La escuela de los momios

Wimbledon v Newport County

2026-08-08 14:00 UTC — EFL Cup

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Wimbledon (Local)

Predicción 56.29%1.78momio equitativo
EV -4.87%
Ventaja -2.88%
Kelly -7.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.96%56.33%56.30%58.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.541.611.621.6964.94%62.02%61.73%59.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Newport County (Visitante)

Predicción 20.11%4.97momio equitativo
EV +2.55%
Ventaja +0.500%
Kelly +0.622%
Crecimiento +0.016%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.99%20.15%20.05%22.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.954.564.505.1025.32%21.91%22.22%19.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.60%4.24momio equitativo
EV -3.00%
Ventaja -0.730%
Kelly -0.965%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.11

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.30%23.52%23.65%24.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.914.004.1128.57%25.57%25.00%24.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 58.20%EV -9.37%E -5.82%K -15.36%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV +2.55%E +0.500%K +0.622%G +0.016%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.43%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 13:00
SportsBet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.69%EV -8.25%E -5.06%K -13.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV +0.539%E +0.108%K +0.135%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 12:59
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -8.81%E -5.44%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV +0.539%E +0.108%K +0.135%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 12:58
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -8.81%E -5.44%K -14.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV +0.539%E +0.108%K +0.135%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 12:59
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 58.03%EV -12.75%E -8.22%K -23.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV +0.539%E +0.108%K +0.135%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -11.50%E -3.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-10 13:29
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.17%EV -7.12%E -4.31%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -1.47%E -0.300%K -0.377%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 12:59
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 56.64%EV -5.99%E -3.59%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -3.48%E -0.726%K -0.916%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-21 19:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -5.99%E -3.59%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -3.48%E -0.726%K -0.916%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -7.96%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 21:55
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -4.87%E -2.88%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -4.49%E -0.945%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 02:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -5.99%E -3.59%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -4.49%E -0.945%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -7.96%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-21 21:55
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -5.99%E -3.59%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -4.49%E -0.945%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -7.96%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-21 21:55
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -7.68%E -4.68%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -5.49%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-14 12:19
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -7.12%E -4.31%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -5.49%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -12.68%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-21 08:15
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -7.12%E -4.31%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -5.49%E -1.17%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -12.68%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-21 08:15
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.41%EV -6.56%E -3.95%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.18%EV -6.70%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-14 12:54
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -5.99%E -3.59%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -7.50%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -7.96%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-12 17:50
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -7.12%E -4.31%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -7.50%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -10.32%E -2.71%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-21 19:20
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -7.12%E -4.31%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -7.50%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -10.32%E -2.71%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-21 19:50
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -7.12%E -4.31%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -7.50%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -10.32%E -2.71%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-21 19:50
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -7.12%E -4.31%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -7.50%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -10.32%E -2.71%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-10 14:04
betano_uk1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -9.37%E -5.82%K -15.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -7.50%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -10.32%E -2.71%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-22 13:34
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -9.37%E -5.82%K -15.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -7.50%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -10.32%E -2.71%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-22 13:33
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 55.87%EV -7.12%E -4.31%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -7.96%E -2.04%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-22 08:20
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -8.81%E -5.44%K -14.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-19 17:09
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -11.62%E -7.40%K -20.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-13 19:04
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -11.62%E -7.40%K -20.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-13 19:04
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -11.62%E -7.40%K -20.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-13 18:50
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 57.58%EV -12.19%E -7.81%K -21.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-13 18:50
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 57.58%EV -12.19%E -7.81%K -21.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-13 19:39
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.58%EV -12.19%E -7.81%K -21.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-13 19:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.58%EV -12.19%E -7.81%K -21.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-13 19:05
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.58%EV -12.19%E -7.81%K -21.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-13 19:05
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 57.58%EV -12.19%E -7.81%K -21.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-13 19:04
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 57.58%EV -12.19%E -7.81%K -21.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-13 19:04
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.58%EV -12.19%E -7.81%K -21.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-13 19:40
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 57.58%EV -12.19%E -7.81%K -21.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-13 19:40
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 57.58%EV -12.19%E -7.81%K -21.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-13 18:50
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.58%EV -12.19%E -7.81%K -21.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -9.51%E -2.11%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-16 14:05
Bovada1.64I 60.98%NM 56.09%EV -7.68%E -4.68%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV -11.53%E -2.62%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-21 19:20
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 55.97%EV -5.99%E -3.59%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.29%EV -11.73%E -2.67%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 22.74%EV -3.00%E -0.730%K -0.965%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 14:09
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 56.10%EV -12.75%E -8.22%K -23.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.71%EV -15.55%E -3.70%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.19%EV -11.50%E -3.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-22 13:34
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.18%EV -11.06%E -7.00%K -19.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.26%EV -17.56%E -4.28%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.56%EV -12.68%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-22 15:39
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 53.96%EV -7.12%E -4.31%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.98%EV -18.56%E -4.58%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -12.68%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-13 17:55
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 53.96%EV -7.12%E -4.31%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.98%EV -18.56%E -4.58%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -12.68%E -3.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-13 17:55
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.37%E -5.82%K -15.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -19.57%E -4.89%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -5.60%E -1.40%K -1.87%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-21 19:20
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 54.65%EV -13.31%E -8.64%K -24.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.31%EV -20.57%E -5.21%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.05%EV -17.40%E -4.97%K -6.96%G +0.000%18.8%2026-07-22 15:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.78%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.15%4.8%2026-07-26 01:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.78%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.15%4.8%2026-07-26 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.78%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.15%4.8%2026-07-26 03:15