默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Gillingham v Luton

开赛时间: 2026-08-08 14:00 UTC

最终结果: Gillingham 0–3 Luton

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

50 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Gillingham (主队)

预测 18.92%5.28公平赔率
EV +5.98%
优势 +1.07%
Kelly +1.30%
增长率 +0.078%

假设最高赔率为 5.60

博彩公司预测分布
16.70%18.73%18.85%19.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.504.884.805.6022.22%20.48%20.83%17.86%最小值均值中位数最大值

Luton (客队)

预测 57.56%1.74公平赔率
EV -4.45%
优势 -2.68%
Kelly -6.75%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.66

博彩公司预测分布
55.60%57.64%57.58%59.93%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.531.611.611.6665.36%61.97%62.11%60.24%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 23.52%4.25公平赔率
EV -1.23%
优势 -0.292%
Kelly -0.384%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.20

博彩公司预测分布
22.48%23.63%23.57%25.06%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.553.843.804.2028.17%26.03%26.32%23.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Gillingham (主队):18.92%;Luton (客队):57.56%;平局:23.52%。 对于“Gillingham (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.28。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为5.60,对应+5.98%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (50 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
FanDuel🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +5.98%E +1.07%K +1.30%G +0.078%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -10.21%E -6.54%K -18.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.93%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 13:49
SportsBet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV +4.08%E +0.743%K +0.908%G +0.037%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.44%EV -9.06%E -5.73%K -15.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -5.93%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 13:50
Tipico (DE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV +4.08%E +0.743%K +0.908%G +0.037%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -10.78%E -6.96%K -19.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -8.28%E -2.12%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:55
betano_uk🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.05%EV -0.647%E -0.123%K -0.152%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.85%EV -7.33%E -4.55%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -3.58%E -0.873%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 13:14
Bet Victor🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.05%EV -0.647%E -0.123%K -0.152%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.85%EV -7.33%E -4.55%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -3.58%E -0.873%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 13:15
Pinnacle🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -1.59%E -0.306%K -0.379%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.56%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.20%EV -3.82%E -0.933%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 13:15
Coolbet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -5.93%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 13:19
Coral🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -7.33%E -4.55%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -1.23%E -0.292%K -0.384%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 13:15
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -3.58%E -0.873%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 13:15
Betr (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -8.28%E -2.12%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 13:19
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.93%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 13:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.93%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 13:14
Neds🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.93%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 13:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -7.33%E -4.55%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.93%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 13:14
Marathon Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -7.33%E -4.55%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -7.11%E -1.80%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 13:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -11.94%E -7.80%K -22.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -8.28%E -2.12%K -2.86%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-08 13:49
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -11.94%E -7.80%K -22.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -10.63%E -2.80%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-08 13:19
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -11.94%E -7.80%K -22.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -11.81%E -3.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-08 13:49
NordicBet🎯4.95I 20.20%NM 18.73%EV -6.32%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.20%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 13:09
Betsson🎯4.95I 20.20%NM 18.73%EV -6.32%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.20%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 13:09
betPARX🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 13:50
Unibet (NL)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 13:50
Grosvenor🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 13:50
Casumo🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 13:49
ATG (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 13:50
Svenska Spel🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 13:49
TABtouch🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 13:49
Unibet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 13:50
BetRivers🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.06%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.67%EV -11.81%E -3.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 13:44
William Hill🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -10.63%E -2.80%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 13:54
888sport🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -7.33%E -4.55%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -10.63%E -2.80%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 13:54
888sport (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -7.33%E -4.55%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -10.63%E -2.80%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 13:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -7.33%E -4.55%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -10.63%E -2.80%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 13:54
LeoVegas🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.28%EV -9.63%E -6.14%K -16.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -11.81%E -3.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 13:20
1xBet🎯4.79I 20.88%NM 19.51%EV -9.35%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.35%EV -6.18%E -3.79%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.14%EV -4.99%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 13:53
theScore Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.42%EV -10.11%E -2.13%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.93%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -8.28%E -2.12%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 13:15
Betway🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -10.11%E -2.13%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.91%E -4.94%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -5.93%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 13:50
BoyleSports🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -10.11%E -2.13%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -7.91%E -4.94%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -11.81%E -3.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 13:39
PlayUp🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -10.11%E -2.13%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.52%EV -7.91%E -4.94%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-08 13:54
Bovada🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%EV -11.06%E -2.35%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.64%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -9.46%E -2.46%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 13:34
NetBet (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 18.84%EV -11.06%E -2.35%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.86%EV -11.94%E -7.80%K -22.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.30%EV -10.63%E -2.80%K -3.80%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-08 13:34
Winamax (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -12.95%E -2.81%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.05%EV -7.91%E -4.94%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -7.11%E -1.80%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 13:14
LiveScore Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -12.95%E -2.81%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.60%EV -7.91%E -4.94%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.06%EV -16.51%E -4.65%K -6.48%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 13:49
Virgin Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -12.95%E -2.81%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.60%EV -7.91%E -4.94%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.06%EV -16.51%E -4.65%K -6.48%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 13:49
PMU (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -12.95%E -2.81%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.60%EV -7.91%E -4.94%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.06%EV -16.51%E -4.65%K -6.48%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 13:50
LowVig.ag🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 19.97%EV -13.89%E -3.05%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.43%EV -7.33%E -4.55%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -9.46%E -2.46%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 13:50
BetOnline.ag🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 19.97%EV -13.89%E -3.05%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.43%EV -7.33%E -4.55%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -9.46%E -2.46%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 13:50
Winamax (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.08%EV -10.21%E -6.54%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.13%EV -9.46%E -2.46%K -3.32%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 13:14
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook6.00I 16.67%NM 16.64%1.66I 60.24%NM 60.14%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.22%0.2%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.29%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13%0.5%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.49%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.96%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.49%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.96%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-08-08 13:55