Queens Park Rangers v Millwall

2026-08-08 16:00 — EFL Cup

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (4 in analysis)

Option 1: Queens Park Rangers (Local)

Odds

2.7536.36%Min

2.8035.73%Mean

2.7536.36%Median

2.9034.48%Max

Consensus probabilities

30.86%3.240Min

33.14%3.017Max

32.06%3.119Mean

32.31%3.095Median

32.31%3.095IQM

32.16%3.109Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.90 under the IQM model: 32.31%

EV -6.29%Edge -2.17%Kelly -3.31%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Millwall (Visit)

Odds

2.0050.00%Min

2.1746.03%Mean

2.1746.08%Median

2.3043.48%Max

Consensus probabilities

40.35%2.479Min

44.44%2.250Max

42.01%2.380Mean

41.51%2.409Median

41.51%2.409IQM

41.80%2.392Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.30 under the IQM model: 41.51%

EV -4.53%Edge -1.97%Kelly -3.48%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds

3.4029.41%Min

3.5028.57%Mean

3.4528.99%Median

3.6427.47%Max

Consensus probabilities

24.69%4.050Min

26.67%3.750Max

25.93%3.857Mean

26.18%3.820Median

26.18%3.820IQM

26.04%3.841Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.64 under the IQM model: 26.18%

