The School of Odds

Stoke City v Oldham Athletic

2026-08-08 16:00 — EFL Cup

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (4 in analysis)

Option 1: Stoke City (Local)

1.3673.53%Min
1.3972.13%Mean
1.4071.43%Median
1.4170.92%Max
64.22%1.557Min
67.60%1.479Max
65.82%1.519Mean
65.97%1.516Median
65.97%1.516IQM
65.97%1.516Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.41 under the IQM model: 65.97%

EV -6.98%Edge -4.95%Kelly -17.02%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Oldham Athletic (Visit)

5.4018.52%Min
5.7617.37%Mean
5.4018.52%Median
7.0014.29%Max
13.51%7.400Min
16.65%6.006Max
15.23%6.567Mean
15.32%6.529Median
15.32%6.529IQM
15.16%6.598Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 7.00 under the IQM model: 15.32%

EV +7.22%Edge +1.03%Kelly +1.20%Growth +0.087%

Option 3: Draw

4.3323.09%Min
4.8220.76%Mean
4.7021.28%Median
5.1019.61%Max
17.90%5.586Min
20.62%4.850Max
18.95%5.276Mean
18.71%5.344Median
18.71%5.344IQM
18.87%5.299Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 5.10 under the IQM model: 18.71%

EV -4.57%Edge -0.896%Kelly -1.12%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

