Language:English
Salford City v Shrewsbury Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Salford City (Local)
Prediction 59.78%1.67fair odd
EV -3.75%
Edge -2.33%
Kelly -6.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.15%59.70%59.69%62.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.541.551.6169.93%65.10%64.52%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shrewsbury Town (Visit)
Prediction 16.74%5.97fair odd
EV +7.15%
Edge +1.12%
Kelly +1.32%
Growth +0.095%
assuming max odds 6.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.50%16.78%16.74%18.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.645.506.4020.83%17.74%18.18%15.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.48%4.26fair odd
EV -3.75%
Edge -0.914%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.76%23.52%23.57%24.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.924.004.1027.03%25.54%25.00%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Salford City (Local): 59.78%; Shrewsbury Town (Visit): 16.74%; Draw: 23.48%. For Shrewsbury Town (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.97. 17 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.15%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betPARX🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.29%EV -10.93%E -7.33%K -22.30%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +7.15%E +1.12%K +1.32%G +0.095% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.29%EV -10.93%E -7.33%K -22.30%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +7.15%E +1.12%K +1.32%G +0.095% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.29%EV -10.93%E -7.33%K -22.30%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +7.15%E +1.12%K +1.32%G +0.095% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.29%EV -10.93%E -7.33%K -22.30%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +7.15%E +1.12%K +1.32%G +0.095% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.29%EV -10.93%E -7.33%K -22.30%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +7.15%E +1.12%K +1.32%G +0.095% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.29%EV -10.93%E -7.33%K -22.30%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +7.15%E +1.12%K +1.32%G +0.095% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.29%EV -10.93%E -7.33%K -22.30%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +7.15%E +1.12%K +1.32%G +0.095% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.29%EV -10.93%E -7.33%K -22.30%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +7.15%E +1.12%K +1.32%G +0.095% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.29%EV -10.93%E -7.33%K -22.30%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +7.15%E +1.12%K +1.32%G +0.095% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.29%EV -10.93%E -7.33%K -22.30%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +7.15%E +1.12%K +1.32%G +0.095% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.08%EV -10.93%E -7.33%K -22.30%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.80%EV +4.64%E +0.743%K +0.884%G +0.041% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.83%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 6.03I 16.58%NM 15.74%EV +0.959%E +0.159%K +0.191%G +0.002% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.43%EV -4.92%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.11%EV -7.34%E -4.73%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV +0.456%E +0.076%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -3.75%E -0.914%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 13:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.34%E -4.73%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV +0.456%E +0.076%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 13:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.93%EV -14.51%E -10.15%K -33.75%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV +0.456%E +0.076%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -10.79%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.93%EV -14.51%E -10.15%K -33.75%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV +0.456%E +0.076%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -10.79%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.93%EV -14.51%E -10.15%K -33.75%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV +0.456%E +0.076%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -10.79%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-08 13:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.47%EV -7.34%E -4.73%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.62%EV -1.22%E -0.206%K -0.249%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -13.14%E -3.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -10.33%E -6.89%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -2.89%E -0.499%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 13:14 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.04%EV -6.14%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.73%E -0.649%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.13%EV -7.34%E -4.73%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -3.73%E -0.649%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.66%EV -7.50%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.58%EV -7.94%E -5.15%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -6.24%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.75%E -0.914%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.33%EV -3.75%E -2.33%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.37%EV -7.91%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.30%EV -3.75%E -0.914%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.14%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -7.91%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.14%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -7.91%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.44%EV -5.55%E -3.51%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -7.91%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.91%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -3.75%E -0.914%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -7.91%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -10.79%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -8.53%E -5.58%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.91%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -7.34%E -4.73%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -7.91%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -10.79%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.15%EV -5.55%E -3.51%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -9.59%E -1.78%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -13.14%E -3.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -9.59%E -1.78%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.79%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.74%EV -11.52%E -7.79%K -24.01%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.68%EV -11.26%E -2.13%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.58%EV -11.97%E -3.19%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -12.10%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -6.14%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -12.10%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.34%EV -7.34%E -4.73%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.22%EV -12.10%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -13.14%E -3.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.84%EV -8.53%E -5.58%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.15%EV -12.10%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -11.97%E -3.19%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.56%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -12.94%E -2.49%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.56%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -12.94%E -2.49%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.28%EV -7.94%E -5.15%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.90%EV -14.61%E -2.87%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -6.14%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -16.29%E -3.26%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -11.97%E -3.19%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -6.14%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -16.29%E -3.26%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -11.97%E -3.19%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -6.14%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -16.29%E -3.26%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -11.97%E -3.19%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -6.14%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -16.29%E -3.26%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -11.97%E -3.19%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -10.33%E -6.89%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -16.29%E -3.26%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -10.79%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-08 13:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -10.33%E -6.89%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -16.29%E -3.26%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -10.79%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.83%EV -9.13%E -6.01%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.25%EV -17.96%E -3.67%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -8.44%E -2.17%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-08 13:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.15%EV -4.95%E -3.11%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -19.63%E -4.09%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -10.79%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.15%EV -4.95%E -3.11%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -19.63%E -4.09%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -10.79%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.90% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56% | 0.7% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.90% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56% | 0.7% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.90% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56% | 0.7% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.90% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56% | 0.7% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
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