StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Gillingham v Luton

Matchstart: 2026-08-08 14:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Gillingham 0–3 Luton

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

50 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Gillingham (Hemma)

Prognos 18.92%5.28rättvist odds
EV +5.98%
Fördel +1.07%
Kelly +1.30%
Tillväxt +0.078%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
16.70%18.73%18.85%19.97%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.504.884.805.6022.22%20.48%20.83%17.86%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Luton (Borta)

Prognos 57.56%1.74rättvist odds
EV -4.45%
Fördel -2.68%
Kelly -6.75%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.66

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
55.60%57.64%57.58%59.93%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.531.611.611.6665.36%61.97%62.11%60.24%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 23.52%4.25rättvist odds
EV -1.23%
Fördel -0.292%
Kelly -0.384%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
22.48%23.63%23.57%25.06%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.553.843.804.2028.17%26.03%26.32%23.81%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Gillingham (Hemma): 18.92%; Luton (Borta): 57.56%; Oavgjort: 23.52%. För Gillingham (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.28. 3 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 5.60, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +5.98%.

Spelbolagsodds (50 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
FanDuel🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +5.98%E +1.07%K +1.30%G +0.078%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -10.21%E -6.54%K -18.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.93%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 13:49
SportsBet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV +4.08%E +0.743%K +0.908%G +0.037%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.44%EV -9.06%E -5.73%K -15.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -5.93%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 13:50
Tipico (DE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV +4.08%E +0.743%K +0.908%G +0.037%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -10.78%E -6.96%K -19.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -8.28%E -2.12%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:55
betano_uk🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.05%EV -0.647%E -0.123%K -0.152%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.85%EV -7.33%E -4.55%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -3.58%E -0.873%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 13:14
Bet Victor🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.05%EV -0.647%E -0.123%K -0.152%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.85%EV -7.33%E -4.55%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -3.58%E -0.873%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 13:15
Pinnacle🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -1.59%E -0.306%K -0.379%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.56%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.20%EV -3.82%E -0.933%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 13:15
Coolbet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -5.93%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 13:19
Coral🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -7.33%E -4.55%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -1.23%E -0.292%K -0.384%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 13:15
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -3.58%E -0.873%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 13:15
Betr (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -8.28%E -2.12%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 13:19
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.93%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 13:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.93%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 13:14
Neds🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.93%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 13:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -7.33%E -4.55%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.93%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 13:14
Marathon Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -7.33%E -4.55%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -7.11%E -1.80%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 13:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -11.94%E -7.80%K -22.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -8.28%E -2.12%K -2.86%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-08 13:49
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -11.94%E -7.80%K -22.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -10.63%E -2.80%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-08 13:19
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -11.94%E -7.80%K -22.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -11.81%E -3.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-08 13:49
NordicBet🎯4.95I 20.20%NM 18.73%EV -6.32%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.20%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 13:09
Betsson🎯4.95I 20.20%NM 18.73%EV -6.32%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.20%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 13:09
betPARX🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 13:50
Unibet (NL)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 13:50
Grosvenor🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 13:50
Casumo🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 13:49
ATG (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 13:50
Svenska Spel🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 13:49
TABtouch🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 13:49
Unibet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 13:50
BetRivers🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.06%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.67%EV -11.81%E -3.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 13:44
William Hill🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -10.63%E -2.80%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 13:54
888sport🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -7.33%E -4.55%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -10.63%E -2.80%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 13:54
888sport (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -7.33%E -4.55%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -10.63%E -2.80%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 13:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -7.33%E -4.55%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -10.63%E -2.80%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 13:54
LeoVegas🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.28%EV -9.63%E -6.14%K -16.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -11.81%E -3.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 13:20
1xBet🎯4.79I 20.88%NM 19.51%EV -9.35%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.35%EV -6.18%E -3.79%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.14%EV -4.99%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 13:53
theScore Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.42%EV -10.11%E -2.13%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.93%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -8.28%E -2.12%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 13:15
Betway🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -10.11%E -2.13%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.91%E -4.94%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -5.93%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 13:50
BoyleSports🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -10.11%E -2.13%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -7.91%E -4.94%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -11.81%E -3.15%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 13:39
PlayUp🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -10.11%E -2.13%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.52%EV -7.91%E -4.94%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-08 13:54
Bovada🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%EV -11.06%E -2.35%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.64%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -9.46%E -2.46%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 13:34
NetBet (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 18.84%EV -11.06%E -2.35%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.86%EV -11.94%E -7.80%K -22.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.30%EV -10.63%E -2.80%K -3.80%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-08 13:34
Winamax (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -12.95%E -2.81%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.05%EV -7.91%E -4.94%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -7.11%E -1.80%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 13:14
LiveScore Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -12.95%E -2.81%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.60%EV -7.91%E -4.94%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.06%EV -16.51%E -4.65%K -6.48%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 13:49
Virgin Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -12.95%E -2.81%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.60%EV -7.91%E -4.94%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.06%EV -16.51%E -4.65%K -6.48%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 13:49
PMU (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -12.95%E -2.81%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.60%EV -7.91%E -4.94%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.06%EV -16.51%E -4.65%K -6.48%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 13:50
LowVig.ag🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 19.97%EV -13.89%E -3.05%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.43%EV -7.33%E -4.55%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -9.46%E -2.46%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 13:50
BetOnline.ag🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 19.97%EV -13.89%E -3.05%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.43%EV -7.33%E -4.55%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -9.46%E -2.46%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 13:50
Winamax (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.08%EV -10.21%E -6.54%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.13%EV -9.46%E -2.46%K -3.32%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 13:14
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook6.00I 16.67%NM 16.64%1.66I 60.24%NM 60.14%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.22%0.2%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.29%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13%0.5%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.49%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.96%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.49%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.96%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-08-08 13:55