Idioma:Español
Plymouth Argyle v Exeter City
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Plymouth Argyle (Local)
Predicción 66.62%1.50momio equitativo
EV -3.40%
Ventaja -2.34%
Kelly -7.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.84%66.45%66.73%68.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.331.391.401.4575.19%71.87%71.68%68.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Exeter City (Visitante)
Predicción 13.60%7.35momio equitativo
EV +2.02%
Ventaja +0.269%
Kelly +0.310%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.33%13.65%13.47%15.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.756.656.507.5017.39%15.04%15.38%13.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 19.78%5.06momio equitativo
EV -1.12%
Ventaja -0.224%
Kelly -0.279%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.99%19.90%19.80%22.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.204.674.725.0023.81%21.41%21.16%20.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Plymouth Argyle (Local): 66.62%; Exeter City (Visitante): 13.60%; Empate: 19.78%. Para Exeter City (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 7.35. 7 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 7.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.02%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -6.06%E -4.30%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +2.02%E +0.269%K +0.310%G +0.006% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.18%EV -1.12%E -0.224%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-10 17:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -6.06%E -4.30%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +2.02%E +0.269%K +0.310%G +0.006% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.18%EV -1.12%E -0.224%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-10 17:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.19%EV -5.40%E -3.80%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.72%EV +2.02%E +0.269%K +0.310%G +0.006% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.09%EV -6.06%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -6.73%E -4.81%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV +2.02%E +0.269%K +0.310%G +0.006% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-10 17:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -6.73%E -4.81%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV +2.02%E +0.269%K +0.310%G +0.006% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-10 17:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV +2.02%E +0.269%K +0.310%G +0.006% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -7.05%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-10 18:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -9.40%E -6.91%K -26.10%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV +2.02%E +0.269%K +0.310%G +0.006% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -7.05%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-10 18:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -6.73%E -4.81%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.95%EV -1.38%E -0.191%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV -7.05%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-10 18:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.17%EV -7.40%E -5.32%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.97%EV -2.06%E -0.287%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -7.05%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.20%EV -8.73%E -6.37%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.79%EV -2.06%E -0.287%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -9.03%E -1.96%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-10 18:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.00%EV -6.06%E -4.30%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 7.05I 14.18%NM 13.40%EV -4.10%E -0.582%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.60%EV -4.68%E -0.970%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -6.73%E -4.81%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -4.78%E -0.683%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -11.01%E -2.45%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-10 18:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -11.39%E -8.57%K -34.53%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -4.78%E -0.683%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.01%E -2.45%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-10 17:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -11.39%E -8.57%K -34.53%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -4.78%E -0.683%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.01%E -2.45%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-10 18:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.61%EV -4.73%E -3.31%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.39%EV -6.14%E -0.891%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -16.94%E -4.03%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-10 18:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.61%EV -4.73%E -3.31%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.39%EV -6.14%E -0.891%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -16.94%E -4.03%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-10 18:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.25%EV -4.07%E -2.82%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -1.12%E -0.224%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-10 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.25%EV -4.07%E -2.82%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -1.12%E -0.224%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-10 18:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.40%EV -4.73%E -3.31%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99%EV -1.12%E -0.224%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 18:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.90%EV -5.40%E -3.80%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -6.06%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -6.73%E -4.81%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -6.06%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-10 18:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -6.06%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-10 18:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -6.73%E -4.81%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.01%E -2.45%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-10 17:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -6.73%E -4.81%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.01%E -2.45%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-10 17:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -6.73%E -4.81%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.01%E -2.45%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-10 17:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -6.73%E -4.81%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.01%E -2.45%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-10 17:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -6.73%E -4.81%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -16.94%E -4.03%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-10 18:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -9.40%E -6.91%K -26.10%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -14.37%E -3.32%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-10 17:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.37%EV -11.39%E -8.57%K -34.53%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.01%EV -14.31%E -2.27%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.62%EV -11.01%E -2.45%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -3.40%E -2.34%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -14.99%E -2.40%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 20.59%EV -10.21%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.66%EV -4.73%E -3.31%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.79%EV -14.99%E -2.40%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -11.01%E -2.45%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.41%EV -10.73%E -8.01%K -31.55%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.24%EV -14.99%E -2.40%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.35%EV -9.03%E -1.96%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.41%EV -10.73%E -8.01%K -31.55%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.24%EV -14.99%E -2.40%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.35%EV -9.03%E -1.96%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.41%EV -10.73%E -8.01%K -31.55%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.24%EV -14.99%E -2.40%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.35%EV -9.03%E -1.96%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.58%EV -5.40%E -3.80%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.02%EV -15.67%E -2.53%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-10 18:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.58%EV -5.40%E -3.80%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.02%EV -15.67%E -2.53%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-10 18:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.74%EV -7.40%E -5.32%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -18.39%E -3.06%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -9.40%E -6.91%K -26.10%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -18.39%E -3.06%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -11.01%E -2.45%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.02%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.47%EV -21.11%E -3.64%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.51%EV -9.03%E -1.96%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.84%EV -4.73%E -3.31%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -21.79%E -3.79%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -11.01%E -2.45%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-10 18:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.12% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 0.5% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.49% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.41% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.10% | 0.7% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.49% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.41% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.10% | 0.7% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.69% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04% | 1.0% | 2026-08-10 18:55 |