语言:简体中文
Salford City v Shrewsbury Town
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Salford City (主队)
预测 59.78%1.67公平赔率
EV -3.75%
优势 -2.33%
Kelly -6.15%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.61
博彩公司预测分布
57.15%59.70%59.69%62.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.431.541.551.6169.93%65.10%64.52%62.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
Shrewsbury Town (客队)
预测 16.74%5.97公平赔率
EV +7.15%
优势 +1.12%
Kelly +1.32%
增长率 +0.095%
假设最高赔率为 6.40
博彩公司预测分布
14.50%16.78%16.74%18.93%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.805.645.506.4020.83%17.74%18.18%15.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 23.48%4.26公平赔率
EV -3.75%
优势 -0.914%
Kelly -1.21%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.10
博彩公司预测分布
22.76%23.52%23.57%24.91%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.703.924.004.1027.03%25.54%25.00%24.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Salford City (主队)：59.78%；Shrewsbury Town (客队)：16.74%；平局：23.48%。 对于“Shrewsbury Town (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.97。 当时有17家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为6.40，对应+7.15%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (49 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betPARX🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.29%EV -10.93%E -7.33%K -22.30%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +7.15%E +1.12%K +1.32%G +0.095% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.29%EV -10.93%E -7.33%K -22.30%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +7.15%E +1.12%K +1.32%G +0.095% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.29%EV -10.93%E -7.33%K -22.30%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +7.15%E +1.12%K +1.32%G +0.095% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.29%EV -10.93%E -7.33%K -22.30%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +7.15%E +1.12%K +1.32%G +0.095% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.29%EV -10.93%E -7.33%K -22.30%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +7.15%E +1.12%K +1.32%G +0.095% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.29%EV -10.93%E -7.33%K -22.30%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +7.15%E +1.12%K +1.32%G +0.095% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.29%EV -10.93%E -7.33%K -22.30%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +7.15%E +1.12%K +1.32%G +0.095% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.29%EV -10.93%E -7.33%K -22.30%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +7.15%E +1.12%K +1.32%G +0.095% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.29%EV -10.93%E -7.33%K -22.30%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +7.15%E +1.12%K +1.32%G +0.095% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.29%EV -10.93%E -7.33%K -22.30%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV +7.15%E +1.12%K +1.32%G +0.095% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.08%EV -10.93%E -7.33%K -22.30%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.80%EV +4.64%E +0.743%K +0.884%G +0.041% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.83%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 6.03I 16.58%NM 15.74%EV +0.959%E +0.159%K +0.191%G +0.002% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.43%EV -4.92%E -1.22%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.11%EV -7.34%E -4.73%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV +0.456%E +0.076%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -3.75%E -0.914%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 13:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.34%E -4.73%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV +0.456%E +0.076%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 13:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.93%EV -14.51%E -10.15%K -33.75%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV +0.456%E +0.076%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -10.79%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.93%EV -14.51%E -10.15%K -33.75%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV +0.456%E +0.076%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -10.79%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.93%EV -14.51%E -10.15%K -33.75%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV +0.456%E +0.076%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -10.79%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-08 13:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.47%EV -7.34%E -4.73%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.62%EV -1.22%E -0.206%K -0.249%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -13.14%E -3.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -10.33%E -6.89%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -2.89%E -0.499%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 13:14 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.04%EV -6.14%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -3.73%E -0.649%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.13%EV -7.34%E -4.73%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -3.73%E -0.649%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.66%EV -7.50%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.58%EV -7.94%E -5.15%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -6.24%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.75%E -0.914%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.33%EV -3.75%E -2.33%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.37%EV -7.91%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.30%EV -3.75%E -0.914%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.14%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -7.91%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.14%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -7.91%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.44%EV -5.55%E -3.51%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -7.91%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -7.91%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -3.75%E -0.914%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -7.91%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -10.79%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -8.53%E -5.58%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.91%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -7.34%E -4.73%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -7.91%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -10.79%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.15%EV -5.55%E -3.51%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -9.59%E -1.78%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -13.14%E -3.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -6.74%E -4.32%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.00%EV -9.59%E -1.78%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.79%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.74%EV -11.52%E -7.79%K -24.01%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.68%EV -11.26%E -2.13%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.58%EV -11.97%E -3.19%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -12.10%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -6.14%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -12.10%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.34%EV -7.34%E -4.73%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.22%EV -12.10%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -13.14%E -3.55%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.84%EV -8.53%E -5.58%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.15%EV -12.10%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -11.97%E -3.19%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.56%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -12.94%E -2.49%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.56%EV -4.35%E -2.72%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -12.94%E -2.49%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.28%EV -7.94%E -5.15%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.90%EV -14.61%E -2.87%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -6.10%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-08 13:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -6.14%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -16.29%E -3.26%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -11.97%E -3.19%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -6.14%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -16.29%E -3.26%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -11.97%E -3.19%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -6.14%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -16.29%E -3.26%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -11.97%E -3.19%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -6.14%E -3.91%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -16.29%E -3.26%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -11.97%E -3.19%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -10.33%E -6.89%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -16.29%E -3.26%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -10.79%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-08 13:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -10.33%E -6.89%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -16.29%E -3.26%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -10.79%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.83%EV -9.13%E -6.01%K -17.56%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.25%EV -17.96%E -3.67%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -8.44%E -2.17%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-08 13:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.15%EV -4.95%E -3.11%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -19.63%E -4.09%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -10.79%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.15%EV -4.95%E -3.11%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -19.63%E -4.09%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -10.79%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.90% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56% | 0.7% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.90% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56% | 0.7% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.90% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56% | 0.7% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.90% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56% | 0.7% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |