Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Plymouth Argyle v Exeter City

2026-08-10 19:00 UTC — EFL Cup

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Plymouth Argyle (Local)

Prediction 58.61%1.71fair odd
EV -5.05%
Edge -3.12%
Kelly -8.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.35%58.65%58.58%60.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.581.581.6266.67%63.48%63.29%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Exeter City (Visit)

Prediction 19.03%5.26fair odd
EV +0.839%
Edge +0.158%
Kelly +0.195%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 5.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.55%18.97%18.98%20.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.834.805.3023.81%20.71%20.83%18.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.36%4.47fair odd
EV -3.84%
Edge -0.893%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.64%22.38%22.44%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.104.154.3025.64%24.36%24.10%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 60.81%EV -10.32%E -6.75%K -19.48%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV +0.839%E +0.158%K +0.195%G +0.002%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -3.84%E -0.893%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-09 11:44
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.78%EV -7.39%E -4.68%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -0.112%E -0.021%K -0.026%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.23%EV -4.96%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-23 05:59
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.05%EV -7.39%E -4.68%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.47%EV -3.92%E -0.776%K -0.967%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -7.20%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-13 18:34
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -5.64%E -3.50%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -4.87%E -0.974%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -6.08%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-21 19:19
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -5.64%E -3.50%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -4.87%E -0.974%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -6.08%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 02:39
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -7.98%E -5.08%K -14.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -4.87%E -0.974%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -6.08%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-09 11:45
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -7.98%E -5.08%K -14.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -4.87%E -0.974%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -6.08%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-09 11:44
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -7.98%E -5.08%K -14.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -4.87%E -0.974%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -6.08%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-09 11:50
1xBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -6.22%E -3.89%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 18.85%EV -5.44%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.58%EV -7.20%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-13 18:34
Pinnacle1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.81%E -4.28%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 18.74%EV -5.44%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 22.67%EV -8.09%E -1.97%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-13 19:05
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 58.71%EV -7.98%E -5.08%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -6.77%E -1.38%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -8.31%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 19:46
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -9.15%E -5.90%K -16.64%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -6.77%E -1.38%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -6.08%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-24 22:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -5.64%E -3.50%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -8.67%E -1.81%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -6.08%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 21:55
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -5.05%E -3.12%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -8.67%E -1.81%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -10.55%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-13 18:29
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -6.22%E -3.89%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -8.67%E -1.81%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -12.79%E -3.28%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-13 18:29
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -6.22%E -3.89%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -8.67%E -1.81%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -12.79%E -3.28%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-13 19:39
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -6.22%E -3.89%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -8.67%E -1.81%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -12.79%E -3.28%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-13 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.05%E -3.12%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -9.63%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.08%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-21 21:55
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.05%E -3.12%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -9.63%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.08%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-21 21:55
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.52%EV -7.39%E -4.68%K -12.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -9.63%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -6.08%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-13 17:54
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.46%EV -12.08%E -8.06%K -24.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.06%EV -12.48%E -2.71%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.48%EV -12.79%E -3.28%K -4.41%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-22 13:34
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -9.15%E -5.90%K -16.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -14.38%E -3.20%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -10.55%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-29 16:00
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 58.06%EV -10.32%E -6.75%K -19.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -14.38%E -3.20%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -10.55%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-09 11:45
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.69%EV -10.91%E -7.18%K -20.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.39%EV -18.19%E -4.23%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.92%EV -10.55%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-27 16:50
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 57.57%EV -12.08%E -8.06%K -24.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.56%EV -20.09%E -4.78%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.86%EV -11.67%E -2.95%K -3.96%G +0.000%15.8%2026-07-27 16:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.68%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.25%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%5.4%2026-07-28 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.68%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.25%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%5.4%2026-07-28 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.68%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.25%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%5.4%2026-07-28 15:09