Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Leicester City v Northampton Town

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-08 14:00 UTC

Score final : Leicester City 1–0 Northampton Town

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Leicester City (Local)

Prévision 69.69%1.43cote équitable
EV -3.13%
Avantage -2.25%
Kelly -8.01%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.39

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.76%69.77%69.75%74.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.231.321.331.3981.30%75.83%75.19%71.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Northampton Town (Visiteur)

Prévision 11.66%8.58cote équitable
EV +10.76%
Avantage +1.13%
Kelly +1.27%
Croissance +0.136%

avec la cote maximale 9.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.70%11.78%11.64%15.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.907.808.009.5016.95%12.82%12.50%10.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 18.65%5.36cote équitable
EV +11.88%
Avantage +1.98%
Kelly +2.38%
Croissance +0.282%

avec la cote maximale 6.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.46%18.45%18.62%20.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.405.115.006.0022.73%19.55%20.00%16.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Leicester City (Local) : 69.69% ; Northampton Town (Visiteur) : 11.66% ; Match nul : 18.65%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.36. 17 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.00, soit une espérance positive de +11.88%.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
BetRivers🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -12.88%E -10.31%K -51.53%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV +4.93%E +0.548%K +0.617%G +0.030%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV +11.88%E +1.98%K +2.38%G +0.282%7.8%2026-08-08 13:44
betPARX🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.33%EV -10.79%E -8.43%K -38.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -6.73%E -0.841%K -0.961%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV +7.22%E +1.26%K +1.52%G +0.110%8.0%2026-08-08 13:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.33%EV -10.79%E -8.43%K -38.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -6.73%E -0.841%K -0.961%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV +7.22%E +1.26%K +1.52%G +0.110%8.0%2026-08-08 13:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.33%EV -10.79%E -8.43%K -38.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -6.73%E -0.841%K -0.961%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV +7.22%E +1.26%K +1.52%G +0.110%8.0%2026-08-08 13:55
Grosvenor🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.33%EV -10.79%E -8.43%K -38.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -6.73%E -0.841%K -0.961%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV +7.22%E +1.26%K +1.52%G +0.110%8.0%2026-08-08 13:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.33%EV -10.79%E -8.43%K -38.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -6.73%E -0.841%K -0.961%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV +7.22%E +1.26%K +1.52%G +0.110%8.0%2026-08-08 13:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.63%EV -12.88%E -10.31%K -51.53%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV +4.93%E +0.548%K +0.617%G +0.030%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV +6.29%E +1.10%K +1.34%G +0.084%8.7%2026-08-08 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -10.79%E -8.43%K -38.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -6.73%E -0.841%K -0.961%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV +4.42%E +0.790%K +0.961%G +0.043%8.5%2026-08-08 13:54
Casumo🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -10.79%E -8.43%K -38.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -6.73%E -0.841%K -0.961%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV +4.42%E +0.790%K +0.961%G +0.043%8.5%2026-08-08 13:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -10.79%E -8.43%K -38.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -6.73%E -0.841%K -0.961%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV +4.42%E +0.790%K +0.961%G +0.043%8.5%2026-08-08 13:55
TABtouch🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -10.79%E -8.43%K -38.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -6.73%E -0.841%K -0.961%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV +4.42%E +0.790%K +0.961%G +0.043%8.5%2026-08-08 13:54
Unibet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -10.79%E -8.43%K -38.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -6.73%E -0.841%K -0.961%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV +4.42%E +0.790%K +0.961%G +0.043%8.5%2026-08-08 13:54
Coolbet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -9.40%E -7.23%K -31.33%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV +10.76%E +1.13%K +1.27%G +0.136%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV +2.56%E +0.465%K +0.568%G +0.015%5.6%2026-08-08 13:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -9.40%E -7.23%K -31.33%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.21%EV +7.85%E +0.848%K +0.951%G +0.075%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +2.56%E +0.465%K +0.568%G +0.015%5.9%2026-08-08 13:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 71.69%EV -13.58%E -10.95%K -56.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -12.56%E -1.67%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.46%EV +0.693%E +0.128%K +0.157%G +0.001%12.5%2026-08-08 13:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 71.69%EV -13.58%E -10.95%K -56.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -12.56%E -1.67%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.46%EV +0.693%E +0.128%K +0.157%G +0.001%12.5%2026-08-08 13:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 71.85%EV -14.28%E -11.61%K -62.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.78%EV -12.56%E -1.67%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.37%EV +0.693%E +0.128%K +0.157%G +0.001%13.2%2026-08-08 13:55
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.93%EV -7.31%E -5.49%K -22.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -0.898%E -0.106%K -0.120%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.10%E -0.401%K -0.495%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 13:54
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.93%EV -7.31%E -5.49%K -22.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -0.898%E -0.106%K -0.120%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.10%E -0.401%K -0.495%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 13:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.58%EV -5.91%E -4.38%K -16.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -12.56%E -1.67%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -2.10%E -0.401%K -0.495%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 13:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.99%EV -8.00%E -6.06%K -25.01%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.49%EV -21.30%E -3.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.51%EV -3.04%E -0.584%K -0.723%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 13:55
Pinnacle🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.08%EV -7.31%E -5.49%K -22.14%G +0.000%8.83I 11.33%NM 10.71%EV +2.95%E +0.334%K +0.377%G +0.011%5.19I 19.27%NM 18.21%EV -3.22%E -0.621%K -0.769%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 13:45
