Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Queens Park Rangers v Millwall

Início: 2026-08-08 13:00 UTC

Final: Queens Park Rangers 1–1 Millwall

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Queens Park Rangers (Local)

Previsão 38.58%2.59odd justa
EV +1.08%
Vantagem +0.411%
Kelly +0.664%
Crescimento +0.007%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.62

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.09%38.50%38.65%40.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.252.432.432.6244.44%41.08%41.15%38.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Millwall (Visitante)

Previsão 34.16%2.93odd justa
EV -1.63%
Vantagem -0.566%
Kelly -0.867%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.88

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.27%34.28%34.17%36.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.432.642.632.8841.15%37.92%38.10%34.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.26%3.67odd justa
EV -2.12%
Vantagem -0.590%
Kelly -0.818%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.59

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.92%27.21%27.18%27.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.373.403.5931.25%29.66%29.41%27.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Queens Park Rangers (Local): 38.58%; Millwall (Visitante): 34.16%; Empate: 27.26%. Para Queens Park Rangers (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.59. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.62, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.08%.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV +1.08%E +0.411%K +0.664%G +0.007%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV -10.51%E -4.01%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 12:58
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV +0.305%E +0.117%K +0.190%G +0.001%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -11.19%E -4.31%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 12:09
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -1.62%E -0.637%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -7.78%E -2.88%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 12:48
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -1.62%E -0.637%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -14.61%E -5.84%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 12:19
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -1.62%E -0.637%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -14.61%E -5.84%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 12:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -1.62%E -0.637%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -14.61%E -5.84%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -1.62%E -0.637%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -14.61%E -5.84%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 12:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -1.62%E -0.637%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -14.61%E -5.84%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 12:19
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -1.62%E -0.637%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -14.61%E -5.84%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 12:20
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -1.62%E -0.637%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -14.61%E -5.84%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 12:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -1.62%E -0.637%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -14.61%E -5.84%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 12:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -1.62%E -0.637%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -14.61%E -5.84%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 12:20
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -1.62%E -0.637%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -14.61%E -5.84%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 12:19
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -1.62%E -0.637%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -14.61%E -5.84%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 12:20
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -3.55%E -1.42%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -6.07%E -2.21%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 12:39
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -3.55%E -1.42%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -11.19%E -4.31%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 12:59
Coolbet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.32%E -1.74%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.55%EV -6.07%E -2.21%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.57%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 12:29
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.48%E -2.24%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.07%E -2.21%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 12:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.48%E -2.24%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.07%E -2.21%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 12:39
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.48%E -2.24%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.07%E -2.21%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 12:40
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.48%E -2.24%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.07%E -2.21%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 12:39
Marathon Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.08%EV -5.48%E -2.24%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.81%EV -8.46%E -3.16%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 12:59
Pinnacle🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.05%EV -5.87%E -2.40%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.40%EV -5.39%E -1.94%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.54%EV -2.12%E -0.590%K -0.818%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 12:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.54%EV -6.25%E -2.57%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.54%EV -17.00%E -7.00%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-08 12:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.54%EV -6.25%E -2.57%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.54%EV -17.00%E -7.00%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-08 12:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.54%EV -6.25%E -2.57%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.54%EV -17.00%E -7.00%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-08 12:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.41%E -3.09%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.36%E -1.56%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 12:49
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -7.41%E -3.09%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -4.36%E -1.56%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -8.66%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 12:59
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -7.41%E -3.09%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.78%E -2.88%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 12:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -7.41%E -3.09%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -9.49%E -3.58%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 12:30
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.41%E -3.09%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -10.51%E -4.01%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 12:50
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.41%E -3.09%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -10.51%E -4.01%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 12:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.41%E -3.09%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -10.51%E -4.01%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 12:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.41%E -3.09%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -10.51%E -4.01%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 12:50
NordicBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -8.18%E -3.44%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.36%EV -5.05%E -1.81%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -8.66%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 12:49
Betsson🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -8.18%E -3.44%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.36%EV -5.05%E -1.81%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -8.66%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 12:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.08%EV -8.18%E -3.44%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.46%EV -10.17%E -3.87%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 12:55
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.03%EV -8.18%E -3.44%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.54%EV -10.51%E -4.01%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-08 12:59
1xBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.47%EV -8.57%E -3.62%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.17%EV -3.68%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.35%EV -6.75%E -1.97%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 12:59
Fliff🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -9.34%E -3.97%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -9.49%E -3.58%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 12:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.97%EV -10.11%E -4.34%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 33.51%EV -7.44%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 12:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.97%EV -10.11%E -4.34%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 33.51%EV -7.44%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 12:59
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -11.27%E -4.90%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -1.63%E -0.566%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 12:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -11.27%E -4.90%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -7.78%E -2.88%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -5.94%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 12:49
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -11.27%E -4.90%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -6.07%E -2.21%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 12:49
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -11.27%E -4.90%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -10.51%E -4.01%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -4.57%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 12:35
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -11.27%E -4.90%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -7.78%E -2.88%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 12:50
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.41%EV -11.27%E -4.90%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.98%EV -11.19%E -4.31%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -12.75%E -3.99%K -5.80%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-08 12:59
NetBet (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 38.89%EV -12.43%E -5.47%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 34.35%EV -12.22%E -4.75%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.75%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-08 12:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -13.20%E -5.87%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.68%EV -9.49%E -3.58%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -8.66%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-08 12:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.51%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.26%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.6%2026-08-08 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.51%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.26%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.6%2026-08-08 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.51%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.26%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.6%2026-08-08 12:55
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.51%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.26%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.6%2026-08-08 12:50