The School of Odds

Salford City v Shrewsbury Town

2026-08-08 16:00 — EFL Cup

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (4 in analysis)

Option 1: Salford City (Local)

1.5564.52%Min
1.5863.31%Mean
1.5763.69%Median
1.6361.35%Max
56.74%1.763Min
59.14%1.691Max
57.62%1.735Mean
57.60%1.736Median
57.60%1.736IQM
57.81%1.730Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.63 under the IQM model: 57.60%

EV -6.11%Edge -3.75%Kelly -9.69%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Shrewsbury Town (Visit)

4.7521.05%Min
5.1619.37%Mean
5.2019.23%Median
5.5018.18%Max
17.04%5.869Min
18.76%5.331Max
17.73%5.640Mean
17.62%5.675Median
17.62%5.675IQM
17.62%5.676Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 5.50 under the IQM model: 17.62%

EV -3.08%Edge -0.560%Kelly -0.684%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

3.5028.57%Min
3.6327.56%Mean
3.5528.17%Median
4.0025.00%Max
23.66%4.227Min
25.45%3.929Max
24.65%4.057Mean
24.78%4.036Median
24.78%4.036IQM
24.57%4.070Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.00 under the IQM model: 24.78%

EV -0.899%Edge -0.225%Kelly -0.300%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

BookmakerSalford City (Local) ▼Shrewsbury Town (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet1.64I 60.98% NM 58.54%EV -5.53% E -3.37% K -8.64% G +0.000%5.50I 18.18% NM 17.46%EV -3.08% E -0.560% K -0.684% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 24.00%EV -0.899% E -0.225% K -0.300% G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-26 11:49
1xBet1.63I 61.35% NM 57.49%EV -6.11% E -3.75% K -9.69% G +0.000%5.41I 18.48% NM 17.32%EV -4.66% E -0.862% K -1.06% G +0.000%3.72I 26.88% NM 25.19%EV -7.84% E -2.11% K -2.88% G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-26 19:19
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50% NM 59.14%EV -7.84% E -4.90% K -13.06% G +0.000%5.50I 18.18% NM 17.20%EV -3.08% E -0.560% K -0.684% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.66%EV -0.899% E -0.225% K -0.300% G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-02 06:09
SportsBet1.60I 62.50% NM 57.79%EV -7.84% E -4.90% K -13.06% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 18.49%EV -11.89% E -2.38% K -2.97% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 23.71%EV -3.38% E -0.866% K -1.16% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-02 06:00
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50% NM 57.66%EV -7.84% E -4.90% K -13.06% G +0.000%5.30I 18.87% NM 17.41%EV -6.60% E -1.25% K -1.54% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 24.93%EV -8.33% E -2.25% K -3.09% G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-02 10:20
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50% NM 57.44%EV -7.84% E -4.90% K -13.06% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 18.38%EV -11.89% E -2.38% K -2.97% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.18%EV -5.85% E -1.54% K -2.09% G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-02 06:10
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50% NM 57.44%EV -7.84% E -4.90% K -13.06% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 18.38%EV -11.89% E -2.38% K -2.97% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.18%EV -5.85% E -1.54% K -2.09% G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-02 05:59
FanDuel1.59I 62.89% NM 58.94%EV -8.41% E -5.29% K -14.26% G +0.000%5.50I 18.18% NM 17.04%EV -3.08% E -0.560% K -0.684% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 24.03%EV -3.38% E -0.866% K -1.16% G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-02 06:09
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29% NM 57.18%EV -8.99% E -5.69% K -15.50% G +0.000%5.20I 19.23% NM 17.37%EV -8.37% E -1.61% K -1.99% G +0.000%3.55I 28.17% NM 25.45%EV -12.05% E -3.39% K -4.72% G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:29
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29% NM 57.18%EV -8.99% E -5.69% K -15.50% G +0.000%5.20I 19.23% NM 17.37%EV -8.37% E -1.61% K -1.99% G +0.000%3.55I 28.17% NM 25.45%EV -12.05% E -3.39% K -4.72% G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:29
Unibet1.58I 63.29% NM 57.18%EV -8.99% E -5.69% K -15.50% G +0.000%5.20I 19.23% NM 17.37%EV -8.37% E -1.61% K -1.99% G +0.000%3.55I 28.17% NM 25.45%EV -12.05% E -3.39% K -4.72% G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:39
BetRivers1.57I 63.69% NM 57.33%EV -9.56% E -6.09% K -16.78% G +0.000%5.20I 19.23% NM 17.31%EV -8.37% E -1.61% K -1.99% G +0.000%3.55I 28.17% NM 25.36%EV -12.05% E -3.39% K -4.72% G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 05:19
