Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Plymouth Argyle v Exeter City

Início: 2026-08-10 19:00 UTC

Final: Plymouth Argyle 2–0 Exeter City

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Plymouth Argyle (Local)

Previsão 66.62%1.50odd justa
EV -3.40%
Vantagem -2.34%
Kelly -7.55%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
63.84%66.45%66.73%68.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.331.391.401.4575.19%71.87%71.68%68.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Exeter City (Visitante)

Previsão 13.60%7.35odd justa
EV +2.02%
Vantagem +0.269%
Kelly +0.310%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
12.33%13.65%13.47%15.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.756.656.507.5017.39%15.04%15.38%13.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 19.78%5.06odd justa
EV -1.12%
Vantagem -0.224%
Kelly -0.279%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.99%19.90%19.80%22.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.204.674.725.0023.81%21.41%21.16%20.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Plymouth Argyle (Local): 66.62%; Exeter City (Visitante): 13.60%; Empate: 19.78%. Para Exeter City (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 7.35. 7 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 7.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.02%.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -6.06%E -4.30%K -14.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +2.02%E +0.269%K +0.310%G +0.006%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.18%EV -1.12%E -0.224%K -0.279%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-10 17:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -6.06%E -4.30%K -14.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +2.02%E +0.269%K +0.310%G +0.006%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.18%EV -1.12%E -0.224%K -0.279%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-10 17:45
Coolbet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.19%EV -5.40%E -3.80%K -12.85%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.72%EV +2.02%E +0.269%K +0.310%G +0.006%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.09%EV -6.06%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-10 18:55
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -6.73%E -4.81%K -16.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV +2.02%E +0.269%K +0.310%G +0.006%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-10 17:45
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -6.73%E -4.81%K -16.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV +2.02%E +0.269%K +0.310%G +0.006%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-10 17:44
SportsBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV +2.02%E +0.269%K +0.310%G +0.006%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -7.05%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-10 18:40
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -9.40%E -6.91%K -26.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV +2.02%E +0.269%K +0.310%G +0.006%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -7.05%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-10 18:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -6.73%E -4.81%K -16.83%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.95%EV -1.38%E -0.191%K -0.221%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV -7.05%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-10 18:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.17%EV -7.40%E -5.32%K -18.97%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.97%EV -2.06%E -0.287%K -0.333%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -7.05%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-10 18:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.20%EV -8.73%E -6.37%K -23.59%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.79%EV -2.06%E -0.287%K -0.333%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -9.03%E -1.96%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-10 18:45
Pinnacle🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.00%EV -6.06%E -4.30%K -14.79%G +0.000%7.05I 14.18%NM 13.40%EV -4.10%E -0.582%K -0.678%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.60%EV -4.68%E -0.970%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-10 18:55
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -6.73%E -4.81%K -16.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -4.78%E -0.683%K -0.797%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -11.01%E -2.45%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-10 18:35
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -11.39%E -8.57%K -34.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -4.78%E -0.683%K -0.797%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.01%E -2.45%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-10 17:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -11.39%E -8.57%K -34.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -4.78%E -0.683%K -0.797%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.01%E -2.45%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-10 18:45
Betsson🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.61%EV -4.73%E -3.31%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.39%EV -6.14%E -0.891%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -16.94%E -4.03%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-10 18:49
NordicBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.61%EV -4.73%E -3.31%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.39%EV -6.14%E -0.891%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -16.94%E -4.03%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-10 18:50
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.25%EV -4.07%E -2.82%K -9.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -1.12%E -0.224%K -0.279%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-10 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.25%EV -4.07%E -2.82%K -9.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -1.12%E -0.224%K -0.279%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-10 18:35
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.40%EV -4.73%E -3.31%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99%EV -1.12%E -0.224%K -0.279%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 18:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.90%EV -5.40%E -3.80%K -12.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -6.06%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-10 18:55
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -6.73%E -4.81%K -16.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -6.06%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-10 18:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-10 18:55
Casumo🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-10 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-10 18:55
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-10 18:55
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-10 18:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-10 18:55
Grosvenor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-10 18:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-10 18:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-10 18:55
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-10 18:55
Betway🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -6.06%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-10 18:35
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -6.73%E -4.81%K -16.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.01%E -2.45%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-10 17:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -6.73%E -4.81%K -16.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.01%E -2.45%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-10 17:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -6.73%E -4.81%K -16.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.01%E -2.45%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-10 17:55
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -6.73%E -4.81%K -16.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.01%E -2.45%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-10 17:55
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -6.73%E -4.81%K -16.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -16.94%E -4.03%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-10 18:35
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -9.40%E -6.91%K -26.10%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -14.37%E -3.32%K -4.31%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-10 17:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.37%EV -11.39%E -8.57%K -34.53%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.01%EV -14.31%E -2.27%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.62%EV -11.01%E -2.45%K -3.14%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-10 18:55
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -3.40%E -2.34%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -14.99%E -2.40%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.59%EV -10.21%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-10 18:55
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.66%EV -4.73%E -3.31%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.79%EV -14.99%E -2.40%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -11.01%E -2.45%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-10 18:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 66.41%EV -10.73%E -8.01%K -31.55%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.24%EV -14.99%E -2.40%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.35%EV -9.03%E -1.96%K -2.51%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-10 18:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 66.41%EV -10.73%E -8.01%K -31.55%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.24%EV -14.99%E -2.40%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.35%EV -9.03%E -1.96%K -2.51%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-10 18:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 66.41%EV -10.73%E -8.01%K -31.55%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.24%EV -14.99%E -2.40%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.35%EV -9.03%E -1.96%K -2.51%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-10 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.58%EV -5.40%E -3.80%K -12.85%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.02%EV -15.67%E -2.53%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 18:35
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.58%EV -5.40%E -3.80%K -12.85%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.02%EV -15.67%E -2.53%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 18:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.74%EV -7.40%E -5.32%K -18.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -18.39%E -3.06%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-10 18:55
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -9.40%E -6.91%K -26.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -18.39%E -3.06%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -11.01%E -2.45%K -3.14%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-10 18:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.02%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.47%EV -21.11%E -3.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.51%EV -9.03%E -1.96%K -2.51%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-10 18:55
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.84%EV -4.73%E -3.31%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -21.79%E -3.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -11.01%E -2.45%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-10 18:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 68.12%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-08-10 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.49%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.41%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.10%0.7%2026-08-10 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.49%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.41%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.10%0.7%2026-08-10 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.69%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04%1.0%2026-08-10 18:55