The School of Odds

Queens Park Rangers v Millwall

2026-08-08 13:00 UTC — EFL Cup

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Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Queens Park Rangers (Local)

Prediction 30.39%3.29fair odd
EV +0.273%
Edge +0.083%
Kelly +0.119%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.23%30.31%30.44%32.63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.752.983.003.3036%34%33%30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Millwall (Visit)

Prediction 42.08%2.38fair odd
EV -4.47%
Edge -1.97%
Kelly -3.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.27%42.23%42.02%44.37%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.002.162.172.2750%46%46%44%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 27.53%3.63fair odd
EV -5.02%
Edge -1.46%
Kelly -2.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.01%27.46%27.54%28.68%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.103.363.403.4532%30%29%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV +0.273%E +0.083%K +0.119%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -11.62%E -5.54%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-21 14:30
Betr (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -1.25%E -0.383%K -0.554%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -7.42%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 14:30
Coral3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -1.25%E -0.383%K -0.554%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -9.52%E -4.43%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-21 19:19
Ladbrokes (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -1.25%E -0.383%K -0.554%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -9.52%E -4.43%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-21 21:55
Neds3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -1.25%E -0.383%K -0.554%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -9.52%E -4.43%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-21 21:55
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -1.25%E -0.383%K -0.554%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -9.52%E -4.43%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-22 02:39
SportsBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -1.25%E -0.383%K -0.554%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.12%EV -10.78%E -5.09%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.02%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-21 14:30
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -1.25%E -0.383%K -0.554%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -11.62%E -5.54%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-21 14:29
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -1.25%E -0.383%K -0.554%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -11.62%E -5.54%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-21 14:30
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -5.80%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.42%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-21 19:20
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.80%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.42%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.90%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-21 19:20
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.80%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.42%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.90%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-21 19:50
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.80%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.42%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.90%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-21 19:50
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.80%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.42%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.90%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-24 12:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -5.80%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -13.73%E -6.70%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-21 14:30
LowVig.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -5.80%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.20%EV -12.89%E -6.23%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -11.90%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-21 19:20
BetOnline.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -5.80%E -1.87%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.20%EV -12.89%E -6.23%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -11.90%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-21 19:20
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -7.32%E -2.40%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.26%E -3.79%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -7.77%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-22 23:59
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -7.32%E -2.40%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.26%E -3.79%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -7.77%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-22 23:59
1xBet3.02I 33.11%NM 31.02%EV -8.23%E -2.73%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.27%EV -4.47%E -1.97%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.71%EV -6.95%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 19:47
Marathon Bet3.02I 33.11%NM 30.91%EV -8.23%E -2.73%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.48%EV -5.31%E -2.36%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.61%EV -6.95%E -2.06%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 19:50
Pinnacle3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26%EV -8.84%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.32%EV -4.47%E -1.97%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.42%EV -5.85%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-21 19:20
betano_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.84%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.42%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 09:04
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.84%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.42%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 09:05
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.84%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.52%E -4.43%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-23 14:32
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -8.84%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.89%EV -8.26%E -3.79%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-21 19:19
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.84%E -2.95%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.52%E -4.43%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-21 19:20
BoyleSports2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.88%E -4.10%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -11.62%E -5.54%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-21 19:20
NetBet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.73%EV -13.40%E -4.70%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.31%EV -12.89%E -6.23%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.95%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-25 07:00
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -13.40%E -4.70%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.55%EV -13.73%E -6.70%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.84%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-22 15:39
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -14.92%E -5.33%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.52%E -4.43%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-23 14:35
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -16.44%E -5.98%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -8.68%E -4.00%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -5.02%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 05:19
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -16.44%E -5.98%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -8.68%E -4.00%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -5.02%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:09
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -16.44%E -5.98%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -8.68%E -4.00%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -5.02%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -16.44%E -5.98%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -8.68%E -4.00%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -5.02%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:30
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -16.44%E -5.98%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -8.68%E -4.00%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -5.02%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:29
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -16.44%E -5.98%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -8.68%E -4.00%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -5.02%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:29
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -16.44%E -5.98%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -8.68%E -4.00%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -5.02%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:29
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -16.44%E -5.98%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -8.68%E -4.00%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -5.02%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:29
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -16.44%E -5.98%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -8.68%E -4.00%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -5.02%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:29
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -16.44%E -5.98%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -8.68%E -4.00%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -5.02%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:29
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -16.44%E -5.98%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -8.68%E -4.00%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -5.02%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:29
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -16.44%E -5.98%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -8.68%E -4.00%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -5.02%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:39
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -16.44%E -5.98%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -8.68%E -4.00%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -5.02%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:39
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -16.44%E -5.98%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -8.68%E -4.00%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -5.02%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-16 14:05
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 30.66%EV -16.44%E -5.98%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.15%EV -15.83%E -7.92%K -15.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.19%EV -14.66%E -4.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%18.6%2026-07-22 15:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%6.2%2026-07-25 10:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.98I 33.56%NM 23.09%2.24I 44.64%NM 30.72%1.49I 67.11%NM 46.19%45.3%2026-07-25 16:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.98I 33.56%NM 23.09%2.24I 44.64%NM 30.72%1.49I 67.11%NM 46.19%45.3%2026-07-25 16:00