Idioma:Español
Leicester City v Northampton Town
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Leicester City (Local)
Predicción 69.69%1.43momio equitativo
EV -3.13%
Ventaja -2.25%
Kelly -8.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.39
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.76%69.77%69.75%74.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.231.321.331.3981.30%75.83%75.19%71.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Northampton Town (Visitante)
Predicción 11.66%8.58momio equitativo
EV +10.76%
Ventaja +1.13%
Kelly +1.27%
Crecimiento +0.136%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.70%11.78%11.64%15.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.907.808.009.5016.95%12.82%12.50%10.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 18.65%5.36momio equitativo
EV +11.88%
Ventaja +1.98%
Kelly +2.38%
Crecimiento +0.282%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.46%18.45%18.62%20.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.405.115.006.0022.73%19.55%20.00%16.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Leicester City (Local): 69.69%; Northampton Town (Visitante): 11.66%; Empate: 18.65%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.36. 17 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +11.88%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -12.88%E -10.31%K -51.53%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV +4.93%E +0.548%K +0.617%G +0.030% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV +11.88%E +1.98%K +2.38%G +0.282% | 7.8% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.33%EV -10.79%E -8.43%K -38.54%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -6.73%E -0.841%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV +7.22%E +1.26%K +1.52%G +0.110% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.33%EV -10.79%E -8.43%K -38.54%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -6.73%E -0.841%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV +7.22%E +1.26%K +1.52%G +0.110% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.33%EV -10.79%E -8.43%K -38.54%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -6.73%E -0.841%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV +7.22%E +1.26%K +1.52%G +0.110% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.33%EV -10.79%E -8.43%K -38.54%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -6.73%E -0.841%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV +7.22%E +1.26%K +1.52%G +0.110% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.33%EV -10.79%E -8.43%K -38.54%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -6.73%E -0.841%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV +7.22%E +1.26%K +1.52%G +0.110% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.63%EV -12.88%E -10.31%K -51.53%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV +4.93%E +0.548%K +0.617%G +0.030% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV +6.29%E +1.10%K +1.34%G +0.084% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -10.79%E -8.43%K -38.54%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -6.73%E -0.841%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV +4.42%E +0.790%K +0.961%G +0.043% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -10.79%E -8.43%K -38.54%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -6.73%E -0.841%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV +4.42%E +0.790%K +0.961%G +0.043% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -10.79%E -8.43%K -38.54%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -6.73%E -0.841%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV +4.42%E +0.790%K +0.961%G +0.043% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -10.79%E -8.43%K -38.54%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -6.73%E -0.841%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV +4.42%E +0.790%K +0.961%G +0.043% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -10.79%E -8.43%K -38.54%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -6.73%E -0.841%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV +4.42%E +0.790%K +0.961%G +0.043% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -9.40%E -7.23%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV +10.76%E +1.13%K +1.27%G +0.136% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV +2.56%E +0.465%K +0.568%G +0.015% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -9.40%E -7.23%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.21%EV +7.85%E +0.848%K +0.951%G +0.075% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.56%E +0.465%K +0.568%G +0.015% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 71.69%EV -13.58%E -10.95%K -56.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -12.56%E -1.67%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.46%EV +0.693%E +0.128%K +0.157%G +0.001% | 12.5% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 71.69%EV -13.58%E -10.95%K -56.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -12.56%E -1.67%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.46%EV +0.693%E +0.128%K +0.157%G +0.001% | 12.5% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 71.85%EV -14.28%E -11.61%K -62.07%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.78%EV -12.56%E -1.67%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.37%EV +0.693%E +0.128%K +0.157%G +0.001% | 13.2% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.93%EV -7.31%E -5.49%K -22.14%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -0.898%E -0.106%K -0.120%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.10%E -0.401%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.93%EV -7.31%E -5.49%K -22.14%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -0.898%E -0.106%K -0.120%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.10%E -0.401%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.58%EV -5.91%E -4.38%K -16.89%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -12.56%E -1.67%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -2.10%E -0.401%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.99%EV -8.00%E -6.06%K -25.01%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.49%EV -21.30%E -3.16%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.51%EV -3.04%E -0.584%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.08%EV -7.31%E -5.49%K -22.14%G +0.000% | 8.83I 11.33%NM 10.71%EV +2.95%E +0.334%K +0.377%G +0.011% | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.21%EV -3.22%E -0.621%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 13:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -5.22%E -3.84%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV -6.73%E -0.841%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -5.22%E -3.84%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV -6.73%E -0.841%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.22%E -3.84%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -12.56%E -1.67%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.22%E -3.84%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -12.56%E -1.67%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.22%E -3.84%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -12.56%E -1.67%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -7.31%E -5.49%K -22.14%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -6.73%E -0.841%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -5.22%E -3.84%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -18.39%E -2.63%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 68.33%EV -8.70%E -6.64%K -28.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.77%EV -24.22%E -3.73%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.90%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -5.91%E -4.38%K -16.89%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -6.73%E -0.841%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.60%EV -6.61%E -4.93%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.37%EV -4.40%E -0.536%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.12%EV -5.91%E -4.38%K -16.89%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.38%EV -26.55%E -4.21%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.49%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -9.40%E -7.23%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -18.39%E -2.63%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -10.50%E -2.19%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.25%EV -3.13%E -2.25%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 7.06I 14.16%NM 13.24%EV -17.69%E -2.51%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.79I 20.88%NM 19.51%EV -10.68%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 13:53 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.90%EV -9.40%E -7.23%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV +10.76%E +1.13%K +1.27%G +0.136% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -11.43%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -5.22%E -3.84%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -18.39%E -2.63%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -11.43%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 65.76%EV -4.52%E -3.30%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.27%EV -31.21%E -5.29%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.97%EV -11.43%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -9.40%E -7.23%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -12.56%E -1.67%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -11.43%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.03%EV -6.61%E -4.93%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.57%EV -15.47%E -2.13%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -12.36%E -2.63%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -5.22%E -3.84%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -6.73%E -0.841%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -14.22%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -5.22%E -3.84%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -6.73%E -0.841%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -14.22%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -5.22%E -3.84%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -6.73%E -0.841%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -14.22%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -5.22%E -3.84%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -6.73%E -0.841%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -14.22%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 68.57%EV -10.09%E -7.83%K -34.81%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.20%EV -15.47%E -2.13%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.23%EV -14.22%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -7.31%E -5.49%K -22.14%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -18.39%E -2.63%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -16.09%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.51%EV -4.52%E -3.30%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.71%EV -7.89%E -0.999%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.78%EV -17.02%E -3.83%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.51%EV -4.52%E -3.30%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.71%EV -7.89%E -0.999%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.78%EV -17.02%E -3.83%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.98%EV -5.91%E -4.38%K -16.89%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.47%EV -15.47%E -2.13%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.55%EV -17.95%E -4.08%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.36% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.27% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37% | 0.8% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.36% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.27% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37% | 0.8% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.36% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.27% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37% | 0.8% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.36% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.27% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37% | 0.8% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |