Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Stoke City v Oldham Athletic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-08 14:00 UTC

Score final : Stoke City 2–0 Oldham Athletic

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Stoke City (Local)

Prévision 66.43%1.51cote équitable
EV -4.35%
Avantage -3.02%
Kelly -9.88%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.57%66.42%66.44%68.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.331.391.381.4475.19%72.11%72.46%69.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Oldham Athletic (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.82%7.24cote équitable
EV +3.64%
Avantage +0.485%
Kelly +0.560%
Croissance +0.020%

avec la cote maximale 7.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.26%13.84%13.86%15.54%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.806.636.507.5017.24%15.09%15.38%13.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 19.76%5.06cote équitable
EV +3.92%
Avantage +0.745%
Kelly +0.919%
Croissance +0.036%

avec la cote maximale 5.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.75%19.74%19.70%21.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.204.674.755.2623.81%21.41%21.05%19.01%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Stoke City (Local) : 66.43% ; Oldham Athletic (Visiteur) : 13.82% ; Match nul : 19.76%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.06. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.26, soit une espérance positive de +3.92%.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.71%EV -7.00%E -5.00%K -17.51%G +0.000%6.01I 16.64%NM 15.54%EV -16.95%E -2.82%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 17.75%EV +3.92%E +0.745%K +0.919%G +0.036%7.1%2026-08-08 13:53
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.00%E -5.00%K -17.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV +3.64%E +0.485%K +0.560%G +0.020%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.22%E -0.244%K -0.305%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 13:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.56%EV -5.68%E -4.00%K -13.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -10.18%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -1.22%E -0.244%K -0.305%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 13:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.31%EV -7.00%E -5.00%K -17.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -3.27%E -0.467%K -0.545%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -3.20%E -0.652%K -0.819%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-28 01:10
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.15%EV -8.33%E -6.04%K -21.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -17.09%E -2.85%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -3.20%E -0.652%K -0.819%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 13:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.15%EV -8.33%E -6.04%K -21.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -17.09%E -2.85%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -3.20%E -0.652%K -0.819%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 13:44
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -7.00%E -5.00%K -17.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV +3.64%E +0.485%K +0.560%G +0.020%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -5.17%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 05:10
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -4.35%E -3.02%K -9.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -10.18%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -5.17%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 07:45
SportsBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.83%EV -9.00%E -6.57%K -24.32%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.82%EV +0.183%E +0.025%K +0.029%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -5.17%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 13:45
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.03%EV -8.33%E -6.04%K -21.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.70%EV -6.73%E -0.997%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -5.17%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-06 12:39
FanDuel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.59%EV -10.99%E -8.20%K -32.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +3.64%E +0.485%K +0.560%G +0.020%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -5.17%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 07:30
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -4.35%E -3.02%K -9.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -10.18%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 05:10
Coolbet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -7.00%E -5.00%K -17.51%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.98%EV +0.183%E +0.025%K +0.029%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 06:29
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.52%EV -5.68%E -4.00%K -13.51%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -13.64%E -2.18%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 13:44
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.89%EV -8.33%E -6.04%K -21.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -6.73%E -0.997%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.89%EV -8.33%E -6.04%K -21.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -6.73%E -0.997%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.89%EV -8.33%E -6.04%K -21.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -6.73%E -0.997%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.89%EV -8.33%E -6.04%K -21.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -6.73%E -0.997%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:50
Grosvenor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.89%EV -8.33%E -6.04%K -21.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -6.73%E -0.997%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:50
Casumo🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.89%EV -8.33%E -6.04%K -21.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -6.73%E -0.997%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.89%EV -8.33%E -6.04%K -21.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -6.73%E -0.997%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.89%EV -8.33%E -6.04%K -21.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -6.73%E -0.997%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:49
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.89%EV -8.33%E -6.04%K -21.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -6.73%E -0.997%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:49
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.89%EV -8.33%E -6.04%K -21.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -6.73%E -0.997%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 66.98%EV -9.00%E -6.57%K -24.32%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.49%EV -6.04%E -0.888%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%EV -7.15%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 13:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.62%EV -9.66%E -7.10%K -26.84%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.39%EV -19.85%E -3.42%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.99%EV -7.15%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-08 13:45
Pinnacle🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.52%EV -5.68%E -4.00%K -13.51%G +0.000%7.15I 13.99%NM 13.21%EV -1.20%E -0.168%K -0.195%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.27%EV -7.94%E -1.70%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -4.35%E -3.02%K -9.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -10.18%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -9.12%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 07:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.02%EV -4.35%E -3.02%K -9.88%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -11.56%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -9.12%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 05:10
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.02%EV -4.35%E -3.02%K -9.88%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -11.56%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -9.12%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 05:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.60%EV -7.00%E -5.00%K -17.51%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.13%EV -1.89%E -0.266%K -0.310%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -9.12%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 13:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -7.00%E -5.00%K -17.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -17.09%E -2.85%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -9.12%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 13:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -7.00%E -5.00%K -17.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -17.09%E -2.85%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -9.12%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 13:44
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -7.00%E -5.00%K -17.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -3.27%E -0.467%K -0.545%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-30 13:05
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.00%E -5.00%K -17.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -10.18%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 13:50
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -11.65%E -8.76%K -35.31%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -3.27%E -0.467%K -0.545%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-08 11:05
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -9.66%E -7.10%K -26.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -17.09%E -2.85%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 13:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -11.65%E -8.76%K -35.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -10.18%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-08 13:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -11.65%E -8.76%K -35.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -10.18%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-08 13:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -11.65%E -8.76%K -35.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -10.18%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-08 13:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.37%EV -11.65%E -8.76%K -35.31%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.01%EV -12.94%E -2.05%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.62%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-08 13:50
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -7.00%E -5.00%K -17.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -10.18%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -13.07%E -2.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 13:34
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -7.00%E -5.00%K -17.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -10.18%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -13.07%E -2.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 13:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -7.00%E -5.00%K -17.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -10.18%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -13.07%E -2.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 13:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -7.00%E -5.00%K -17.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -10.18%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -13.07%E -2.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 13:34
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.15%EV -11.65%E -8.76%K -35.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.53%EV -10.18%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.32%EV -14.46%E -3.34%K -4.34%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-08 07:30
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -7.00%E -5.00%K -17.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -10.18%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -17.02%E -4.05%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-08 13:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.67%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.68%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.66%1.1%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.67%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.68%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.66%1.1%2026-08-08 13:55
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 68.67%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.68%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.66%1.1%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.38%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.31%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31%1.6%2026-08-08 13:55