Language:English
Stoke City v Oldham Athletic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Stoke City (Local)
Prediction 66.43%1.51fair odd
EV -4.35%
Edge -3.02%
Kelly -9.88%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.57%66.42%66.44%68.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.391.381.4475.19%72.11%72.46%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Oldham Athletic (Visit)
Prediction 13.82%7.24fair odd
EV +3.64%
Edge +0.485%
Kelly +0.560%
Growth +0.020%
assuming max odds 7.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.26%13.84%13.86%15.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.806.636.507.5017.24%15.09%15.38%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 19.76%5.06fair odd
EV +3.92%
Edge +0.745%
Kelly +0.919%
Growth +0.036%
assuming max odds 5.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.75%19.74%19.70%21.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.674.755.2623.81%21.41%21.05%19.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stoke City (Local): 66.43%; Oldham Athletic (Visit): 13.82%; Draw: 19.76%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.06. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.26, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.92%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.71%EV -7.00%E -5.00%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 6.01I 16.64%NM 15.54%EV -16.95%E -2.82%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 17.75%EV +3.92%E +0.745%K +0.919%G +0.036% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 13:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.00%E -5.00%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV +3.64%E +0.485%K +0.560%G +0.020% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.22%E -0.244%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.56%EV -5.68%E -4.00%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -10.18%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -1.22%E -0.244%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.31%EV -7.00%E -5.00%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -3.27%E -0.467%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -3.20%E -0.652%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-28 01:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.15%EV -8.33%E -6.04%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -17.09%E -2.85%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -3.20%E -0.652%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.15%EV -8.33%E -6.04%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -17.09%E -2.85%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -3.20%E -0.652%K -0.819%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -7.00%E -5.00%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV +3.64%E +0.485%K +0.560%G +0.020% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -5.17%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 05:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -4.35%E -3.02%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -10.18%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -5.17%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 07:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.83%EV -9.00%E -6.57%K -24.32%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.82%EV +0.183%E +0.025%K +0.029%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -5.17%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.03%EV -8.33%E -6.04%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.70%EV -6.73%E -0.997%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -5.17%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-06 12:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.59%EV -10.99%E -8.20%K -32.32%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +3.64%E +0.485%K +0.560%G +0.020% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -5.17%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 07:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -4.35%E -3.02%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -10.18%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 05:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -7.00%E -5.00%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.98%EV +0.183%E +0.025%K +0.029%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 06:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.52%EV -5.68%E -4.00%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -13.64%E -2.18%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.89%EV -8.33%E -6.04%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -6.73%E -0.997%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.89%EV -8.33%E -6.04%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -6.73%E -0.997%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.89%EV -8.33%E -6.04%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -6.73%E -0.997%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.89%EV -8.33%E -6.04%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -6.73%E -0.997%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.89%EV -8.33%E -6.04%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -6.73%E -0.997%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.89%EV -8.33%E -6.04%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -6.73%E -0.997%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.89%EV -8.33%E -6.04%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -6.73%E -0.997%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.89%EV -8.33%E -6.04%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -6.73%E -0.997%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.89%EV -8.33%E -6.04%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -6.73%E -0.997%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.89%EV -8.33%E -6.04%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -6.73%E -0.997%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.98%EV -9.00%E -6.57%K -24.32%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.49%EV -6.04%E -0.888%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%EV -7.15%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 13:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.62%EV -9.66%E -7.10%K -26.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.39%EV -19.85%E -3.42%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.99%EV -7.15%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.52%EV -5.68%E -4.00%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 7.15I 13.99%NM 13.21%EV -1.20%E -0.168%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.27%EV -7.94%E -1.70%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -4.35%E -3.02%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -10.18%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -9.12%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 07:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.02%EV -4.35%E -3.02%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -11.56%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -9.12%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 05:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.02%EV -4.35%E -3.02%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -11.56%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -9.12%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 05:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.60%EV -7.00%E -5.00%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.13%EV -1.89%E -0.266%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -9.12%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -7.00%E -5.00%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -17.09%E -2.85%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -9.12%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -7.00%E -5.00%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -17.09%E -2.85%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -9.12%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -7.00%E -5.00%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -3.27%E -0.467%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-30 13:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.00%E -5.00%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -10.18%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -11.65%E -8.76%K -35.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -3.27%E -0.467%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-08 11:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -9.66%E -7.10%K -26.84%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -17.09%E -2.85%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -11.65%E -8.76%K -35.31%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -10.18%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -11.65%E -8.76%K -35.31%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -10.18%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -11.65%E -8.76%K -35.31%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -10.18%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.37%EV -11.65%E -8.76%K -35.31%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.01%EV -12.94%E -2.05%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.62%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -7.00%E -5.00%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -10.18%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -13.07%E -2.97%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -7.00%E -5.00%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -10.18%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -13.07%E -2.97%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -7.00%E -5.00%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -10.18%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -13.07%E -2.97%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-08 13:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -7.00%E -5.00%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -10.18%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -13.07%E -2.97%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.15%EV -11.65%E -8.76%K -35.31%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.53%EV -10.18%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.32%EV -14.46%E -3.34%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-08 07:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -7.00%E -5.00%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -10.18%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -17.02%E -4.05%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-08 13:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.67% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.68% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.66% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.67% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.68% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.66% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.67% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.68% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.66% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.38% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.31% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31% | 1.6% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
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