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -5.22%E -3.84%K -14.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV -6.73%E -0.841%K -0.961%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 13:54
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -5.22%E -3.84%K -14.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV -6.73%E -0.841%K -0.961%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.22%E -3.84%K -14.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -12.56%E -1.67%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 13:55
Neds🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.22%E -3.84%K -14.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -12.56%E -1.67%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 13:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.22%E -3.84%K -14.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -12.56%E -1.67%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 13:54
FanDuel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -7.31%E -5.49%K -22.14%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -6.73%E -0.841%K -0.961%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 13:55
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -5.22%E -3.84%K -14.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -18.39%E -2.63%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 13:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 68.33%EV -8.70%E -6.64%K -28.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.77%EV -24.22%E -3.73%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.90%EV -6.77%E -1.35%K -1.69%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-08 13:55
SportsBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -5.91%E -4.38%K -16.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -6.73%E -0.841%K -0.961%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 13:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.60%EV -6.61%E -4.93%K -19.44%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.37%EV -4.40%E -0.536%K -0.610%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 13:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.12%EV -5.91%E -4.38%K -16.89%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.38%EV -26.55%E -4.21%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.49%EV -8.63%E -1.76%K -2.21%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 13:54
LeoVegas🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -9.40%E -7.23%K -31.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -18.39%E -2.63%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -10.50%E -2.19%K -2.76%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-08 13:55
1xBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.25%EV -3.13%E -2.25%K -8.01%G +0.000%7.06I 14.16%NM 13.24%EV -17.69%E -2.51%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 19.51%EV -10.68%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 13:53
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.90%EV -9.40%E -7.23%K -31.33%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV +10.76%E +1.13%K +1.27%G +0.136%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.40%EV -11.43%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:55
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -5.22%E -3.84%K -14.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -18.39%E -2.63%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -11.43%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 13:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 65.76%EV -4.52%E -3.30%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.27%EV -31.21%E -5.29%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.97%EV -11.43%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-08 13:55
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -9.40%E -7.23%K -31.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -12.56%E -1.67%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -11.43%E -2.41%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-08 13:54
Bovada🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.03%EV -6.61%E -4.93%K -19.44%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.57%EV -15.47%E -2.13%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -12.36%E -2.63%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 13:54
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -5.22%E -3.84%K -14.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -6.73%E -0.841%K -0.961%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -14.22%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 13:54
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -5.22%E -3.84%K -14.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -6.73%E -0.841%K -0.961%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -14.22%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 13:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -5.22%E -3.84%K -14.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -6.73%E -0.841%K -0.961%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -14.22%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 13:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.23%EV -5.22%E -3.84%K -14.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -6.73%E -0.841%K -0.961%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -14.22%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 13:54
NetBet (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 68.57%EV -10.09%E -7.83%K -34.81%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.20%EV -15.47%E -2.13%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.23%EV -14.22%E -3.09%K -3.95%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 13:54
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.31%EV -7.31%E -5.49%K -22.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.79%EV -18.39%E -2.63%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -16.09%E -3.58%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-08 13:54
NordicBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.51%EV -4.52%E -3.30%K -12.21%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.71%EV -7.89%E -0.999%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.78%EV -17.02%E -3.83%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 13:54
Betsson🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.51%EV -4.52%E -3.30%K -12.21%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.71%EV -7.89%E -0.999%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.78%EV -17.02%E -3.83%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 13:54
PlayUp🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.98%EV -5.91%E -4.38%K -16.89%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.47%EV -15.47%E -2.13%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.55%EV -17.95%E -4.08%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-08 13:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.36%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.27%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37%0.8%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.36%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.27%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37%0.8%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.36%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.27%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37%0.8%2026-08-08 13:55
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 70.36%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.27%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37%0.8%2026-08-08 13:55