Language:English
Leicester City v Northampton Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Leicester City (Local)
Prediction 69.69%1.43fair odd
EV -3.13%
Edge -2.25%
Kelly -8.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.39
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.76%69.77%69.75%74.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.321.331.3981.30%75.83%75.19%71.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Northampton Town (Visit)
Prediction 11.66%8.58fair odd
EV +10.76%
Edge +1.13%
Kelly +1.27%
Growth +0.136%
assuming max odds 9.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.70%11.78%11.64%15.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.907.808.009.5016.95%12.82%12.50%10.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 18.65%5.36fair odd
EV +11.88%
Edge +1.98%
Kelly +2.38%
Growth +0.282%
assuming max odds 6.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.46%18.45%18.62%20.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.405.115.006.0022.73%19.55%20.00%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Leicester City (Local): 69.69%; Northampton Town (Visit): 11.66%; Draw: 18.65%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.36. 17 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.88%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -12.88%E -10.31%K -51.53%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV +4.93%E +0.548%K +0.617%G +0.030% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV +11.88%E +1.98%K +2.38%G +0.282% | 7.8% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.33%EV -10.79%E -8.43%K -38.54%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -6.73%E -0.841%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV +7.22%E +1.26%K +1.52%G +0.110% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.33%EV -10.79%E -8.43%K -38.54%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -6.73%E -0.841%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV +7.22%E +1.26%K +1.52%G +0.110% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.33%EV -10.79%E -8.43%K -38.54%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -6.73%E -0.841%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV +7.22%E +1.26%K +1.52%G +0.110% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.33%EV -10.79%E -8.43%K -38.54%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -6.73%E -0.841%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV +7.22%E +1.26%K +1.52%G +0.110% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.33%EV -10.79%E -8.43%K -38.54%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -6.73%E -0.841%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV +7.22%E +1.26%K +1.52%G +0.110% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.63%EV -12.88%E -10.31%K -51.53%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV +4.93%E +0.548%K +0.617%G +0.030% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV +6.29%E +1.10%K +1.34%G +0.084% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -10.79%E -8.43%K -38.54%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -6.73%E -0.841%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV +4.42%E +0.790%K +0.961%G +0.043% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -10.79%E -8.43%K -38.54%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -6.73%E -0.841%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV +4.42%E +0.790%K +0.961%G +0.043% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -10.79%E -8.43%K -38.54%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -6.73%E -0.841%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV +4.42%E +0.790%K +0.961%G +0.043% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -10.79%E -8.43%K -38.54%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -6.73%E -0.841%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV +4.42%E +0.790%K +0.961%G +0.043% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -10.79%E -8.43%K -38.54%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -6.73%E -0.841%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV +4.42%E +0.790%K +0.961%G +0.043% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -9.40%E -7.23%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV +10.76%E +1.13%K +1.27%G +0.136% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV +2.56%E +0.465%K +0.568%G +0.015% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -9.40%E -7.23%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.21%EV +7.85%E +0.848%K +0.951%G +0.075% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.56%E +0.465%K +0.568%G +0.015% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 71.69%EV -13.58%E -10.95%K -56.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -12.56%E -1.67%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.46%EV +0.693%E +0.128%K +0.157%G +0.001% | 12.5% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 71.69%EV -13.58%E -10.95%K -56.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -12.56%E -1.67%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.46%EV +0.693%E +0.128%K +0.157%G +0.001% | 12.5% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 71.85%EV -14.28%E -11.61%K -62.07%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.78%EV -12.56%E -1.67%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.37%EV +0.693%E +0.128%K +0.157%G +0.001% | 13.2% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.93%EV -7.31%E -5.49%K -22.14%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -0.898%E -0.106%K -0.120%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.10%E -0.401%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.93%EV -7.31%E -5.49%K -22.14%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -0.898%E -0.106%K -0.120%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.10%E -0.401%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.58%EV -5.91%E -4.38%K -16.89%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -12.56%E -1.67%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -2.10%E -0.401%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.99%EV -8.00%E -6.06%K -25.01%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.49%EV -21.30%E -3.16%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.51%EV -3.04%E -0.584%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.08%EV -7.31%E -5.49%K -22.14%G +0.000% | 8.83I 11.33%NM 10.71%EV +2.95%E +0.334%K +0.377%G +0.011% | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.21%EV -3.22%E -0.621%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -5.22%E -3.84%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV -6.73%E -0.841%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -5.22%E -3.84%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV -6.73%E -0.841%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.22%E -3.84%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -12.56%E -1.67%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.22%E -3.84%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -12.56%E -1.67%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.22%E -3.84%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -12.56%E -1.67%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -7.31%E -5.49%K -22.14%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -6.73%E -0.841%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -5.22%E -3.84%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -18.39%E -2.63%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 68.33%EV -8.70%E -6.64%K -28.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.77%EV -24.22%E -3.73%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.90%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -5.91%E -4.38%K -16.89%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -6.73%E -0.841%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.60%EV -6.61%E -4.93%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.37%EV -4.40%E -0.536%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.12%EV -5.91%E -4.38%K -16.89%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.38%EV -26.55%E -4.21%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.49%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -9.40%E -7.23%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -18.39%E -2.63%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -10.50%E -2.19%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.25%EV -3.13%E -2.25%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 7.06I 14.16%NM 13.24%EV -17.69%E -2.51%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.79I 20.88%NM 19.51%EV -10.68%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 13:53 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.90%EV -9.40%E -7.23%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV +10.76%E +1.13%K +1.27%G +0.136% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -11.43%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -5.22%E -3.84%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -18.39%E -2.63%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -11.43%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 65.76%EV -4.52%E -3.30%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.27%EV -31.21%E -5.29%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.97%EV -11.43%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -9.40%E -7.23%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -12.56%E -1.67%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -11.43%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.03%EV -6.61%E -4.93%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.57%EV -15.47%E -2.13%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -12.36%E -2.63%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -5.22%E -3.84%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -6.73%E -0.841%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -14.22%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -5.22%E -3.84%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -6.73%E -0.841%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -14.22%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -5.22%E -3.84%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -6.73%E -0.841%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -14.22%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -5.22%E -3.84%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -6.73%E -0.841%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -14.22%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 68.57%EV -10.09%E -7.83%K -34.81%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.20%EV -15.47%E -2.13%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.23%EV -14.22%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -7.31%E -5.49%K -22.14%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -18.39%E -2.63%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -16.09%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.51%EV -4.52%E -3.30%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.71%EV -7.89%E -0.999%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.78%EV -17.02%E -3.83%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.51%EV -4.52%E -3.30%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.71%EV -7.89%E -0.999%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.78%EV -17.02%E -3.83%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.98%EV -5.91%E -4.38%K -16.89%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.47%EV -15.47%E -2.13%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.55%EV -17.95%E -4.08%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.36% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.27% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37% | 0.8% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.36% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.27% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37% | 0.8% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.36% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.27% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37% | 0.8% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.36% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.27% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37% | 0.8% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
Discuss this game on odds.forum
No published comments yet.