BookmakerStoke City (Local)Oldham Athletic (Visit) ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet1.42I 70.42% NM 67.87%EV -6.32% E -4.45% K -15.05% G +0.000%7.50I 13.33% NM 12.85%EV +14.88% E +1.98% K +2.29% G +0.340%5.00I 20.00% NM 19.28%EV -6.44% E -1.29% K -1.61% G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-27 10:30
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43% NM 67.57%EV -7.64% E -5.46% K -19.10% G +0.000%7.00I 14.29% NM 13.51%EV +7.22% E +1.03% K +1.20% G +0.087%5.00I 20.00% NM 18.92%EV -6.44% E -1.29% K -1.61% G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 09:39
FanDuel1.37I 72.99% NM 67.60%EV -9.62% E -7.02% K -26.00% G +0.000%6.50I 15.38% NM 14.25%EV -0.441% E -0.068% K -0.080% G +0.000%5.10I 19.61% NM 18.16%EV -4.57% E -0.896% K -1.12% G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-26 14:39
SportsBet1.36I 73.53% NM 67.51%EV -10.28% E -7.56% K -28.55% G +0.000%6.50I 15.38% NM 14.13%EV -0.441% E -0.068% K -0.080% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 18.36%EV -6.44% E -1.29% K -1.61% G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-26 11:49
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53% NM 67.51%EV -10.28% E -7.56% K -28.55% G +0.000%6.50I 15.38% NM 14.13%EV -0.441% E -0.068% K -0.080% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 18.36%EV -6.44% E -1.29% K -1.61% G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-26 11:48
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53% NM 67.51%EV -10.28% E -7.56% K -28.55% G +0.000%6.50I 15.38% NM 14.13%EV -0.441% E -0.068% K -0.080% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 18.36%EV -6.44% E -1.29% K -1.61% G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-26 14:29
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53% NM 65.65%EV -10.28% E -7.56% K -28.55% G +0.000%6.50I 15.38% NM 13.74%EV -0.441% E -0.068% K -0.080% G +0.000%4.33I 23.09% NM 20.62%EV -18.98% E -4.38% K -5.70% G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-27 15:10
1xBet1.41I 70.92% NM 66.42%EV -6.98% E -4.95% K -17.02% G +0.000%6.39I 15.65% NM 14.66%EV -2.13% E -0.333% K -0.394% G +0.000%4.95I 20.20% NM 18.92%EV -7.38% E -1.49% K -1.87% G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-27 12:49
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43% NM 65.61%EV -7.64% E -5.46% K -19.10% G +0.000%5.80I 17.24% NM 15.84%EV -11.16% E -1.92% K -2.33% G +0.000%4.95I 20.20% NM 18.56%EV -7.38% E -1.49% K -1.87% G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-02 10:20
William Hill1.36I 73.53% NM 65.82%EV -10.28% E -7.56% K -28.55% G +0.000%5.50I 18.18% NM 16.28%EV -15.76% E -2.87% K -3.50% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 17.90%EV -6.44% E -1.29% K -1.61% G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-30 14:00
888sport1.36I 73.53% NM 65.82%EV -10.28% E -7.56% K -28.55% G +0.000%5.50I 18.18% NM 16.28%EV -15.76% E -2.87% K -3.50% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 17.90%EV -6.44% E -1.29% K -1.61% G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-30 14:09
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53% NM 65.82%EV -10.28% E -7.56% K -28.55% G +0.000%5.50I 18.18% NM 16.28%EV -15.76% E -2.87% K -3.50% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 17.90%EV -6.44% E -1.29% K -1.61% G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-30 14:09
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53% NM 65.82%EV -10.28% E -7.56% K -28.55% G +0.000%5.50I 18.18% NM 16.28%EV -15.76% E -2.87% K -3.50% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 17.90%EV -6.44% E -1.29% K -1.61% G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-30 14:19
BetRivers1.40I 71.43% NM 64.22%EV -7.64% E -5.46% K -19.10% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 16.65%EV -17.29% E -3.20% K -3.93% G +0.000%4.70I 21.28% NM 19.13%EV -12.06% E -2.57% K -3.26% G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 05:19
betPARX1.40I 71.43% NM 64.22%EV -7.64% E -5.46% K -19.10% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 16.65%EV -17.29% E -3.20% K -3.93% G +0.000%4.70I 21.28% NM 19.13%EV -12.06% E -2.57% K -3.26% G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 08:09
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43% NM 64.22%EV -7.64% E -5.46% K -19.10% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 16.65%EV -17.29% E -3.20% K -3.93% G +0.000%4.70I 21.28% NM 19.13%EV -12.06% E -2.57% K -3.26% G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43% NM 64.22%EV -7.64% E -5.46% K -19.10% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 16.65%EV -17.29% E -3.20% K -3.93% G +0.000%4.70I 21.28% NM 19.13%EV -12.06% E -2.57% K -3.26% G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 08:30
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43% NM 64.22%EV -7.64% E -5.46% K -19.10% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 16.65%EV -17.29% E -3.20% K -3.93% G +0.000%4.70I 21.28% NM 19.13%EV -12.06% E -2.57% K -3.26% G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 08:29
Grosvenor1.40I 71.43% NM 64.22%EV -7.64% E -5.46% K -19.10% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 16.65%EV -17.29% E -3.20% K -3.93% G +0.000%4.70I 21.28% NM 19.13%EV -12.06% E -2.57% K -3.26% G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 08:29
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43% NM 64.22%EV -7.64% E -5.46% K -19.10% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 16.65%EV -17.29% E -3.20% K -3.93% G +0.000%4.70I 21.28% NM 19.13%EV -12.06% E -2.57% K -3.26% G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 08:29
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43% NM 64.22%EV -7.64% E -5.46% K -19.10% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 16.65%EV -17.29% E -3.20% K -3.93% G +0.000%4.70I 21.28% NM 19.13%EV -12.06% E -2.57% K -3.26% G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 08:29
Casumo1.40I 71.43% NM 64.22%EV -7.64% E -5.46% K -19.10% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 16.65%EV -17.29% E -3.20% K -3.93% G +0.000%4.70I 21.28% NM 19.13%EV -12.06% E -2.57% K -3.26% G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 08:29
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43% NM 64.22%EV -7.64% E -5.46% K -19.10% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 16.65%EV -17.29% E -3.20% K -3.93% G +0.000%4.70I 21.28% NM 19.13%EV -12.06% E -2.57% K -3.26% G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 08:29
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43% NM 64.22%EV -7.64% E -5.46% K -19.10% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 16.65%EV -17.29% E -3.20% K -3.93% G +0.000%4.70I 21.28% NM 19.13%EV -12.06% E -2.57% K -3.26% G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 08:29
TABtouch1.40I 71.43% NM 64.22%EV -7.64% E -5.46% K -19.10% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 16.65%EV -17.29% E -3.20% K -3.93% G +0.000%4.70I 21.28% NM 19.13%EV -12.06% E -2.57% K -3.26% G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 08:39
Unibet1.40I 71.43% NM 64.22%EV -7.64% E -5.46% K -19.10% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 16.65%EV -17.29% E -3.20% K -3.93% G +0.000%4.70I 21.28% NM 19.13%EV -12.06% E -2.57% K -3.26% G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 08:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerStoke City (Local)Oldham Athletic (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-06-26 15:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-06-26 15:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-06-26 15:39