Language:English
Queens Park Rangers v Millwall
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Queens Park Rangers (Local)
Prediction 38.58%2.59fair odd
EV +1.08%
Edge +0.411%
Kelly +0.664%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 2.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.09%38.50%38.65%40.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.432.432.6244.44%41.08%41.15%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Millwall (Visit)
Prediction 34.16%2.93fair odd
EV -1.63%
Edge -0.566%
Kelly -0.867%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.27%34.28%34.17%36.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.432.642.632.8841.15%37.92%38.10%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.26%3.67fair odd
EV -2.12%
Edge -0.590%
Kelly -0.818%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.59
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.92%27.21%27.18%27.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.373.403.5931.25%29.66%29.41%27.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Queens Park Rangers (Local): 38.58%; Millwall (Visit): 34.16%; Draw: 27.26%. For Queens Park Rangers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.59. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.62, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.08%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV +1.08%E +0.411%K +0.664%G +0.007% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV -10.51%E -4.01%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 12:58 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV +0.305%E +0.117%K +0.190%G +0.001% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -11.19%E -4.31%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 12:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -1.62%E -0.637%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -7.78%E -2.88%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 12:48 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -1.62%E -0.637%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -14.61%E -5.84%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-08 12:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -1.62%E -0.637%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -14.61%E -5.84%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-08 12:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -1.62%E -0.637%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -14.61%E -5.84%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-08 12:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -1.62%E -0.637%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -14.61%E -5.84%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-08 12:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -1.62%E -0.637%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -14.61%E -5.84%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-08 12:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -1.62%E -0.637%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -14.61%E -5.84%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-08 12:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -1.62%E -0.637%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -14.61%E -5.84%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-08 12:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -1.62%E -0.637%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -14.61%E -5.84%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-08 12:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -1.62%E -0.637%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -14.61%E -5.84%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-08 12:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -1.62%E -0.637%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -14.61%E -5.84%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-08 12:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -1.62%E -0.637%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -14.61%E -5.84%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-08 12:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -3.55%E -1.42%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -6.07%E -2.21%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 12:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -3.55%E -1.42%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -11.19%E -4.31%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 12:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.32%E -1.74%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.55%EV -6.07%E -2.21%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.57%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 12:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.48%E -2.24%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.07%E -2.21%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 12:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.48%E -2.24%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.07%E -2.21%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 12:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.48%E -2.24%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.07%E -2.21%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 12:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.48%E -2.24%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.07%E -2.21%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 12:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.08%EV -5.48%E -2.24%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.81%EV -8.46%E -3.16%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 12:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.05%EV -5.87%E -2.40%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.40%EV -5.39%E -1.94%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.54%EV -2.12%E -0.590%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-08 12:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.54%EV -6.25%E -2.57%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.54%EV -17.00%E -7.00%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-08 12:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.54%EV -6.25%E -2.57%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.54%EV -17.00%E -7.00%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-08 12:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.54%EV -6.25%E -2.57%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.54%EV -17.00%E -7.00%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-08 12:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.41%E -3.09%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.36%E -1.56%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 12:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -7.41%E -3.09%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -4.36%E -1.56%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -8.66%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 12:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.41%E -3.09%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.78%E -2.88%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 12:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -7.41%E -3.09%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -9.49%E -3.58%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 12:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.41%E -3.09%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -10.51%E -4.01%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 12:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.41%E -3.09%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -10.51%E -4.01%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 12:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.41%E -3.09%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -10.51%E -4.01%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 12:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.41%E -3.09%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -10.51%E -4.01%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 12:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -8.18%E -3.44%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.36%EV -5.05%E -1.81%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -8.66%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-08 12:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -8.18%E -3.44%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.36%EV -5.05%E -1.81%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -8.66%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-08 12:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.08%EV -8.18%E -3.44%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.46%EV -10.17%E -3.87%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-08 12:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.03%EV -8.18%E -3.44%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.54%EV -10.51%E -4.01%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-08 12:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.47%EV -8.57%E -3.62%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.17%EV -3.68%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.35%EV -6.75%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 12:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -9.34%E -3.97%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -9.49%E -3.58%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 12:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.97%EV -10.11%E -4.34%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 33.51%EV -7.44%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 12:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.97%EV -10.11%E -4.34%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 33.51%EV -7.44%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 12:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -11.27%E -4.90%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -1.63%E -0.566%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 12:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -11.27%E -4.90%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -7.78%E -2.88%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -5.94%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-08 12:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -11.27%E -4.90%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -6.07%E -2.21%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 12:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -11.27%E -4.90%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -10.51%E -4.01%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -4.57%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-08 12:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -11.27%E -4.90%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -7.78%E -2.88%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-08 12:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.41%EV -11.27%E -4.90%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.98%EV -11.19%E -4.31%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -12.75%E -3.99%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-08 12:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 38.89%EV -12.43%E -5.47%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 34.35%EV -12.22%E -4.75%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.75%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-08 12:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -13.20%E -5.87%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.68%EV -9.49%E -3.58%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -8.66%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-08 12:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.51% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.26% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.51% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.26% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.51% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.26% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 12:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.51% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.26% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 12:50 |
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