EV -4.71%Edge -1.29%Kelly -1.78%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Queens Park Rangers (Local) ▼	Millwall (Visit)	Draw	Margin	Updated
Coolbet	2.95I 33.90% NM 32.52%EV -4.68% E -1.59% K -2.40% G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55% NM 40.83%EV -2.45% E -1.04% K -1.82% G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78% NM 26.65%EV -5.76% E -1.60% K -2.21% G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-06-26 11:49
Betr (AU)	2.90I 34.48% NM 32.61%EV -6.29% E -2.17% K -3.31% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 41.12%EV -4.53% E -1.97% K -3.48% G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78% NM 26.27%EV -5.76% E -1.60% K -2.21% G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-06-30 09:39
1xBet	2.89I 34.60% NM 32.60%EV -6.62% E -2.29% K -3.50% G +0.000%	2.27I 44.05% NM 41.51%EV -5.77% E -2.54% K -4.55% G +0.000%	3.64I 27.47% NM 25.89%EV -4.71% E -1.29% K -1.78% G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-06-29 11:39
William Hill	2.88I 34.72% NM 30.86%EV -6.94% E -2.41% K -3.69% G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00% NM 44.44%EV -16.98% E -8.49% K -16.98% G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78% NM 24.69%EV -5.76% E -1.60% K -2.21% G +0.000%	12.5%	2026-06-30 14:00
888sport	2.88I 34.72% NM 30.86%EV -6.94% E -2.41% K -3.69% G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00% NM 44.44%EV -16.98% E -8.49% K -16.98% G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78% NM 24.69%EV -5.76% E -1.60% K -2.21% G +0.000%	12.5%	2026-06-30 14:09
888sport (SE)	2.88I 34.72% NM 30.86%EV -6.94% E -2.41% K -3.69% G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00% NM 44.44%EV -16.98% E -8.49% K -16.98% G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78% NM 24.69%EV -5.76% E -1.60% K -2.21% G +0.000%	12.5%	2026-06-30 14:09
Mr Green (SE)	2.88I 34.72% NM 30.86%EV -6.94% E -2.41% K -3.69% G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00% NM 44.44%EV -16.98% E -8.49% K -16.98% G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78% NM 24.69%EV -5.76% E -1.60% K -2.21% G +0.000%	12.5%	2026-06-30 14:19
FanDuel	2.85I 35.09% NM 32.75%EV -7.91% E -2.78% K -4.28% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 40.58%EV -4.53% E -1.97% K -3.48% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 26.67%EV -8.37% E -2.39% K -3.35% G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-06-26 14:39
LeoVegas	2.85I 35.09% NM 32.27%EV -7.91% E -2.78% K -4.28% G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87% NM 42.19%EV -9.51% E -4.36% K -8.06% G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78% NM 25.55%EV -5.76% E -1.60% K -2.21% G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-07-02 10:20
SportsBet	2.80I 35.71% NM 33.14%EV -9.53% E -3.40% K -5.29% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 40.35%EV -4.53% E -1.97% K -3.48% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 26.51%EV -8.37% E -2.39% K -3.35% G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-06-26 11:49
Paddy Power	2.80I 35.71% NM 33.14%EV -9.53% E -3.40% K -5.29% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 40.35%EV -4.53% E -1.97% K -3.48% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 26.51%EV -8.37% E -2.39% K -3.35% G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-06-26 11:48
Sky Bet	2.80I 35.71% NM 33.14%EV -9.53% E -3.40% K -5.29% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 40.35%EV -4.53% E -1.97% K -3.48% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 26.51%EV -8.37% E -2.39% K -3.35% G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-06-26 14:29
BoyleSports	2.80I 35.71% NM 31.99%EV -9.53% E -3.40% K -5.29% G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51% NM 41.66%EV -10.76% E -5.00% K -9.35% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 26.35%EV -10.99% E -3.23% K -4.58% G +0.000%	11.6%	2026-06-27 15:10
BetRivers	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.63%EV -11.14% E -4.05% K -6.37% G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08% NM 41.36%EV -9.93% E -4.57% K -8.48% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 26.01%EV -9.68% E -2.81% K -3.95% G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-06-30 05:19
betPARX	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.63%EV -11.14% E -4.05% K -6.37% G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08% NM 41.36%EV -9.93% E -4.57% K -8.48% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 26.01%EV -9.68% E -2.81% K -3.95% G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-06-30 08:09
Unibet (SE)	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.63%EV -11.14% E -4.05% K -6.37% G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08% NM 41.36%EV -9.93% E -4.57% K -8.48% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 26.01%EV -9.68% E -2.81% K -3.95% G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-06-30 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.63%EV -11.14% E -4.05% K -6.37% G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08% NM 41.36%EV -9.93% E -4.57% K -8.48% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 26.01%EV -9.68% E -2.81% K -3.95% G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-06-30 08:30
Unibet (NL)	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.63%EV -11.14% E -4.05% K -6.37% G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08% NM 41.36%EV -9.93% E -4.57% K -8.48% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 26.01%EV -9.68% E -2.81% K -3.95% G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-06-30 08:29
Grosvenor	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.63%EV -11.14% E -4.05% K -6.37% G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08% NM 41.36%EV -9.93% E -4.57% K -8.48% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 26.01%EV -9.68% E -2.81% K -3.95% G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-06-30 08:29
LiveScore Bet	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.63%EV -11.14% E -4.05% K -6.37% G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08% NM 41.36%EV -9.93% E -4.57% K -8.48% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 26.01%EV -9.68% E -2.81% K -3.95% G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-06-30 08:29
Virgin Bet	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.63%EV -11.14% E -4.05% K -6.37% G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08% NM 41.36%EV -9.93% E -4.57% K -8.48% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 26.01%EV -9.68% E -2.81% K -3.95% G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-06-30 08:29
Casumo	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.63%EV -11.14% E -4.05% K -6.37% G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08% NM 41.36%EV -9.93% E -4.57% K -8.48% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 26.01%EV -9.68% E -2.81% K -3.95% G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-06-30 08:29
ATG (SE)	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.63%EV -11.14% E -4.05% K -6.37% G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08% NM 41.36%EV -9.93% E -4.57% K -8.48% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 26.01%EV -9.68% E -2.81% K -3.95% G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-06-30 08:29
Svenska Spel	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.63%EV -11.14% E -4.05% K -6.37% G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08% NM 41.36%EV -9.93% E -4.57% K -8.48% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 26.01%EV -9.68% E -2.81% K -3.95% G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-06-30 08:29
TABtouch	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.63%EV -11.14% E -4.05% K -6.37% G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08% NM 41.36%EV -9.93% E -4.57% K -8.48% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 26.01%EV -9.68% E -2.81% K -3.95% G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-06-30 08:39
Unibet	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.63%EV -11.14% E -4.05% K -6.37% G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08% NM 41.36%EV -9.93% E -4.57% K -8.48% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 26.01%EV -9.68% E -2.81% K -3.95% G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-06-30 08:39

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

Bookmaker	Queens Park Rangers (Local)	Millwall (Visit)	Draw	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.04I 96.15%	1.04I 96.15%	1.02I 98.04%	190.3%	2026-06-26 15:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.04I 96.15%	1.04I 96.15%	1.02I 98.04%	190.3%	2026-06-26 15:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.04I 96.15%	1.04I 96.15%	1.02I 98.04%	190.3%	2026-06-26 15:39