La escuela de los momios

Salford City v Shrewsbury Town

2026-08-08 14:00 UTC — EFL Cup

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Salford City (Local)

Predicción 60.92%1.64momio equitativo
EV -3.75%
Ventaja -2.37%
Kelly -6.46%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.58

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.18%60.68%60.83%62.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.431.531.551.5869.93%65.24%64.52%63.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Shrewsbury Town (Visitante)

Predicción 15.88%6.30momio equitativo
EV -0.730%
Ventaja -0.117%
Kelly -0.139%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.86%16.04%15.92%18.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.755.535.606.2521.05%18.07%17.86%16.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.20%4.31momio equitativo
EV -2.57%
Ventaja -0.612%
Kelly -0.803%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.04%23.27%23.25%25.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.553.813.804.2028.17%26.21%26.32%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.18%EV -3.75%E -2.37%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -17.41%E -3.35%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -17.65%E -4.97%K -6.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:29
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.18%EV -3.75%E -2.37%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -17.41%E -3.35%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -17.65%E -4.97%K -6.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:29
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.18%EV -3.75%E -2.37%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -17.41%E -3.35%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -17.65%E -4.97%K -6.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:39
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 60.39%EV -4.36%E -2.78%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -8.67%E -1.51%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.12%EV -4.89%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-22 02:39
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.04%EV -4.36%E -2.78%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -8.67%E -1.51%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-21 19:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.04%EV -4.36%E -2.78%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -8.67%E -1.51%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-21 21:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -4.36%E -2.78%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -11.05%E -1.97%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-21 21:55
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -4.36%E -2.78%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -11.05%E -1.97%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-21 21:55
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 57.33%EV -4.36%E -2.78%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.31%EV -17.41%E -3.35%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.36%EV -17.65%E -4.97%K -6.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 05:19
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 57.33%EV -4.36%E -2.78%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.31%EV -17.41%E -3.35%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.36%EV -17.65%E -4.97%K -6.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:09
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.33%EV -4.36%E -2.78%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.31%EV -17.41%E -3.35%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.36%EV -17.65%E -4.97%K -6.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.33%EV -4.36%E -2.78%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.31%EV -17.41%E -3.35%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.36%EV -17.65%E -4.97%K -6.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:30
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.33%EV -4.36%E -2.78%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.31%EV -17.41%E -3.35%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.36%EV -17.65%E -4.97%K -6.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:29
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 57.33%EV -4.36%E -2.78%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.31%EV -17.41%E -3.35%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.36%EV -17.65%E -4.97%K -6.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:29
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 57.33%EV -4.36%E -2.78%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.31%EV -17.41%E -3.35%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.36%EV -17.65%E -4.97%K -6.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:29
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.33%EV -4.36%E -2.78%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.31%EV -17.41%E -3.35%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.36%EV -17.65%E -4.97%K -6.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:29
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 57.33%EV -4.36%E -2.78%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.31%EV -17.41%E -3.35%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.36%EV -17.65%E -4.97%K -6.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:29
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 57.33%EV -4.36%E -2.78%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.31%EV -17.41%E -3.35%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.36%EV -17.65%E -4.97%K -6.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-30 08:39
PMU (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.33%EV -4.36%E -2.78%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.31%EV -17.41%E -3.35%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.36%EV -17.65%E -4.97%K -6.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-16 14:05
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.11%EV -5.58%E -3.60%K -10.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -4.70%E -0.783%K -0.940%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -4.89%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 19:20
William Hill1.55I 64.52%NM 60.02%EV -5.58%E -3.60%K -10.14%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -4.70%E -0.783%K -0.940%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -11.85%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 14:30
LowVig.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -5.58%E -3.60%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.82%EV -24.55%E -5.17%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.85%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-21 14:30
BetOnline.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -5.58%E -3.60%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.82%EV -24.55%E -5.17%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.85%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-21 14:30
1xBet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.23%EV -6.79%E -4.44%K -12.82%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.36%EV -3.11%E -0.510%K -0.610%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 19:20
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -6.79%E -4.44%K -12.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -12.64%E -2.30%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-21 19:19
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -6.79%E -4.44%K -12.82%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.67%E -1.51%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -11.85%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-21 14:30
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -6.79%E -4.44%K -12.82%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.67%E -1.51%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -11.85%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-21 14:30
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -6.79%E -4.44%K -12.82%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -8.67%E -1.51%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -11.85%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-21 14:30
Bovada1.52I 65.79%NM 60.55%EV -7.40%E -4.87%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -11.05%E -1.97%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-21 14:26
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.46%EV -7.40%E -4.87%K -14.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -8.67%E -1.51%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.53%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-21 19:20
Marathon Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.76%EV -8.01%E -5.31%K -15.71%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -0.730%E -0.117%K -0.139%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-21 19:19
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -8.62%E -5.75%K -17.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -4.70%E -0.783%K -0.940%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -4.89%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-21 19:20
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.62%E -5.75%K -17.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -4.70%E -0.783%K -0.940%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-21 19:20
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.62%E -5.75%K -17.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -4.70%E -0.783%K -0.940%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-21 19:20
betano_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -8.62%E -5.75%K -17.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -8.67%E -1.51%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -9.53%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-21 14:29
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -8.62%E -5.75%K -17.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -8.67%E -1.51%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -9.53%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-21 14:30
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 62.34%EV -9.23%E -6.19%K -18.84%G +0.000%6.19I 16.16%NM 15.01%EV -1.68%E -0.272%K -0.324%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -4.89%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-21 14:30
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -9.84%E -6.65%K -20.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -4.70%E -0.783%K -0.940%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -2.57%E -0.612%K -0.803%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-21 19:20
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -9.84%E -6.65%K -20.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -12.64%E -2.30%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-23 14:35
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.67%EV -10.45%E -7.11%K -22.23%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.86%EV -1.52%E -0.246%K -0.293%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -4.89%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-21 14:29
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49%NM 59.66%EV -11.06%E -7.57%K -24.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.42%EV -20.58%E -4.12%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.92%EV -11.85%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-22 15:39
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 60.95%EV -12.28%E -8.53%K -27.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -12.64%E -2.30%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -11.85%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-24 17:14
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.10%EV -12.89%E -9.01%K -29.97%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.60%EV -11.05%E -1.97%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.30%EV -13.01%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-24 14:15
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 58.99%EV -12.89%E -9.01%K -29.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.57%EV -23.76%E -4.95%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.43%EV -16.49%E -4.58%K -6.34%G +0.000%18.5%2026-07-22 15:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-23 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-23 21:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-23 21:25