L’École des cotes

Wimbledon v Newport County

2026-08-08 14:00 UTC — EFL Cup

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Wimbledon (Local)

Prévision 56.29%1.78cote équitable
EV -4.87%
Avantage -2.88%
Kelly -7.05%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.96%56.33%56.30%58.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.541.611.621.6964.94%62.02%61.73%59.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Newport County (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.11%4.97cote équitable
EV +2.55%
Avantage +0.500%
Kelly +0.622%
Croissance +0.016%

avec la cote maximale 5.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.99%20.15%20.05%22.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.954.564.505.1025.32%21.91%22.22%19.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.60%4.24cote équitable
EV -3.00%
Avantage -0.730%
Kelly -0.965%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.11

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.30%23.52%23.65%24.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.914.004.1128.57%25.57%25.00%24.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 58.20%EV -9.37%E -5.82%K -15.36%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV +2.55%E +0.500%K +0.622%G +0.016%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.43%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 13:00
SportsBet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.69%EV -8.25%E -5.06%K -13.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV +0.539%E +0.108%K +0.135%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 12:59
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -8.81%E -5.44%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV +0.539%E +0.108%K +0.135%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 12:58
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -8.81%E -5.44%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV +0.539%E +0.108%K +0.135%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 12:59
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 58.03%EV -12.75%E -8.22%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV +0.539%E +0.108%K +0.135%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -11.50%E -3.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-10 13:29
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.17%EV -7.12%E -4.31%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -1.47%E -0.300%K -0.377%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 12:59
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 56.64%EV -5.99%E -3.59%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -3.48%E -0.726%K -0.916%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-21 19:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -5.99%E -3.59%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -3.48%E -0.726%K -0.916%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -7.96%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 21:55
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -4.87%E -2.88%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -4.49%E -0.945%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 02:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -5.99%E -3.59%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -4.49%E -0.945%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -7.96%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-21 21:55
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -5.99%E -3.59%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -4.49%E -0.945%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -7.96%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-21 21:55
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -7.68%E -4.68%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -5.49%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-14 12:19
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -7.12%E -4.31%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -5.49%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -12.68%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-21 08:15
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -7.12%E -4.31%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -5.49%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -12.68%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-21 08:15
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.41%EV -6.56%E -3.95%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.18%EV -6.70%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-14 12:54
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -5.99%E -3.59%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -7.50%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -7.96%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-12 17:50
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -7.12%E -4.31%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -7.50%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -10.32%E -2.71%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-21 19:20
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -7.12%E -4.31%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -7.50%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -10.32%E -2.71%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-21 19:50
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -7.12%E -4.31%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -7.50%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -10.32%E -2.71%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-21 19:50
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -7.12%E -4.31%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -7.50%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -10.32%E -2.71%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-10 14:04
betano_uk1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -9.37%E -5.82%K -15.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -7.50%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -10.32%E -2.71%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-22 13:34
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -9.37%E -5.82%K -15.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -7.50%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -10.32%E -2.71%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-22 13:33
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 55.87%EV -7.12%E -4.31%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -7.96%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-22 08:20
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -8.81%E -5.44%K -14.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-19 17:09
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -11.62%E -7.40%K -20.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-13 19:04
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -11.62%E -7.40%K -20.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-13 19:04
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -11.62%E -7.40%K -20.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-13 18:50
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 57.58%EV -12.19%E -7.81%K -21.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-13 18:50
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 57.58%EV -12.19%E -7.81%K -21.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-13 19:39
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.58%EV -12.19%E -7.81%K -21.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-13 19:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.58%EV -12.19%E -7.81%K -21.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-13 19:05
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.58%EV -12.19%E -7.81%K -21.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-13 19:05
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 57.58%EV -12.19%E -7.81%K -21.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-13 19:04
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 57.58%EV -12.19%E -7.81%K -21.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-13 19:04
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.58%EV -12.19%E -7.81%K -21.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-13 19:40
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 57.58%EV -12.19%E -7.81%K -21.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-13 19:40
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 57.58%EV -12.19%E -7.81%K -21.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-13 18:50
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.58%EV -12.19%E -7.81%K -21.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-16 14:05
Bovada1.64I 60.98%NM 56.09%EV -7.68%E -4.68%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV -11.53%E -2.62%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-21 19:20
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 55.97%EV -5.99%E -3.59%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.29%EV -11.73%E -2.67%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 22.74%EV -3.00%E -0.730%K -0.965%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 14:09
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 56.10%EV -12.75%E -8.22%K -23.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.71%EV -15.55%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.19%EV -11.50%E -3.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-22 13:34
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.18%EV -11.06%E -7.00%K -19.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.26%EV -17.56%E -4.28%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.56%EV -12.68%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-22 15:39
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 53.96%EV -7.12%E -4.31%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.98%EV -18.56%E -4.58%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -12.68%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-13 17:55
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 53.96%EV -7.12%E -4.31%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.98%EV -18.56%E -4.58%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -12.68%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-13 17:55
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.37%E -5.82%K -15.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -19.57%E -4.89%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-21 19:20
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 54.65%EV -13.31%E -8.64%K -24.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.31%EV -20.57%E -5.21%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.05%EV -17.40%E -4.97%K -6.96%G +0.000%18.8%2026-07-22 15:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.78%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.15%4.8%2026-07-26 01:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.78%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.15%4.8%2026-07-26 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.78%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.15%4.8%2026-07-26 03:15