Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Wimbledon v Newport County

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-08 14:00 UTC

Score final : Wimbledon 1–1 Newport County

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Wimbledon (Local)

Prévision 57.50%1.74cote équitable
EV -3.97%
Avantage -2.38%
Kelly -5.92%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.21%57.41%57.44%58.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.531.631.621.6765.36%61.53%61.73%59.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Newport County (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.17%5.22cote équitable
EV +0.662%
Avantage +0.126%
Kelly +0.156%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 5.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.94%19.19%19.13%20.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.354.714.705.2522.99%21.21%21.28%19.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.32%4.29cote équitable
EV -2.51%
Avantage -0.602%
Kelly -0.791%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.39%23.40%23.43%25.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.653.883.854.1827.40%25.76%25.97%23.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Wimbledon (Local) : 57.50% ; Newport County (Visiteur) : 19.17% ; Match nul : 23.32%. Pour Newport County (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.22. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.25, soit une espérance positive de +0.662%.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -7.42%E -4.61%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV +0.662%E +0.126%K +0.156%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 13:59
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -7.42%E -4.61%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV +0.662%E +0.126%K +0.156%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 13:59
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.84%EV -8.57%E -5.39%K -14.52%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -2.21%E -0.434%K -0.540%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -4.38%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 13:49
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.63%EV -6.84%E -4.22%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 18.56%EV -3.56%E -0.707%K -0.883%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.81%EV -8.58%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 13:49
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.72%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -4.13%E -0.826%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.23%EV -4.38%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 13:55
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -4.13%E -0.826%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 13:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.84%E -4.22%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.13%E -0.826%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 13:54
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -7.99%E -5.00%K -13.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -4.13%E -0.826%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -4.38%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 13:50
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -7.99%E -5.00%K -13.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -4.13%E -0.826%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 13:55
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.40%EV -6.84%E -4.22%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 18.96%EV -4.32%E -0.866%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.64%EV -2.51%E -0.602%K -0.791%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 13:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.36%EV -7.99%E -5.00%K -13.32%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.86%EV -5.09%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -4.38%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 13:54
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.20%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.73%EV -5.09%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -13.71%E -3.71%K -5.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 13:54
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.20%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.73%EV -5.09%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -13.71%E -3.71%K -5.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 13:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -7.97%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 13:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -7.97%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 13:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -9.72%E -6.19%K -17.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -7.97%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -4.38%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 13:59
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -7.99%E -5.00%K -13.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -7.97%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.04%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 13:54
Coolbet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.53%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.87%EV -8.93%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 13:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -5.69%E -3.47%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -8.93%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 13:55
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -5.69%E -3.47%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -8.93%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 13:54
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.93%EV -6.84%E -4.22%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.42%EV -8.93%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -9.04%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 13:59
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.52%EV -7.99%E -5.00%K -13.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -8.93%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -13.71%E -3.71%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-08 13:54
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -9.72%E -6.19%K -17.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -8.93%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 13:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.76%EV -9.14%E -5.79%K -15.76%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -9.88%E -2.10%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 13:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.10%EV -8.57%E -5.39%K -14.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.32%EV -9.88%E -2.10%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.58%EV -10.21%E -2.65%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 13:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.10%EV -8.57%E -5.39%K -14.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.32%EV -9.88%E -2.10%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.58%EV -10.21%E -2.65%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 13:59
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.80%EV -4.54%E -2.74%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -11.80%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -10.21%E -2.65%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 13:24
William Hill🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -11.80%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 13:54
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -11.80%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 13:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -11.80%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 13:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -11.80%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 13:54
Sky Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.31%EV -10.87%E -7.01%K -19.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.31%EV -11.80%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.38%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-08 13:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.63%EV -12.02%E -7.85%K -22.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -11.80%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-08 13:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.41%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -10.21%E -2.65%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 13:59
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.41%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -10.21%E -2.65%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 13:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.41%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -10.21%E -2.65%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 13:59
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 13:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 13:55
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 13:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 13:55
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 13:54
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 13:54
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.96%EV -7.99%E -5.00%K -13.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 13:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.42%EV -10.29%E -6.60%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.68%EV -7.88%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-08 13:55
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.58%EV -9.72%E -6.19%K -17.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -12.54%E -3.34%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-08 13:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.21%EV -7.42%E -4.61%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.43%EV -16.59%E -3.81%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.35%EV -14.88%E -4.08%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 13:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.21%EV -7.42%E -4.61%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.43%EV -16.59%E -3.81%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.35%EV -14.88%E -4.08%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 13:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.21%EV -7.42%E -4.61%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.43%EV -16.59%E -3.81%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.35%EV -14.88%E -4.08%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 13:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.93%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.44%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63%0.4%2026-08-08 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.21%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.1%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.21%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.1%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.36%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.25%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39%1.5%2026-08-08 13:50