La escuela de los momios

Leicester City v Northampton Town

2026-08-08 14:00 UTC — EFL Cup

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Leicester City (Local)

Predicción 69.72%1.43momio equitativo
EV -3.79%
Ventaja -2.75%
Kelly -9.97%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.39%69.59%69.76%72.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.251.331.331.3880.00%74.92%75.19%72.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Northampton Town (Visitante)

Predicción 11.93%8.38momio equitativo
EV +4.39%
Ventaja +0.502%
Kelly +0.567%
Crecimiento +0.025%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.57%12.08%11.86%14.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.007.337.508.7516.67%13.64%13.33%11.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 18.35%5.45momio equitativo
EV +0.932%
Ventaja +0.169%
Kelly +0.207%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.71%18.33%18.39%20.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.404.814.855.5022.73%20.79%20.62%18.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Betr (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.31%EV -7.97%E -6.04%K -24.91%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.76%EV +4.39%E +0.502%K +0.567%G +0.025%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.93%EV -3.66%E -0.696%K -0.860%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-23 05:59
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.29%EV -10.76%E -8.41%K -38.43%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.57%EV +4.39%E +0.502%K +0.567%G +0.025%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.14%EV -0.903%E -0.167%K -0.205%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-23 05:59
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -10.06%E -7.80%K -34.70%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV +1.41%E +0.166%K +0.188%G +0.003%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -8.24%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-23 05:59
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -10.06%E -7.80%K -34.70%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV +1.41%E +0.166%K +0.188%G +0.003%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -8.24%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-23 06:00
Marathon Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.62%EV -7.97%E -6.04%K -24.91%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.10%EV +0.219%E +0.026%K +0.030%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -6.41%E -1.26%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-21 19:19
1xBet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.37%EV -7.28%E -5.47%K -22.05%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.28%EV -0.974%E -0.117%K -0.133%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV -6.41%E -1.26%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 19:20
Pinnacle1.32I 75.76%NM 70.48%EV -7.97%E -6.04%K -24.91%G +0.000%8.02I 12.47%NM 11.60%EV -4.31%E -0.538%K -0.615%G +0.000%5.19I 19.27%NM 17.92%EV -4.76%E -0.917%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 14:30
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.40%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV -4.55%E -0.569%K -0.650%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -8.24%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-21 19:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.40%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV -4.55%E -0.569%K -0.650%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -8.24%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-21 21:55
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -5.18%E -3.81%K -14.40%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV -4.55%E -0.569%K -0.650%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -8.24%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-22 02:39
William Hill1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.88%E -4.36%K -16.80%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -4.55%E -0.569%K -0.650%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -11.91%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-21 14:30
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.28%E -5.47%K -22.05%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -4.55%E -0.569%K -0.650%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -11.91%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-21 14:30
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.28%E -5.47%K -22.05%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -4.55%E -0.569%K -0.650%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -11.91%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-21 14:30
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.28%E -5.47%K -22.05%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -4.55%E -0.569%K -0.650%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -11.91%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-21 14:30
FanDuel1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -10.76%E -8.41%K -38.43%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -4.55%E -0.569%K -0.650%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV +0.932%E +0.169%K +0.207%G +0.002%8.8%2026-07-23 06:00
Tipico (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -10.76%E -8.41%K -38.43%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -4.55%E -0.569%K -0.650%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV +0.932%E +0.169%K +0.207%G +0.002%8.8%2026-07-24 22:09
betano_uk1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -9.37%E -7.21%K -31.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -4.55%E -0.569%K -0.650%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -8.24%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-21 19:18
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -9.37%E -7.21%K -31.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -4.55%E -0.569%K -0.650%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -8.24%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-21 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -5.88%E -4.36%K -16.80%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.06%EV -7.54%E -0.972%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.24%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 21:55
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -5.88%E -4.36%K -16.80%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.06%EV -7.54%E -0.972%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.24%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 21:55
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 69.78%EV -7.28%E -5.47%K -22.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -10.52%E -1.40%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -4.57%E -0.879%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-23 09:44
Unibet (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.28%E -5.47%K -22.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -10.52%E -1.40%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -8.24%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-23 09:44
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.28%E -5.47%K -22.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -10.52%E -1.40%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -8.24%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-21 14:26
NetBet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 69.62%EV -12.16%E -9.65%K -46.75%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.10%EV -13.50%E -1.86%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.28%EV -11.91%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-25 09:05
LowVig.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 69.04%EV -9.37%E -7.21%K -31.22%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 12.64%EV -15.29%E -2.15%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.32%EV -10.08%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-23 11:30
BetOnline.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 69.04%EV -9.37%E -7.21%K -31.22%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 12.64%EV -15.29%E -2.15%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.32%EV -10.08%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-23 11:30
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -9.37%E -7.21%K -31.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -16.48%E -2.35%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -8.24%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-21 19:20
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -9.37%E -7.21%K -31.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -16.48%E -2.35%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -12.83%E -2.70%K -3.42%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-21 14:30
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 65.39%EV -3.79%E -2.75%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.10%EV -23.64%E -3.69%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -19.25%E -4.38%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 05:19
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 65.39%EV -3.79%E -2.75%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.10%EV -23.64%E -3.69%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -19.25%E -4.38%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 08:09
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 65.39%EV -3.79%E -2.75%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.10%EV -23.64%E -3.69%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -19.25%E -4.38%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 65.39%EV -3.79%E -2.75%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.10%EV -23.64%E -3.69%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -19.25%E -4.38%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 08:30
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 65.39%EV -3.79%E -2.75%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.10%EV -23.64%E -3.69%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -19.25%E -4.38%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 08:29
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 65.39%EV -3.79%E -2.75%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.10%EV -23.64%E -3.69%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -19.25%E -4.38%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 08:29
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 65.39%EV -3.79%E -2.75%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.10%EV -23.64%E -3.69%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -19.25%E -4.38%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 08:29
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 65.39%EV -3.79%E -2.75%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.10%EV -23.64%E -3.69%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -19.25%E -4.38%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 08:29
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 65.39%EV -3.79%E -2.75%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.10%EV -23.64%E -3.69%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -19.25%E -4.38%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 08:29
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 65.39%EV -3.79%E -2.75%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.10%EV -23.64%E -3.69%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -19.25%E -4.38%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 08:29
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 65.39%EV -3.79%E -2.75%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.10%EV -23.64%E -3.69%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -19.25%E -4.38%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 08:29
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 65.39%EV -3.79%E -2.75%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.10%EV -23.64%E -3.69%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -19.25%E -4.38%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 08:39
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 65.39%EV -3.79%E -2.75%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.10%EV -23.64%E -3.69%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -19.25%E -4.38%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 08:39
PMU (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 65.39%EV -3.79%E -2.75%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.10%EV -23.64%E -3.69%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -19.25%E -4.38%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-16 14:05
Winamax (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 67.96%EV -10.76%E -8.41%K -38.43%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 13.92%EV -25.43%E -4.07%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.12%EV -11.91%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%15.0%2026-07-23 09:44
Winamax (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 67.29%EV -12.85%E -10.28%K -51.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.02%EV -28.42%E -4.74%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.69%EV -17.42%E -3.87%K -4.98%G +0.000%18.9%2026-07-23 09:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.41%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.32%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.26%5.3%2026-07-26 01:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.41%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.32%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.26%5.3%2026-07-26 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.41%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.32%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.26%5.3%2026-07-26 05:20