La escuela de los momios

Queens Park Rangers v Millwall

2026-08-08 13:00 UTC — EFL Cup

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Queens Park Rangers (Local)

Predicción 30.53%3.28momio equitativo
EV +0.761%
Ventaja +0.231%
Kelly +0.331%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.23%30.43%30.59%32.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.973.003.3036.36%33.64%33.33%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Millwall (Visitante)

Predicción 41.98%2.38momio equitativo
EV -4.70%
Ventaja -2.07%
Kelly -3.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.27

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.91%42.17%41.93%44.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.162.172.2750.00%46.35%46.08%44.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.48%3.64momio equitativo
EV -5.18%
Ventaja -1.50%
Kelly -2.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.01%27.40%27.48%28.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.363.403.4532.26%29.76%29.41%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV +0.761%E +0.231%K +0.331%G +0.003%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -11.84%E -5.64%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-21 14:30
Betr (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -0.765%E -0.235%K -0.340%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 14:30
Coral3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -0.765%E -0.235%K -0.340%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -9.74%E -4.53%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-21 19:19
Ladbrokes (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -0.765%E -0.235%K -0.340%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -9.74%E -4.53%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-21 21:55
Neds3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -0.765%E -0.235%K -0.340%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -9.74%E -4.53%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-21 21:55
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -0.765%E -0.235%K -0.340%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -9.74%E -4.53%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-22 02:39
SportsBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -0.765%E -0.235%K -0.340%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.12%EV -11.00%E -5.19%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-21 14:30
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -0.765%E -0.235%K -0.340%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -11.84%E -5.64%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-21 14:29
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -0.765%E -0.235%K -0.340%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -11.84%E -5.64%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-21 14:30
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -5.35%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -10.68%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-21 19:20
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.35%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -12.05%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-21 19:20
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.35%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -12.05%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-21 19:50
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.35%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -12.05%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-21 19:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -5.35%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -13.93%E -6.80%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-21 14:30
LowVig.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -5.35%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.20%EV -13.10%E -6.33%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.05%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-21 19:20
BetOnline.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -5.35%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.20%EV -13.10%E -6.33%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.05%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-21 19:20
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.87%E -2.25%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.48%E -3.89%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-22 23:59
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -6.87%E -2.25%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.48%E -3.89%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -7.93%E -2.37%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-22 23:59
1xBet3.02I 33.11%NM 31.02%EV -7.79%E -2.58%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.27%EV -4.70%E -2.07%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.71%EV -7.11%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 19:47
Marathon Bet3.02I 33.11%NM 30.91%EV -7.79%E -2.58%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.48%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.61%EV -7.11%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 19:50
Pinnacle3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.32%EV -4.70%E -2.07%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.42%EV -6.01%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-21 19:20
betano_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 09:04
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.64%E -3.47%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 09:05
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.74%E -4.53%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-23 14:32
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.89%EV -8.48%E -3.89%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-21 19:19
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.40%E -2.80%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.74%E -4.53%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-21 19:20
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -9.93%E -3.36%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -5.54%E -2.46%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 19:49
BoyleSports2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.45%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -11.84%E -5.64%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-21 19:20
NetBet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.73%EV -12.98%E -4.55%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.31%EV -13.10%E -6.33%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.95%EV -10.68%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-25 07:00
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -12.98%E -4.55%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.55%EV -13.93%E -6.80%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.84%EV -10.68%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-22 15:39
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -14.51%E -5.18%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.74%E -4.53%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-23 14:35
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -16.03%E -5.83%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -8.90%E -4.10%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 05:19
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -16.03%E -5.83%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -8.90%E -4.10%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:09
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -16.03%E -5.83%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -8.90%E -4.10%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -16.03%E -5.83%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -8.90%E -4.10%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:30
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -16.03%E -5.83%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -8.90%E -4.10%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:29
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -16.03%E -5.83%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -8.90%E -4.10%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:29
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -16.03%E -5.83%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -8.90%E -4.10%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:29
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -16.03%E -5.83%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -8.90%E -4.10%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:29
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -16.03%E -5.83%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -8.90%E -4.10%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:29
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -16.03%E -5.83%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -8.90%E -4.10%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:29
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -16.03%E -5.83%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -8.90%E -4.10%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:29
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -16.03%E -5.83%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -8.90%E -4.10%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:39
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -16.03%E -5.83%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -8.90%E -4.10%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-30 08:39
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -16.03%E -5.83%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -8.90%E -4.10%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -5.18%E -1.50%K -2.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-16 14:05
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 30.66%EV -16.03%E -5.83%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.15%EV -16.03%E -8.02%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.19%EV -14.80%E -4.77%K -7.05%G +0.000%18.6%2026-07-22 15:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%6.2%2026-07-26 01:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%6.2%2026-07-25 16:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.31%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%6.2%2026-07-26 02:00