La escuela de los momios

Stoke City v Oldham Athletic

2026-08-08 14:00 UTC — EFL Cup

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Stoke City (Local)

Predicción 66.41%1.51momio equitativo
EV -4.37%
Ventaja -3.03%
Kelly -9.93%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.14%66.17%66.46%67.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.311.391.401.4476.34%71.95%71.43%69.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Oldham Athletic (Visitante)

Predicción 14.18%7.05momio equitativo
EV +2.83%
Ventaja +0.390%
Kelly +0.453%
Crecimiento +0.013%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.88%14.36%14.14%16.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.306.126.227.2518.87%16.34%16.06%13.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 19.41%5.15momio equitativo
EV -2.97%
Ventaja -0.593%
Kelly -0.741%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.35%19.47%19.40%20.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.694.705.0023.81%21.34%21.28%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
SportsBet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.67%EV -8.35%E -6.05%K -21.99%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.88%EV +2.83%E +0.390%K +0.453%G +0.013%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -6.85%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 14:30
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.31%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.57%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -0.716%E -0.102%K -0.119%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -4.91%E -1.00%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 15:20
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 67.52%EV -9.02%E -6.58%K -24.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -0.716%E -0.102%K -0.119%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -6.85%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 14:30
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -9.68%E -7.12%K -26.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -0.716%E -0.102%K -0.119%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -7.82%E -1.65%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-21 14:29
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -9.68%E -7.12%K -26.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -0.716%E -0.102%K -0.119%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -7.82%E -1.65%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-21 14:30
betano_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -9.68%E -7.12%K -26.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -0.716%E -0.102%K -0.119%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -10.73%E -2.33%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-22 13:34
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -9.68%E -7.12%K -26.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -0.716%E -0.102%K -0.119%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -10.73%E -2.33%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-22 13:33
Marathon Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.56%EV -8.35%E -6.05%K -21.99%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.41%EV -1.42%E -0.205%K -0.239%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -4.91%E -1.00%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 00:35
1xBet1.39I 71.94%NM 67.37%EV -7.69%E -5.53%K -19.72%G +0.000%6.93I 14.43%NM 13.51%EV -1.71%E -0.247%K -0.288%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.11%EV -4.91%E -1.00%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-22 01:30
Pinnacle1.39I 71.94%NM 66.91%EV -7.69%E -5.53%K -19.72%G +0.000%6.74I 14.84%NM 13.80%EV -4.40%E -0.653%K -0.767%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.29%EV -6.46%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 14:30
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 67.96%EV -10.35%E -7.66%K -29.56%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.69%EV -4.97%E -0.742%K -0.872%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -2.97%E -0.593%K -0.741%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-24 21:54
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 66.25%EV -4.37%E -3.03%K -9.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV -7.81%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -2.97%E -0.593%K -0.741%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 19:19
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 66.40%EV -5.03%E -3.52%K -11.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -7.81%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99%EV -2.97%E -0.593%K -0.741%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 02:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -4.37%E -3.03%K -9.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -7.81%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -6.85%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-21 21:55
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -7.81%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -10.73%E -2.33%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-21 19:20
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -7.81%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -12.67%E -2.82%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-21 14:30
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -7.81%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -14.61%E -3.32%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-21 14:30
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -7.81%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -14.61%E -3.32%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-21 14:30
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -7.81%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -14.61%E -3.32%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-21 14:30
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -9.68%E -7.12%K -26.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -7.81%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -15.97%E -3.69%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-21 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.21%EV -4.37%E -3.03%K -9.93%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -11.35%E -1.82%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -7.82%E -1.65%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-21 21:55
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 65.21%EV -4.37%E -3.03%K -9.93%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -11.35%E -1.82%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -7.82%E -1.65%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-21 21:55
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 65.95%EV -8.35%E -6.05%K -21.99%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.68%EV -12.06%E -1.95%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.37%EV -8.79%E -1.87%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-23 10:39
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 65.90%EV -8.35%E -6.05%K -21.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -14.90%E -2.48%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -6.85%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-23 14:32
NetBet (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 66.03%EV -11.68%E -8.78%K -35.38%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.88%EV -16.32%E -2.77%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.09%EV -10.73%E -2.33%K -2.98%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-25 09:05
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 65.34%EV -8.35%E -6.05%K -21.99%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.68%EV -18.45%E -3.21%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.98%EV -7.82%E -1.65%K -2.08%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-23 14:35
LowVig.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 64.54%EV -7.69%E -5.53%K -19.72%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.74%EV -19.15%E -3.36%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.72%EV -11.70%E -2.57%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-21 14:30
BetOnline.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 64.54%EV -7.69%E -5.53%K -19.72%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.74%EV -19.15%E -3.36%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.72%EV -11.70%E -2.57%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-21 14:30
Winamax (DE)1.34I 74.63%NM 65.06%EV -11.01%E -8.22%K -32.39%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.57%EV -20.57%E -3.67%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -12.67%E -2.82%K -3.62%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-22 15:39
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 64.22%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.65%EV -23.41%E -4.34%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.13%EV -8.79%E -1.87%K -2.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 05:19
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 64.22%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.65%EV -23.41%E -4.34%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.13%EV -8.79%E -1.87%K -2.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 08:09
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.22%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.65%EV -23.41%E -4.34%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.13%EV -8.79%E -1.87%K -2.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.22%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.65%EV -23.41%E -4.34%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.13%EV -8.79%E -1.87%K -2.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 08:30
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.22%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.65%EV -23.41%E -4.34%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.13%EV -8.79%E -1.87%K -2.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 08:29
Grosvenor1.40I 71.43%NM 64.22%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.65%EV -23.41%E -4.34%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.13%EV -8.79%E -1.87%K -2.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 08:29
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.22%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.65%EV -23.41%E -4.34%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.13%EV -8.79%E -1.87%K -2.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 08:29
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.22%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.65%EV -23.41%E -4.34%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.13%EV -8.79%E -1.87%K -2.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 08:29
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 64.22%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.65%EV -23.41%E -4.34%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.13%EV -8.79%E -1.87%K -2.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 08:29
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.22%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.65%EV -23.41%E -4.34%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.13%EV -8.79%E -1.87%K -2.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 08:29
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 64.22%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.65%EV -23.41%E -4.34%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.13%EV -8.79%E -1.87%K -2.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 08:29
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 64.22%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.65%EV -23.41%E -4.34%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.13%EV -8.79%E -1.87%K -2.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 08:39
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.22%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.65%EV -23.41%E -4.34%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.13%EV -8.79%E -1.87%K -2.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 08:39
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.22%EV -7.03%E -5.02%K -17.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.65%EV -23.41%E -4.34%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.13%EV -8.79%E -1.87%K -2.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-16 14:05
Winamax (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 64.14%EV -13.00%E -9.93%K -41.95%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 15.85%EV -24.83%E -4.68%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.01%EV -18.49%E -4.40%K -5.78%G +0.000%19.0%2026-07-22 15:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-25 20:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-26 05:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-26 05:20