Language:English
Plymouth Argyle v Exeter City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Plymouth Argyle (Local)
Prediction 66.62%1.50fair odd
EV -3.40%
Edge -2.34%
Kelly -7.55%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.84%66.45%66.73%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.391.401.4575.19%71.87%71.68%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Exeter City (Visit)
Prediction 13.60%7.35fair odd
EV +2.02%
Edge +0.269%
Kelly +0.310%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 7.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.33%13.65%13.47%15.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.756.656.507.5017.39%15.04%15.38%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 19.78%5.06fair odd
EV -1.12%
Edge -0.224%
Kelly -0.279%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.99%19.90%19.80%22.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.674.725.0023.81%21.41%21.16%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Plymouth Argyle (Local): 66.62%; Exeter City (Visit): 13.60%; Draw: 19.78%. For Exeter City (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.35. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.02%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -6.06%E -4.30%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +2.02%E +0.269%K +0.310%G +0.006% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.18%EV -1.12%E -0.224%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-10 17:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -6.06%E -4.30%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +2.02%E +0.269%K +0.310%G +0.006% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.18%EV -1.12%E -0.224%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-10 17:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.19%EV -5.40%E -3.80%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.72%EV +2.02%E +0.269%K +0.310%G +0.006% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.09%EV -6.06%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -6.73%E -4.81%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV +2.02%E +0.269%K +0.310%G +0.006% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-10 17:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -6.73%E -4.81%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV +2.02%E +0.269%K +0.310%G +0.006% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-10 17:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV +2.02%E +0.269%K +0.310%G +0.006% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -7.05%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-10 18:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -9.40%E -6.91%K -26.10%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV +2.02%E +0.269%K +0.310%G +0.006% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -7.05%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-10 18:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -6.73%E -4.81%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.95%EV -1.38%E -0.191%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV -7.05%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-10 18:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.17%EV -7.40%E -5.32%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.97%EV -2.06%E -0.287%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -7.05%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.20%EV -8.73%E -6.37%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.79%EV -2.06%E -0.287%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -9.03%E -1.96%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-10 18:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.00%EV -6.06%E -4.30%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 7.05I 14.18%NM 13.40%EV -4.10%E -0.582%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.60%EV -4.68%E -0.970%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -6.73%E -4.81%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -4.78%E -0.683%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -11.01%E -2.45%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-10 18:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -11.39%E -8.57%K -34.53%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -4.78%E -0.683%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.01%E -2.45%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-10 17:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -11.39%E -8.57%K -34.53%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -4.78%E -0.683%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.01%E -2.45%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-10 18:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.61%EV -4.73%E -3.31%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.39%EV -6.14%E -0.891%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -16.94%E -4.03%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-10 18:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.61%EV -4.73%E -3.31%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.39%EV -6.14%E -0.891%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -16.94%E -4.03%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-10 18:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.25%EV -4.07%E -2.82%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -1.12%E -0.224%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-10 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.25%EV -4.07%E -2.82%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -1.12%E -0.224%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-10 18:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.40%EV -4.73%E -3.31%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99%EV -1.12%E -0.224%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 18:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.90%EV -5.40%E -3.80%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -6.06%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -6.73%E -4.81%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -6.06%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-10 18:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -6.06%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-10 18:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -6.73%E -4.81%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.01%E -2.45%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-10 17:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -6.73%E -4.81%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.01%E -2.45%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-10 17:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -6.73%E -4.81%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.01%E -2.45%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-10 17:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -6.73%E -4.81%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.01%E -2.45%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-10 17:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -6.73%E -4.81%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -16.94%E -4.03%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-10 18:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -9.40%E -6.91%K -26.10%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -14.37%E -3.32%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-10 17:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.37%EV -11.39%E -8.57%K -34.53%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.01%EV -14.31%E -2.27%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.62%EV -11.01%E -2.45%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -3.40%E -2.34%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -14.99%E -2.40%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 20.59%EV -10.21%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.66%EV -4.73%E -3.31%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.79%EV -14.99%E -2.40%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -11.01%E -2.45%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.41%EV -10.73%E -8.01%K -31.55%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.24%EV -14.99%E -2.40%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.35%EV -9.03%E -1.96%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.41%EV -10.73%E -8.01%K -31.55%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.24%EV -14.99%E -2.40%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.35%EV -9.03%E -1.96%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.41%EV -10.73%E -8.01%K -31.55%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.24%EV -14.99%E -2.40%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.35%EV -9.03%E -1.96%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.58%EV -5.40%E -3.80%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.02%EV -15.67%E -2.53%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-10 18:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.58%EV -5.40%E -3.80%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.02%EV -15.67%E -2.53%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-10 18:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.74%EV -7.40%E -5.32%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -18.39%E -3.06%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -9.40%E -6.91%K -26.10%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -18.39%E -3.06%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -11.01%E -2.45%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.02%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.47%EV -21.11%E -3.64%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.51%EV -9.03%E -1.96%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.84%EV -4.73%E -3.31%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -21.79%E -3.79%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -11.01%E -2.45%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-10 18:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.12% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 0.5% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.49% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.41% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.10% | 0.7% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.49% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.41% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.10% | 0.7% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.69% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04% | 1.0% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
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