betPARX1.57I 63.69% NM 57.33%EV -9.56% E -6.09% K -16.78% G +0.000%5.20I 19.23% NM 17.31%EV -8.37% E -1.61% K -1.99% G +0.000%3.55I 28.17% NM 25.36%EV -12.05% E -3.39% K -4.72% G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:09
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69% NM 57.33%EV -9.56% E -6.09% K -16.78% G +0.000%5.20I 19.23% NM 17.31%EV -8.37% E -1.61% K -1.99% G +0.000%3.55I 28.17% NM 25.36%EV -12.05% E -3.39% K -4.72% G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69% NM 57.33%EV -9.56% E -6.09% K -16.78% G +0.000%5.20I 19.23% NM 17.31%EV -8.37% E -1.61% K -1.99% G +0.000%3.55I 28.17% NM 25.36%EV -12.05% E -3.39% K -4.72% G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:30
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69% NM 57.33%EV -9.56% E -6.09% K -16.78% G +0.000%5.20I 19.23% NM 17.31%EV -8.37% E -1.61% K -1.99% G +0.000%3.55I 28.17% NM 25.36%EV -12.05% E -3.39% K -4.72% G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:29
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69% NM 57.33%EV -9.56% E -6.09% K -16.78% G +0.000%5.20I 19.23% NM 17.31%EV -8.37% E -1.61% K -1.99% G +0.000%3.55I 28.17% NM 25.36%EV -12.05% E -3.39% K -4.72% G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:29
Casumo1.57I 63.69% NM 57.33%EV -9.56% E -6.09% K -16.78% G +0.000%5.20I 19.23% NM 17.31%EV -8.37% E -1.61% K -1.99% G +0.000%3.55I 28.17% NM 25.36%EV -12.05% E -3.39% K -4.72% G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:29
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69% NM 57.33%EV -9.56% E -6.09% K -16.78% G +0.000%5.20I 19.23% NM 17.31%EV -8.37% E -1.61% K -1.99% G +0.000%3.55I 28.17% NM 25.36%EV -12.05% E -3.39% K -4.72% G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:29
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69% NM 57.33%EV -9.56% E -6.09% K -16.78% G +0.000%5.20I 19.23% NM 17.31%EV -8.37% E -1.61% K -1.99% G +0.000%3.55I 28.17% NM 25.36%EV -12.05% E -3.39% K -4.72% G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:29
TABtouch1.57I 63.69% NM 57.33%EV -9.56% E -6.09% K -16.78% G +0.000%5.20I 19.23% NM 17.31%EV -8.37% E -1.61% K -1.99% G +0.000%3.55I 28.17% NM 25.36%EV -12.05% E -3.39% K -4.72% G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:39
William Hill1.57I 63.69% NM 56.74%EV -9.56% E -6.09% K -16.78% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 17.81%EV -11.89% E -2.38% K -2.97% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.45%EV -13.29% E -3.80% K -5.31% G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-30 14:00
888sport1.57I 63.69% NM 56.74%EV -9.56% E -6.09% K -16.78% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 17.81%EV -11.89% E -2.38% K -2.97% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.45%EV -13.29% E -3.80% K -5.31% G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-30 14:09
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69% NM 56.74%EV -9.56% E -6.09% K -16.78% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 17.81%EV -11.89% E -2.38% K -2.97% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.45%EV -13.29% E -3.80% K -5.31% G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-30 14:09
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69% NM 56.74%EV -9.56% E -6.09% K -16.78% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 17.81%EV -11.89% E -2.38% K -2.97% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.45%EV -13.29% E -3.80% K -5.31% G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-30 14:19
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52% NM 57.48%EV -10.72% E -6.91% K -19.48% G +0.000%4.75I 21.05% NM 18.76%EV -16.30% E -3.43% K -4.35% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 23.76%EV -7.09% E -1.89% K -2.58% G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-27 15:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36% NM 56.51%EV -11.87% E -7.76% K -22.39% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 17.29%EV -11.89% E -2.38% K -2.97% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 26.20%EV -18.24% E -5.53% K -7.93% G +0.000%15.7%2026-06-30 12:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerSalford City (Local)Shrewsbury Town (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-06-26 15:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-06-26 15:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-06-26 15:39