Idioma:Español
Wimbledon v Newport County
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Wimbledon (Local)
Predicción 57.50%1.74momio equitativo
EV -3.97%
Ventaja -2.38%
Kelly -5.92%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.21%57.41%57.44%58.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.531.631.621.6765.36%61.53%61.73%59.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Newport County (Visitante)
Predicción 19.17%5.22momio equitativo
EV +0.662%
Ventaja +0.126%
Kelly +0.156%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.94%19.19%19.13%20.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.354.714.705.2522.99%21.21%21.28%19.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 23.32%4.29momio equitativo
EV -2.51%
Ventaja -0.602%
Kelly -0.791%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.18
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.39%23.40%23.43%25.06%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.653.883.854.1827.40%25.76%25.97%23.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Wimbledon (Local): 57.50%; Newport County (Visitante): 19.17%; Empate: 23.32%. Para Newport County (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.22. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.25, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.662%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -7.42%E -4.61%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV +0.662%E +0.126%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -7.42%E -4.61%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV +0.662%E +0.126%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.84%EV -8.57%E -5.39%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -2.21%E -0.434%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -4.38%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.63%EV -6.84%E -4.22%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 5.03I 19.88%NM 18.56%EV -3.56%E -0.707%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.81%EV -8.58%E -2.19%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.72%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -4.13%E -0.826%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.23%EV -4.38%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -4.13%E -0.826%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.84%E -4.22%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.13%E -0.826%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -7.99%E -5.00%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -4.13%E -0.826%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -4.38%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -7.99%E -5.00%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -4.13%E -0.826%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.40%EV -6.84%E -4.22%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.99I 20.04%NM 18.96%EV -4.32%E -0.866%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 22.64%EV -2.51%E -0.602%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.36%EV -7.99%E -5.00%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.86%EV -5.09%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -4.38%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.20%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.73%EV -5.09%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -13.71%E -3.71%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.20%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.73%EV -5.09%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -13.71%E -3.71%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -7.97%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -7.97%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -9.72%E -6.19%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -7.97%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -4.38%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -7.99%E -5.00%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -7.97%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.04%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.53%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.87%EV -8.93%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -5.69%E -3.47%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -8.93%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -5.69%E -3.47%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -8.93%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.93%EV -6.84%E -4.22%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.42%EV -8.93%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -9.04%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.52%EV -7.99%E -5.00%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -8.93%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -13.71%E -3.71%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -9.72%E -6.19%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -8.93%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 13:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.76%EV -9.14%E -5.79%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -9.88%E -2.10%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.10%EV -8.57%E -5.39%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.32%EV -9.88%E -2.10%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.58%EV -10.21%E -2.65%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.10%EV -8.57%E -5.39%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.32%EV -9.88%E -2.10%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.58%EV -10.21%E -2.65%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.80%EV -4.54%E -2.74%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -11.80%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -10.21%E -2.65%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 13:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -11.80%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -11.80%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -11.80%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -5.12%E -3.10%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -11.80%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.31%EV -10.87%E -7.01%K -19.76%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.31%EV -11.80%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.38%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.63%EV -12.02%E -7.85%K -22.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -11.80%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.41%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -10.21%E -2.65%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.41%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -10.21%E -2.65%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.41%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -10.21%E -2.65%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.96%EV -7.99%E -5.00%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.42%EV -10.29%E -6.60%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.68%EV -7.88%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.58%EV -9.72%E -6.19%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -13.72%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -12.54%E -3.34%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.21%EV -7.42%E -4.61%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.43%EV -16.59%E -3.81%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.35%EV -14.88%E -4.08%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.21%EV -7.42%E -4.61%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.43%EV -16.59%E -3.81%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.35%EV -14.88%E -4.08%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.21%EV -7.42%E -4.61%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.43%EV -16.59%E -3.81%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.35%EV -14.88%E -4.08%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.93% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.44% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63% | 0.4% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.21% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.21% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.36% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.25% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39% | 1.5% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |