Idioma:Español
Gillingham v Luton
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Gillingham (Local)
Predicción 18.92%5.28momio equitativo
EV +5.98%
Ventaja +1.07%
Kelly +1.30%
Crecimiento +0.078%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.70%18.73%18.85%19.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.504.884.805.6022.22%20.48%20.83%17.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Luton (Visitante)
Predicción 57.56%1.74momio equitativo
EV -4.45%
Ventaja -2.68%
Kelly -6.75%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.66
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.60%57.64%57.58%59.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.531.611.611.6665.36%61.97%62.11%60.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 23.52%4.25momio equitativo
EV -1.23%
Ventaja -0.292%
Kelly -0.384%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.48%23.63%23.57%25.06%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.553.843.804.2028.17%26.03%26.32%23.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Gillingham (Local): 18.92%; Luton (Visitante): 57.56%; Empate: 23.52%. Para Gillingham (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.28. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.60, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +5.98%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +5.98%E +1.07%K +1.30%G +0.078% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -10.21%E -6.54%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.93%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV +4.08%E +0.743%K +0.908%G +0.037% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.44%EV -9.06%E -5.73%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -5.93%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV +4.08%E +0.743%K +0.908%G +0.037% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -10.78%E -6.96%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -8.28%E -2.12%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.05%EV -0.647%E -0.123%K -0.152%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.85%EV -7.33%E -4.55%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -3.58%E -0.873%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 13:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.05%EV -0.647%E -0.123%K -0.152%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.85%EV -7.33%E -4.55%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -3.58%E -0.873%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 13:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -1.59%E -0.306%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.56%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.20%EV -3.82%E -0.933%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 13:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -5.93%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 13:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -7.33%E -4.55%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -1.23%E -0.292%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 13:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -3.58%E -0.873%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-08 13:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -8.28%E -2.12%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 13:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.93%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 13:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.93%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 13:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.93%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 13:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -7.33%E -4.55%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.93%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 13:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -7.33%E -4.55%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -7.11%E -1.80%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 13:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -11.94%E -7.80%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -8.28%E -2.12%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -11.94%E -7.80%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -10.63%E -2.80%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-08 13:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -11.94%E -7.80%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -11.81%E -3.15%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.73%EV -6.32%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.20%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-08 13:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.73%EV -6.32%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.20%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-08 13:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.06%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.67%EV -11.81%E -3.15%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -10.63%E -2.80%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -7.33%E -4.55%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -10.63%E -2.80%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -7.33%E -4.55%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -10.63%E -2.80%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -7.33%E -4.55%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -10.63%E -2.80%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.28%EV -9.63%E -6.14%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -11.81%E -3.15%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-08 13:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.79I 20.88%NM 19.51%EV -9.35%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.35%EV -6.18%E -3.79%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.14%EV -4.99%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 13:53 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.42%EV -10.11%E -2.13%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.93%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -8.28%E -2.12%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 13:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -10.11%E -2.13%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.91%E -4.94%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -5.93%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -10.11%E -2.13%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -7.91%E -4.94%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -11.81%E -3.15%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-08 13:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -10.11%E -2.13%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.52%EV -7.91%E -4.94%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%EV -11.06%E -2.35%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.64%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -9.46%E -2.46%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.84%EV -11.06%E -2.35%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.86%EV -11.94%E -7.80%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.30%EV -10.63%E -2.80%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -12.95%E -2.81%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.05%EV -7.91%E -4.94%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -7.11%E -1.80%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-08 13:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -12.95%E -2.81%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.60%EV -7.91%E -4.94%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.06%EV -16.51%E -4.65%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -12.95%E -2.81%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.60%EV -7.91%E -4.94%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.06%EV -16.51%E -4.65%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -12.95%E -2.81%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.60%EV -7.91%E -4.94%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.06%EV -16.51%E -4.65%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.97%EV -13.89%E -3.05%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.43%EV -7.33%E -4.55%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -9.46%E -2.46%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.97%EV -13.89%E -3.05%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.43%EV -7.33%E -4.55%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -9.46%E -2.46%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.08%EV -10.21%E -6.54%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.13%EV -9.46%E -2.46%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-08 13:14 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.64% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.14% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.22% | 0.2% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.29% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13% | 0.5% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.49% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.96% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.49% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.96% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |