L’École des cotes

Plymouth Argyle v Exeter City

2026-08-10 19:00 UTC — EFL Cup

Résultat du match

26 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Plymouth Argyle (Local)

Prévision 58.60%1.71cote équitable
EV -5.08%
Avantage -3.13%
Kelly -8.19%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.13%58.62%58.55%60.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.481.571.581.6267.57%63.49%63.29%61.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Exeter City (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.02%5.26cote équitable
EV +0.811%
Avantage +0.153%
Kelly +0.189%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 5.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.55%18.98%18.97%20.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.104.824.805.3024.39%20.75%20.83%18.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.38%4.47cote équitable
EV -3.75%
Avantage -0.872%
Kelly -1.14%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.64%22.39%22.48%23.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.104.154.3026.32%24.40%24.10%23.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (26 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 60.81%EV -10.35%E -6.76%K -19.53%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV +0.811%E +0.153%K +0.189%G +0.002%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -3.75%E -0.872%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-09 11:44
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.78%EV -7.42%E -4.70%K -12.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -0.140%E -0.027%K -0.033%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.23%EV -4.87%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-23 05:59
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.05%EV -7.42%E -4.70%K -12.79%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.47%EV -3.94%E -0.781%K -0.974%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -7.11%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-13 18:34
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -5.66%E -3.52%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -4.90%E -0.979%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -5.99%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-21 19:19
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -5.66%E -3.52%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -4.90%E -0.979%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -5.99%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 02:39
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -8.01%E -5.10%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -4.90%E -0.979%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.99%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-09 11:45
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -8.01%E -5.10%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -4.90%E -0.979%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.99%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-09 11:44
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -8.01%E -5.10%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -4.90%E -0.979%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.99%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-09 11:50
1xBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -6.25%E -3.90%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 18.85%EV -5.47%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.58%EV -7.11%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-13 18:34
Pinnacle1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.83%E -4.30%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 18.74%EV -5.47%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 22.67%EV -8.00%E -1.95%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-13 19:05
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -9.18%E -5.92%K -16.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -6.80%E -1.39%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -5.99%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-24 22:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -5.66%E -3.52%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -8.70%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -5.99%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 21:55
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -5.08%E -3.13%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -8.70%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -10.46%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-13 18:29
Bovada1.59I 62.89%NM 58.17%EV -6.83%E -4.30%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -8.70%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -8.23%E -2.01%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-23 14:32
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -8.01%E -5.10%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -8.70%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.23%E -2.01%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-22 13:34
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -6.25%E -3.90%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -8.70%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -12.70%E -3.26%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-13 18:29
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -6.25%E -3.90%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -8.70%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -12.70%E -3.26%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-13 19:39
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -6.25%E -3.90%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -8.70%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -12.70%E -3.26%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-13 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.08%E -3.13%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -9.65%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -5.99%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-21 21:55
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.08%E -3.13%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -9.65%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -5.99%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-21 21:55
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.52%EV -7.42%E -4.70%K -12.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -9.65%E -2.03%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -5.99%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-13 17:54
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.46%EV -12.11%E -8.07%K -24.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.06%EV -12.50%E -2.72%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.48%EV -12.70%E -3.26%K -4.38%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-22 13:34
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -8.01%E -5.10%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -14.41%E -3.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -10.46%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-23 14:35
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 58.06%EV -10.35%E -6.76%K -19.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -14.41%E -3.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -10.46%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-09 11:45
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.01%EV -12.11%E -8.07%K -24.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.24%EV -18.21%E -4.23%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.75%EV -10.46%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-22 15:39
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 57.13%EV -13.28%E -8.97%K -27.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.62%EV -22.01%E -5.37%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.25%EV -14.94%E -3.93%K -5.34%G +0.000%18.3%2026-07-22 15:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.68%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.25%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%5.4%2026-07-25 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.68%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.25%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%5.4%2026-07-26 01:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.68%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.25%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%5.4%2026-07-26 02:00