A Escola das Odds

Plymouth Argyle v Exeter City

2026-08-10 19:00 UTC — EFL Cup

Frente a frente

26 casas de apostas (10 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Plymouth Argyle (Local)

Previsão 58.60%1.71odd justa
EV -5.08%
Vantagem -3.13%
Kelly -8.19%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.62

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.13%58.62%58.55%60.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.481.571.581.6267.57%63.49%63.29%61.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Exeter City (Visitante)

Previsão 19.02%5.26odd justa
EV +0.811%
Vantagem +0.153%
Kelly +0.189%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.55%18.98%18.97%20.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.104.824.805.3024.39%20.75%20.83%18.87%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 22.38%4.47odd justa
EV -3.75%
Vantagem -0.872%
Kelly -1.14%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.64%22.39%22.48%23.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.804.104.154.3026.32%24.40%24.10%23.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (26 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 60.81%EV -10.35%E -6.76%K -19.53%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV +0.811%E +0.153%K +0.189%G +0.002%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -3.75%E -0.872%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-09 11:44
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.78%EV -7.42%E -4.70%K -12.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -0.140%E -0.027%K -0.033%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.23%EV -4.87%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-23 05:59
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.05%EV -7.42%E -4.70%K -12.79%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.47%EV -3.94%E -0.781%K -0.974%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -7.11%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-13 18:34
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -5.66%E -3.52%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -4.90%E -0.979%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -5.99%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-21 19:19
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -5.66%E -3.52%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -4.90%E -0.979%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -5.99%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 02:39
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -8.01%E -5.10%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -4.90%E -0.979%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.99%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-09 11:45
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -8.01%E -5.10%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -4.90%E -0.979%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.99%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-09 11:44
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -8.01%E -5.10%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -4.90%E -0.979%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.99%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-09 11:50
1xBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -6.25%E -3.90%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 18.85%EV -5.47%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.58%EV -7.11%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-13 18:34
Pinnacle1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.83%E -4.30%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 18.74%EV -5.47%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 22.67%EV -8.00%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-13 19:05
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -9.18%E -5.92%K -16.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -6.80%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -5.99%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-24 22:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -5.66%E -3.52%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -8.70%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -5.99%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 21:55
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -5.08%E -3.13%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -8.70%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -10.46%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-13 18:29
Bovada1.59I 62.89%NM 58.17%EV -6.83%E -4.30%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -8.70%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -8.23%E -2.01%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-23 14:32
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -8.01%E -5.10%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -8.70%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.23%E -2.01%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-22 13:34
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -6.25%E -3.90%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -8.70%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -12.70%E -3.26%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-13 18:29
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -6.25%E -3.90%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -8.70%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -12.70%E -3.26%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-13 19:39
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -6.25%E -3.90%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -8.70%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -12.70%E -3.26%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-13 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.08%E -3.13%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -9.65%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -5.99%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-21 21:55
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.08%E -3.13%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -9.65%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -5.99%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-21 21:55
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.52%EV -7.42%E -4.70%K -12.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -9.65%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -5.99%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-13 17:54
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.46%EV -12.11%E -8.07%K -24.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.06%EV -12.50%E -2.72%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.48%EV -12.70%E -3.26%K -4.38%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-22 13:34
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -8.01%E -5.10%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -14.41%E -3.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -10.46%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-23 14:35
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 58.06%EV -10.35%E -6.76%K -19.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -14.41%E -3.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -10.46%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-09 11:45
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.01%EV -12.11%E -8.07%K -24.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.24%EV -18.21%E -4.23%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.75%EV -10.46%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-22 15:39
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 57.13%EV -13.28%E -8.97%K -27.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.62%EV -22.01%E -5.37%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.25%EV -14.94%E -3.93%K -5.34%G +0.000%18.3%2026-07-22 15:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.68%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.25%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%5.4%2026-07-25 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.68%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.25%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%5.4%2026-07-26 01:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.68%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.25%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%5.4%2026-07-26 02:00