.84%EV -8.57%E -5.39%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -2.21%E -0.434%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -4.38%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.63%EV -6.84%E -4.22%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 5.03I 19.88%NM 18.56%EV -3.56%E -0.707%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.81%EV -8.58%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.72%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -4.13%E -0.826%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.23%EV -4.38%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -4.13%E -0.826%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.84%E -4.22%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.13%E -0.826%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -7.99%E -5.00%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -4.13%E -0.826%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -4.38%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -7.99%E -5.00%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -4.13%E -0.826%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.40%EV -6.84%E -4.22%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.99I 20.04%NM 18.96%EV -4.32%E -0.866%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 22.64%EV -2.51%E -0.602%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.36%EV -7.99%E -5.00%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.86%EV -5.09%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -4.38%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.20%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.73%EV -5.09%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -13.71%E -3.71%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.20%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.73%EV -5.09%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -13.71%E -3.71%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -7.97%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -7.97%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -9.72%E -6.19%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -7.97%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -4.38%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -7.99%E -5.00%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -7.97%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.04%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.53%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.87%EV -8.93%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -5.69%E -3.47%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -8.93%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -5.69%E -3.47%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -8.93%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.93%EV -6.84%E -4.22%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.42%EV -8.93%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -9.04%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.52%EV -7.99%E -5.00%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -8.93%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -13.71%E -3.71%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -9.72%E -6.19%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -8.93%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 13:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.76%EV -9.14%E -5.79%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -9.88%E -2.10%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.10%EV -8.57%E -5.39%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.32%EV -9.88%E -2.10%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.58%EV -10.21%E -2.65%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.10%EV -8.57%E -5.39%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.32%EV -9.88%E -2.10%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.58%EV -10.21%E -2.65%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.80%EV -4.54%E -2.74%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -11.80%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -10.21%E -2.65%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 13:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -11.80%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -11.80%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -11.80%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -11.80%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.31%EV -10.87%E -7.01%K -19.76%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.31%EV -11.80%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.38%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.63%EV -12.02%E -7.85%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -11.80%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.41%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -10.21%E -2.65%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.41%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -10.21%E -2.65%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.41%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -10.21%E -2.65%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.96%EV -7.99%E -5.00%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.42%EV -10.29%E -6.60%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.68%EV -7.88%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.58%EV -9.72%E -6.19%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -12.54%E -3.34%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.21%EV -7.42%E -4.61%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.43%EV -16.59%E -3.81%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.35%EV -14.88%E -4.08%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.21%EV -7.42%E -4.61%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.43%EV -16.59%E -3.81%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.35%EV -14.88%E -4.08%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.21%EV -7.42%E -4.61%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.43%EV -16.59%E -3.81%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.35%EV -14.88%E -4.08%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.93% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.44% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63% | 0.4% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.21% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.21% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.36% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.25% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39% | 1.5% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
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