La escuela de los momios

Gillingham v Luton

2026-08-08 14:00 UTC — EFL Cup

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Gillingham (Local)

Predicción 20.80%4.81momio equitativo
EV -0.176%
Ventaja -0.037%
Kelly -0.046%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.47%20.94%20.75%24.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.704.224.404.8027.03%23.67%22.73%20.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Luton (Visitante)

Predicción 53.92%1.85momio equitativo
EV -1.86%
Ventaja -1.02%
Kelly -2.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.82

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.52%53.73%54.01%55.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.581.731.721.8263.29%57.67%58.14%54.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.28%3.96momio equitativo
EV -3.93%
Ventaja -1.03%
Kelly -1.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.52%25.33%25.23%26.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.593.583.8029.41%27.87%27.97%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
SportsBet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -0.176%E -0.037%K -0.046%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.65%EV -8.87%E -5.25%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.93%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-21 19:20
FanDuel4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -0.176%E -0.037%K -0.046%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -9.95%E -5.96%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -3.93%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 19:20
Paddy Power4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -1.22%E -0.256%K -0.324%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -9.95%E -5.96%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -3.93%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-21 19:20
Sky Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -1.22%E -0.256%K -0.324%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -9.95%E -5.96%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -3.93%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-21 19:20
Betr (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -2.26%E -0.480%K -0.610%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.81%EV -7.26%E -4.22%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-21 19:20
Tipico (DE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -2.26%E -0.480%K -0.610%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -9.95%E -5.96%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.98%E -2.50%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-23 19:05
Pinnacle4.65I 21.51%NM 20.07%EV -3.30%E -0.709%K -0.903%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.57%EV -7.80%E -4.56%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.36%EV -6.96%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-11 14:09
BetMGM4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -4.33%E -0.942%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.46%EV -6.18%E -3.55%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -3.93%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-22 02:39
Coral4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -4.33%E -0.942%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.60%EV -6.72%E -3.88%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -3.93%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-21 19:19
Ladbrokes (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -4.33%E -0.942%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.60%EV -6.72%E -3.88%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -3.93%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-21 21:55
betano_uk4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -4.33%E -0.942%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -9.95%E -5.96%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -8.98%E -2.50%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-23 09:43
Bet Victor4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -4.33%E -0.942%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -9.95%E -5.96%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -8.98%E -2.50%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-23 09:44
Ladbrokes (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -6.41%E -1.43%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -7.26%E -4.22%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 21:55
Neds4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -6.41%E -1.43%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -7.26%E -4.22%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 21:55
William Hill4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.41%E -1.43%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.64%E -3.22%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.98%E -2.50%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 19:20
Marathon Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -6.41%E -1.43%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.21%EV -7.26%E -4.22%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.07%EV -5.95%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-14 07:49
LeoVegas4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -6.41%E -1.43%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -9.95%E -5.96%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 09:05
1xBet4.46I 22.42%NM 21.00%EV -7.25%E -1.62%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.82%EV -6.18%E -3.55%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.18%EV -5.95%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-14 07:49
NordicBet4.45I 22.47%NM 20.66%EV -7.45%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -7.26%E -4.22%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -10.25%E -2.89%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 04:05
Betsson4.45I 22.47%NM 20.66%EV -7.45%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.45%EV -7.26%E -4.22%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -10.25%E -2.89%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 04:04
Bovada4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -7.72%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-23 14:32
888sport4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.98%EV -6.72%E -3.88%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.51%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-21 19:20
888sport (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.98%EV -6.72%E -3.88%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.51%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-21 19:50
Mr Green (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -8.49%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.98%EV -6.72%E -3.88%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -11.51%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-21 19:50
Unibet (UK)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -9.53%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-21 14:30
Betway4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -12.65%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -8.98%E -2.50%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-23 14:35
BoyleSports4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -12.65%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -8.33%E -4.90%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -11.51%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-10 22:15
NetBet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -12.65%E -3.01%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.10%EV -12.65%E -7.81%K -20.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.04%EV -11.51%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-22 13:34
LowVig.ag4.05I 24.69%NM 22.12%EV -15.77%E -3.89%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 53.00%EV -8.87%E -5.25%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -8.98%E -2.50%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-13 17:30
BetOnline.ag4.05I 24.69%NM 22.12%EV -15.77%E -3.89%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 53.00%EV -8.87%E -5.25%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88%EV -8.98%E -2.50%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-13 17:30
Winamax (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 21.76%EV -16.81%E -4.20%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 53.72%EV -12.65%E -7.81%K -20.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.52%EV -10.25%E -2.89%K -4.02%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-22 15:39
Winamax (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 21.89%EV -19.93%E -5.18%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 53.33%EV -14.81%E -9.37%K -25.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.78%EV -14.04%E -4.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%18.7%2026-07-22 15:39
BetRivers3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -23.05%E -6.23%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.52%EV -1.86%E -1.02%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -12.78%E -3.70%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 05:19
betPARX3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -23.05%E -6.23%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.52%EV -1.86%E -1.02%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -12.78%E -3.70%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 08:09
Unibet (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -23.05%E -6.23%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.52%EV -1.86%E -1.02%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -12.78%E -3.70%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -23.05%E -6.23%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.52%EV -1.86%E -1.02%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -12.78%E -3.70%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 08:30
Unibet (NL)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -23.05%E -6.23%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.52%EV -1.86%E -1.02%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -12.78%E -3.70%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 08:29
Grosvenor3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -23.05%E -6.23%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.52%EV -1.86%E -1.02%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -12.78%E -3.70%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 08:29
LiveScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -23.05%E -6.23%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.52%EV -1.86%E -1.02%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -12.78%E -3.70%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 08:29
Virgin Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -23.05%E -6.23%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.52%EV -1.86%E -1.02%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -12.78%E -3.70%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 08:29
Casumo3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -23.05%E -6.23%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.52%EV -1.86%E -1.02%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -12.78%E -3.70%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 08:29
ATG (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -23.05%E -6.23%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.52%EV -1.86%E -1.02%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -12.78%E -3.70%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 08:29
Svenska Spel3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -23.05%E -6.23%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.52%EV -1.86%E -1.02%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -12.78%E -3.70%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 08:29
TABtouch3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -23.05%E -6.23%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.52%EV -1.86%E -1.02%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -12.78%E -3.70%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 08:39
Unibet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -23.05%E -6.23%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.52%EV -1.86%E -1.02%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -12.78%E -3.70%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-30 08:39
PMU (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -23.05%E -6.23%K -8.54%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.52%EV -1.86%E -1.02%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -12.78%E -3.70%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-16 14:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%6.6%2026-07-26 03:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%6.6%2026-07-26 03:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%6.6%2026-07-26 03:15