Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Salford City v Shrewsbury Town

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-08 14:00 UTC

Score final : Salford City 1–1 Shrewsbury Town

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Salford City (Local)

Prévision 59.78%1.67cote équitable
EV -3.75%
Avantage -2.33%
Kelly -6.15%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.15%59.70%59.69%62.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.431.541.551.6169.93%65.10%64.52%62.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Shrewsbury Town (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.74%5.97cote équitable
EV +7.15%
Avantage +1.12%
Kelly +1.32%
Croissance +0.095%

avec la cote maximale 6.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.50%16.78%16.74%18.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.805.645.506.4020.83%17.74%18.18%15.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.48%4.26cote équitable
EV -3.75%
Avantage -0.914%
Kelly -1.21%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.76%23.52%23.57%24.91%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.703.924.004.1027.03%25.54%25.00%24.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Salford City (Local) : 59.78% ; Shrewsbury Town (Visiteur) : 16.74% ; Match nul : 23.48%. Pour Shrewsbury Town (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.97. 17 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.40, soit une espérance positive de +7.15%.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.29%EV -10.93%E -7.33%K -22.30%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +7.15%E +1.12%K +1.32%G +0.095%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 13:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.29%EV -10.93%E -7.33%K -22.30%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +7.15%E +1.12%K +1.32%G +0.095%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.29%EV -10.93%E -7.33%K -22.30%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +7.15%E +1.12%K +1.32%G +0.095%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 13:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.29%EV -10.93%E -7.33%K -22.30%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +7.15%E +1.12%K +1.32%G +0.095%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 13:55
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.29%EV -10.93%E -7.33%K -22.30%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +7.15%E +1.12%K +1.32%G +0.095%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 13:55
Casumo🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.29%EV -10.93%E -7.33%K -22.30%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +7.15%E +1.12%K +1.32%G +0.095%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 13:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.29%EV -10.93%E -7.33%K -22.30%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +7.15%E +1.12%K +1.32%G +0.095%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 13:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.29%EV -10.93%E -7.33%K -22.30%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +7.15%E +1.12%K +1.32%G +0.095%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 13:55
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.29%EV -10.93%E -7.33%K -22.30%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +7.15%E +1.12%K +1.32%G +0.095%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 13:54
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.29%EV -10.93%E -7.33%K -22.30%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +7.15%E +1.12%K +1.32%G +0.095%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 13:54
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.08%EV -10.93%E -7.33%K -22.30%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.80%EV +4.64%E +0.743%K +0.884%G +0.041%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 13:19
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.83%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000%6.03I 16.58%NM 15.74%EV +0.959%E +0.159%K +0.191%G +0.002%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.43%EV -4.92%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 13:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.11%EV -7.34%E -4.73%K -13.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV +0.456%E +0.076%K +0.091%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -3.75%E -0.914%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 13:19
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.34%E -4.73%K -13.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV +0.456%E +0.076%K +0.091%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 13:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.93%EV -14.51%E -10.15%K -33.75%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV +0.456%E +0.076%K +0.091%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -10.79%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-08 13:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.93%EV -14.51%E -10.15%K -33.75%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV +0.456%E +0.076%K +0.091%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -10.79%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-08 13:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.93%EV -14.51%E -10.15%K -33.75%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV +0.456%E +0.076%K +0.091%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -10.79%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-08 13:24
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.47%EV -7.34%E -4.73%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.62%EV -1.22%E -0.206%K -0.249%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -13.14%E -3.55%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -10.33%E -6.89%K -20.66%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -2.89%E -0.499%K -0.603%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 13:14
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.04%EV -6.14%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.73%E -0.649%K -0.785%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 13:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.13%EV -7.34%E -4.73%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -3.73%E -0.649%K -0.785%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.66%EV -7.50%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 13:54
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.58%EV -7.94%E -5.15%K -14.70%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -6.24%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.75%E -0.914%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 13:55
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.33%EV -3.75%E -2.33%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.37%EV -7.91%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.30%EV -3.75%E -0.914%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 13:45
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.14%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -7.91%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 13:55
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.14%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -7.91%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 13:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.44%EV -5.55%E -3.51%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -7.91%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 13:40
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.91%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -3.75%E -0.914%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 13:55
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -7.91%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -10.79%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 13:49
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -8.53%E -5.58%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.91%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:55
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -7.34%E -4.73%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -7.91%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -10.79%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 13:49
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.15%EV -5.55%E -3.51%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -9.59%E -1.78%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -13.14%E -3.55%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 13:50
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -9.59%E -1.78%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.79%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 13:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.74%EV -11.52%E -7.79%K -24.01%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.68%EV -11.26%E -2.13%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.58%EV -11.97%E -3.19%K -4.35%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 13:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -12.10%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 13:44
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -6.14%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -12.10%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 13:40
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.34%EV -7.34%E -4.73%K -13.34%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.22%EV -12.10%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -13.14%E -3.55%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-08 13:40
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.84%EV -8.53%E -5.58%K -16.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.15%EV -12.10%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -11.97%E -3.19%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.56%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -12.94%E -2.49%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 13:45
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.56%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -12.94%E -2.49%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 13:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.28%EV -7.94%E -5.15%K -14.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.90%EV -14.61%E -2.87%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 13:40
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -6.14%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -16.29%E -3.26%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -11.97%E -3.19%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 13:54
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -6.14%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -16.29%E -3.26%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -11.97%E -3.19%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 13:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -6.14%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -16.29%E -3.26%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -11.97%E -3.19%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 13:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -6.14%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -16.29%E -3.26%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -11.97%E -3.19%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 13:54
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -10.33%E -6.89%K -20.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -16.29%E -3.26%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -10.79%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-08 13:39
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -10.33%E -6.89%K -20.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -16.29%E -3.26%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -10.79%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-08 13:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.83%EV -9.13%E -6.01%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.25%EV -17.96%E -3.67%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -8.44%E -2.17%K -2.91%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 13:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.15%EV -4.95%E -3.11%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -19.63%E -4.09%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -10.79%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 13:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.15%EV -4.95%E -3.11%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -19.63%E -4.09%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -10.79%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 13:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.90%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%0.7%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.90%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%0.7%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.90%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%0.7%2026-08-08 13:55
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 60.90%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%0.7%2026-08-08 13:50