L’École des cotes

Queens Park Rangers v Millwall

2026-08-08 13:00 UTC — EFL Cup

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Queens Park Rangers (Local)

Prévision 30.53%3.28cote équitable
EV +0.761%
Avantage +0.231%
Kelly +0.331%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.23%30.43%30.59%32.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.973.003.3036.36%33.64%33.33%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Millwall (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.98%2.38cote équitable
EV -4.70%
Avantage -2.07%
Kelly -3.70%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.91%42.17%41.93%44.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.162.172.2750.00%46.35%46.08%44.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.48%3.64cote équitable
EV -5.18%
Avantage -1.50%
Kelly -2.12%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.01%27.40%27.48%28.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.363.403.4532.26%29.76%29.41%28.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV +0.761%E +0.231%K +0.331%G +0.003%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -11.84%E -5.64%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-21 14:30
Betr (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -0.765%E -0.235%K -0.340%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 14:30
Coral3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -0.765%E -0.235%K -0.340%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -9.74%E -4.53%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-21 19:19
Ladbrokes (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -0.765%E -0.235%K -0.340%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -9.74%E -4.53%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-21 21:55
Neds3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -0.765%E -0.235%K -0.340%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -9.74%E -4.53%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-21 21:55
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -0.765%E -0.235%K -0.340%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -9.74%E -4.53%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-22 02:39
SportsBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -0.765%E -0.235%K -0.340%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.12%EV -11.00%E -5.19%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-21 14:30
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -0.765%E -0.235%K -0.340%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -11.84%E -5.64%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-21 14:29
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -0.765%E -0.235%K -0.340%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -11.84%E -5.64%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-21 14:30
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -5.35%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -10.68%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-21 19:20
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.35%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -12.05%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-21 19:20
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.35%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -12.05%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-21 19:50
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.35%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -12.05%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-21 19:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -5.35%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -13.93%E -6.80%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-21 14:30
LowVig.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -5.35%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.20%EV -13.10%E -6.33%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.05%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-21 19:20
BetOnline.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -5.35%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.20%EV -13.10%E -6.33%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.05%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-21 19:20
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.87%E -2.25%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.48%E -3.89%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-22 23:59
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.87%E -2.25%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.48%E -3.89%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-22 23:59
1xBet3.02I 33.11%NM 31.02%EV -7.79%E -2.58%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.27%EV -4.70%E -2.07%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.71%EV -7.11%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 19:47
Marathon Bet3.02I 33.11%NM 30.91%EV -7.79%E -2.58%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.48%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.61%EV -7.11%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 19:50
Pinnacle3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.32%EV -4.70%E -2.07%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.42%EV -6.01%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-21 19:20
betano_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 09:04
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 09:05
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.74%E -4.53%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-23 14:32
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.89%EV -8.48%E -3.89%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-21 19:19
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.74%E -4.53%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-21 19:20
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -9.93%E -3.36%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 19:49
BoyleSports2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.45%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -11.84%E -5.64%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-21 19:20
NetBet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.73%EV -12.98%E -4.55%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.31%EV -13.10%E -6.33%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.95%EV -10.68%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-25 07:00
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -12.98%E -4.55%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.55%EV -13.93%E -6.80%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.84%EV -10.68%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-22 15:39
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -14.51%E -5.18%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.74%E -4.53%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-23 14:35
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -16.03%E -5.83%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -8.90%E -4.10%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 05:19
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -16.03%E -5.83%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -8.90%E -4.10%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:09
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -16.03%E -5.83%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -8.90%E -4.10%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -16.03%E -5.83%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -8.90%E -4.10%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:30
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -16.03%E -5.83%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -8.90%E -4.10%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:29
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -16.03%E -5.83%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -8.90%E -4.10%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:29
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -16.03%E -5.83%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -8.90%E -4.10%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:29
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -16.03%E -5.83%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -8.90%E -4.10%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:29
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -16.03%E -5.83%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -8.90%E -4.10%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:29
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -16.03%E -5.83%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -8.90%E -4.10%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:29
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -16.03%E -5.83%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -8.90%E -4.10%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:29
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -16.03%E -5.83%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -8.90%E -4.10%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:39
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -16.03%E -5.83%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -8.90%E -4.10%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:39
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -16.03%E -5.83%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -8.90%E -4.10%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-16 14:05
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 30.66%EV -16.03%E -5.83%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.15%EV -16.03%E -8.02%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.19%EV -14.80%E -4.77%K -7.05%G +0.000%18.6%2026-07-22 15:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%6.2%2026-07-26 01:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%6.2%2026-07-25 16:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%6.2%2026-07-26 02:00