Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Plymouth Argyle v Exeter City

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-10 19:00 UTC

Score final : Plymouth Argyle 2–0 Exeter City

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Plymouth Argyle (Local)

Prévision 66.62%1.50cote équitable
EV -3.40%
Avantage -2.34%
Kelly -7.55%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.84%66.45%66.73%68.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.331.391.401.4575.19%71.87%71.68%68.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Exeter City (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.60%7.35cote équitable
EV +2.02%
Avantage +0.269%
Kelly +0.310%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 7.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.33%13.65%13.47%15.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.756.656.507.5017.39%15.04%15.38%13.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 19.78%5.06cote équitable
EV -1.12%
Avantage -0.224%
Kelly -0.279%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.99%19.90%19.80%22.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.204.674.725.0023.81%21.41%21.16%20.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Plymouth Argyle (Local) : 66.62% ; Exeter City (Visiteur) : 13.60% ; Match nul : 19.78%. Pour Exeter City (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 7.35. 7 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 7.50, soit une espérance positive de +2.02%.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -6.06%E -4.30%K -14.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +2.02%E +0.269%K +0.310%G +0.006%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.18%EV -1.12%E -0.224%K -0.279%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-10 17:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -6.06%E -4.30%K -14.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +2.02%E +0.269%K +0.310%G +0.006%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.18%EV -1.12%E -0.224%K -0.279%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-10 17:45
Coolbet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.19%EV -5.40%E -3.80%K -12.85%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.72%EV +2.02%E +0.269%K +0.310%G +0.006%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.09%EV -6.06%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-10 18:55
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -6.73%E -4.81%K -16.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV +2.02%E +0.269%K +0.310%G +0.006%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-10 17:45
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -6.73%E -4.81%K -16.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV +2.02%E +0.269%K +0.310%G +0.006%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-10 17:44
SportsBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.68%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV +2.02%E +0.269%K +0.310%G +0.006%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -7.05%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-10 18:40
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -9.40%E -6.91%K -26.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV +2.02%E +0.269%K +0.310%G +0.006%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -7.05%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-10 18:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -6.73%E -4.81%K -16.83%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.95%EV -1.38%E -0.191%K -0.221%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV -7.05%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-10 18:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.17%EV -7.40%E -5.32%K -18.97%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.97%EV -2.06%E -0.287%K -0.333%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -7.05%E -1.50%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-10 18:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.20%EV -8.73%E -6.37%K -23.59%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.79%EV -2.06%E -0.287%K -0.333%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -9.03%E -1.96%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-10 18:45
Pinnacle🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.00%EV -6.06%E -4.30%K -14.79%G +0.000%7.05I 14.18%NM 13.40%EV -4.10%E -0.582%K -0.678%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.60%EV -4.68%E -0.970%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-10 18:55
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -6.73%E -4.81%K -16.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -4.78%E -0.683%K -0.797%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -11.01%E -2.45%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-10 18:35
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -11.39%E -8.57%K -34.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -4.78%E -0.683%K -0.797%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.01%E -2.45%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-10 17:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -11.39%E -8.57%K -34.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -4.78%E -0.683%K -0.797%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -11.01%E -2.45%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-10 18:45
Betsson🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.61%EV -4.73%E -3.31%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.39%EV -6.14%E -0.891%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -16.94%E -4.03%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-10 18:49
NordicBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.61%EV -4.73%E -3.31%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.39%EV -6.14%E -0.891%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -16.94%E -4.03%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-10 18:50
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.25%EV -4.07%E -2.82%K -9.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -1.12%E -0.224%K -0.279%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-10 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.25%EV -4.07%E -2.82%K -9.24%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -1.12%E -0.224%K -0.279%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-10 18:35
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.40%EV -4.73%E -3.31%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99%EV -1.12%E -0.224%K -0.279%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 18:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.90%EV -5.40%E -3.80%K -12.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -6.06%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-10 18:55
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -6.73%E -4.81%K -16.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -6.06%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-10 18:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-10 18:55
Casumo🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-10 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-10 18:55
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-10 18:55
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-10 18:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-10 18:55
Grosvenor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-10 18:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-10 18:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-10 18:55
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-10 18:55
Betway🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -6.06%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-10 18:35
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -6.73%E -4.81%K -16.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.01%E -2.45%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-10 17:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -6.73%E -4.81%K -16.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.01%E -2.45%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-10 17:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -6.73%E -4.81%K -16.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.01%E -2.45%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-10 17:55
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -6.73%E -4.81%K -16.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.01%E -2.45%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-10 17:55
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -6.73%E -4.81%K -16.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -16.94%E -4.03%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-10 18:35
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -9.40%E -6.91%K -26.10%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -11.59%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -14.37%E -3.32%K -4.31%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-10 17:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.37%EV -11.39%E -8.57%K -34.53%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.01%EV -14.31%E -2.27%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.62%EV -11.01%E -2.45%K -3.14%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-10 18:55
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -3.40%E -2.34%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -14.99%E -2.40%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.59%EV -10.21%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-10 18:55
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.66%EV -4.73%E -3.31%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.79%EV -14.99%E -2.40%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -11.01%E -2.45%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-10 18:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 66.41%EV -10.73%E -8.01%K -31.55%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.24%EV -14.99%E -2.40%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.35%EV -9.03%E -1.96%K -2.51%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-10 18:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 66.41%EV -10.73%E -8.01%K -31.55%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.24%EV -14.99%E -2.40%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.35%EV -9.03%E -1.96%K -2.51%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-10 18:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 66.41%EV -10.73%E -8.01%K -31.55%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.24%EV -14.99%E -2.40%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.35%EV -9.03%E -1.96%K -2.51%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-10 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.58%EV -5.40%E -3.80%K -12.85%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.02%EV -15.67%E -2.53%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 18:35
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.58%EV -5.40%E -3.80%K -12.85%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.02%EV -15.67%E -2.53%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 18:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.74%EV -7.40%E -5.32%K -18.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -18.39%E -3.06%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -5.07%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-10 18:55
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -9.40%E -6.91%K -26.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -18.39%E -3.06%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -11.01%E -2.45%K -3.14%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-10 18:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.02%EV -8.06%E -5.84%K -21.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.47%EV -21.11%E -3.64%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.51%EV -9.03%E -1.96%K -2.51%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-10 18:55
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.84%EV -4.73%E -3.31%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -21.79%E -3.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -11.01%E -2.45%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-10 18:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 68.12%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-08-10 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.49%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.41%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.10%0.7%2026-08-10 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.49%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.41%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.10%0.7%2026-08-10 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.69%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04%1.0%2026-08-10 18:55