Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Wimbledon v Newport County

Início: 2026-08-08 14:00 UTC

Final: Wimbledon 1–1 Newport County

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Wimbledon (Local)

Previsão 57.50%1.74odd justa
EV -3.97%
Vantagem -2.38%
Kelly -5.92%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.67

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.21%57.41%57.44%58.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.531.631.621.6765.36%61.53%61.73%59.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Newport County (Visitante)

Previsão 19.17%5.22odd justa
EV +0.662%
Vantagem +0.126%
Kelly +0.156%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.94%19.19%19.13%20.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.354.714.705.2522.99%21.21%21.28%19.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 23.32%4.29odd justa
EV -2.51%
Vantagem -0.602%
Kelly -0.791%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.18

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.39%23.40%23.43%25.06%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.653.883.854.1827.40%25.76%25.97%23.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Wimbledon (Local): 57.50%; Newport County (Visitante): 19.17%; Empate: 23.32%. Para Newport County (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.22. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.25, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.662%.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -7.42%E -4.61%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV +0.662%E +0.126%K +0.156%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 13:59
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -7.42%E -4.61%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV +0.662%E +0.126%K +0.156%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 13:59
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.84%EV -8.57%E -5.39%K -14.52%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -2.21%E -0.434%K -0.540%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -4.38%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 13:49
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.63%EV -6.84%E -4.22%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 18.56%EV -3.56%E -0.707%K -0.883%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.81%EV -8.58%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 13:49
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.72%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -4.13%E -0.826%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.23%EV -4.38%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 13:55
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -4.13%E -0.826%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 13:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.84%E -4.22%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.13%E -0.826%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 13:54
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -7.99%E -5.00%K -13.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -4.13%E -0.826%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -4.38%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 13:50
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -7.99%E -5.00%K -13.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -4.13%E -0.826%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 13:55
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.40%EV -6.84%E -4.22%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 18.96%EV -4.32%E -0.866%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.64%EV -2.51%E -0.602%K -0.791%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 13:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.36%EV -7.99%E -5.00%K -13.32%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.86%EV -5.09%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -4.38%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 13:54
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.20%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.73%EV -5.09%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -13.71%E -3.71%K -5.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 13:54
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.20%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.73%EV -5.09%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -13.71%E -3.71%K -5.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 13:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -7.97%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 13:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -7.97%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 13:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -9.72%E -6.19%K -17.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -7.97%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -4.38%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 13:59
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -7.99%E -5.00%K -13.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -7.97%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.04%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 13:54
Coolbet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.53%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.87%EV -8.93%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 13:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -5.69%E -3.47%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -8.93%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 13:55
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -5.69%E -3.47%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -8.93%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 13:54
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.93%EV -6.84%E -4.22%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.42%EV -8.93%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -9.04%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 13:59
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.52%EV -7.99%E -5.00%K -13.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -8.93%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -13.71%E -3.71%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-08 13:54
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -9.72%E -6.19%K -17.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -8.93%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 13:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.76%EV -9.14%E -5.79%K -15.76%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -9.88%E -2.10%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 13:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.10%EV -8.57%E -5.39%K -14.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.32%EV -9.88%E -2.10%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.58%EV -10.21%E -2.65%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 13:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.10%EV -8.57%E -5.39%K -14.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.32%EV -9.88%E -2.10%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.58%EV -10.21%E -2.65%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 13:59
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.80%EV -4.54%E -2.74%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -11.80%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -10.21%E -2.65%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 13:24
William Hill🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -11.80%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 13:54
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -11.80%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 13:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -11.80%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 13:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -11.80%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 13:54
Sky Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.31%EV -10.87%E -7.01%K -19.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.31%EV -11.80%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.38%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-08 13:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.63%EV -12.02%E -7.85%K -22.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -11.80%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-08 13:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.41%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -10.21%E -2.65%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 13:59
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.41%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -10.21%E -2.65%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 13:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.41%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -10.21%E -2.65%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 13:59
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 13:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 13:55
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 13:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 13:55
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 13:54
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 13:54
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.96%EV -7.99%E -5.00%K -13.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 13:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.42%EV -10.29%E -6.60%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.68%EV -7.88%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-08 13:55
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.58%EV -9.72%E -6.19%K -17.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -12.54%E -3.34%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-08 13:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.21%EV -7.42%E -4.61%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.43%EV -16.59%E -3.81%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.35%EV -14.88%E -4.08%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 13:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.21%EV -7.42%E -4.61%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.43%EV -16.59%E -3.81%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.35%EV -14.88%E -4.08%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 13:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.21%EV -7.42%E -4.61%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.43%EV -16.59%E -3.81%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.35%EV -14.88%E -4.08%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 13:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.93%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.44%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63%0.4%2026-08-08 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.21%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.1%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.21%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.1%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.36%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.25%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39%1.5%2026-08-08 13:50