Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Stoke City v Oldham Athletic

Início: 2026-08-08 14:00 UTC

Final: Stoke City 2–0 Oldham Athletic

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Stoke City (Local)

Previsão 66.43%1.51odd justa
EV -4.35%
Vantagem -3.02%
Kelly -9.88%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.44

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
64.57%66.42%66.44%68.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.331.391.381.4475.19%72.11%72.46%69.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Oldham Athletic (Visitante)

Previsão 13.82%7.24odd justa
EV +3.64%
Vantagem +0.485%
Kelly +0.560%
Crescimento +0.020%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
12.26%13.84%13.86%15.54%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.806.636.507.5017.24%15.09%15.38%13.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 19.76%5.06odd justa
EV +3.92%
Vantagem +0.745%
Kelly +0.919%
Crescimento +0.036%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.26

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.75%19.74%19.70%21.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.204.674.755.2623.81%21.41%21.05%19.01%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Stoke City (Local): 66.43%; Oldham Athletic (Visitante): 13.82%; Empate: 19.76%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.06. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.26, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.92%.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.71%EV -7.00%E -5.00%K -17.51%G +0.000%6.01I 16.64%NM 15.54%EV -16.95%E -2.82%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 17.75%EV +3.92%E +0.745%K +0.919%G +0.036%7.1%2026-08-08 13:53
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.00%E -5.00%K -17.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV +3.64%E +0.485%K +0.560%G +0.020%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.22%E -0.244%K -0.305%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 13:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.56%EV -5.68%E -4.00%K -13.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -10.18%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -1.22%E -0.244%K -0.305%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 13:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.31%EV -7.00%E -5.00%K -17.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -3.27%E -0.467%K -0.545%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -3.20%E -0.652%K -0.819%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-28 01:10
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.15%EV -8.33%E -6.04%K -21.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -17.09%E -2.85%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -3.20%E -0.652%K -0.819%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 13:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.15%EV -8.33%E -6.04%K -21.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -17.09%E -2.85%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -3.20%E -0.652%K -0.819%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 13:44
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -7.00%E -5.00%K -17.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV +3.64%E +0.485%K +0.560%G +0.020%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -5.17%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 05:10
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -4.35%E -3.02%K -9.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -10.18%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -5.17%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 07:45
SportsBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.83%EV -9.00%E -6.57%K -24.32%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.82%EV +0.183%E +0.025%K +0.029%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -5.17%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 13:45
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.03%EV -8.33%E -6.04%K -21.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.70%EV -6.73%E -0.997%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -5.17%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-06 12:39
FanDuel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.59%EV -10.99%E -8.20%K -32.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +3.64%E +0.485%K +0.560%G +0.020%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -5.17%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 07:30
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.59%EV -4.35%E -3.02%K -9.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -10.18%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 05:10
Coolbet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -7.00%E -5.00%K -17.51%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.98%EV +0.183%E +0.025%K +0.029%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 06:29
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.52%EV -5.68%E -4.00%K -13.51%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -13.64%E -2.18%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 13:44
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.89%EV -8.33%E -6.04%K -21.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -6.73%E -0.997%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.89%EV -8.33%E -6.04%K -21.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -6.73%E -0.997%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.89%EV -8.33%E -6.04%K -21.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -6.73%E -0.997%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.89%EV -8.33%E -6.04%K -21.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -6.73%E -0.997%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:50
Grosvenor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.89%EV -8.33%E -6.04%K -21.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -6.73%E -0.997%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:50
Casumo🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.89%EV -8.33%E -6.04%K -21.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -6.73%E -0.997%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.89%EV -8.33%E -6.04%K -21.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -6.73%E -0.997%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.89%EV -8.33%E -6.04%K -21.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -6.73%E -0.997%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:49
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.89%EV -8.33%E -6.04%K -21.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -6.73%E -0.997%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:49
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.89%EV -8.33%E -6.04%K -21.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -6.73%E -0.997%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -6.16%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 66.98%EV -9.00%E -6.57%K -24.32%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.49%EV -6.04%E -0.888%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%EV -7.15%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 13:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.62%EV -9.66%E -7.10%K -26.84%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.39%EV -19.85%E -3.42%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.99%EV -7.15%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-08 13:45
Pinnacle🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.52%EV -5.68%E -4.00%K -13.51%G +0.000%7.15I 13.99%NM 13.21%EV -1.20%E -0.168%K -0.195%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.27%EV -7.94%E -1.70%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -4.35%E -3.02%K -9.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -10.18%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -9.12%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 07:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.02%EV -4.35%E -3.02%K -9.88%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -11.56%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -9.12%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 05:10
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.02%EV -4.35%E -3.02%K -9.88%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -11.56%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -9.12%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 05:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.60%EV -7.00%E -5.00%K -17.51%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.13%EV -1.89%E -0.266%K -0.310%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -9.12%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 13:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -7.00%E -5.00%K -17.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -17.09%E -2.85%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -9.12%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 13:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -7.00%E -5.00%K -17.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -17.09%E -2.85%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -9.12%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 13:44
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -7.00%E -5.00%K -17.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -3.27%E -0.467%K -0.545%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-30 13:05
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.00%E -5.00%K -17.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -10.18%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 13:50
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -11.65%E -8.76%K -35.31%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -3.27%E -0.467%K -0.545%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-08 11:05
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -9.66%E -7.10%K -26.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -17.09%E -2.85%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 13:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -11.65%E -8.76%K -35.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -10.18%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-08 13:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -11.65%E -8.76%K -35.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -10.18%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-08 13:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -11.65%E -8.76%K -35.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -10.18%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-08 13:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.37%EV -11.65%E -8.76%K -35.31%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.01%EV -12.94%E -2.05%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.62%EV -11.10%E -2.47%K -3.17%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-08 13:50
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -7.00%E -5.00%K -17.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -10.18%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -13.07%E -2.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 13:34
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -7.00%E -5.00%K -17.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -10.18%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -13.07%E -2.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 13:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -7.00%E -5.00%K -17.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -10.18%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -13.07%E -2.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 13:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -7.00%E -5.00%K -17.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -10.18%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -13.07%E -2.97%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 13:34
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.15%EV -11.65%E -8.76%K -35.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.53%EV -10.18%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.32%EV -14.46%E -3.34%K -4.34%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-08 07:30
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -7.00%E -5.00%K -17.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -10.18%E -1.57%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -17.02%E -4.05%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-08 13:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.67%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.68%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.66%1.1%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.67%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.68%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.66%1.1%2026-08-08 13:55
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 68.67%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.68%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.66%1.1%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.38%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.31%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31%1.6%2026-08-08 13:55