Langue:Français
Gillingham v Luton
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Gillingham (Local)
Prévision 18.92%5.28cote équitable
EV +5.98%
Avantage +1.07%
Kelly +1.30%
Croissance +0.078%
avec la cote maximale 5.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.70%18.73%18.85%19.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.504.884.805.6022.22%20.48%20.83%17.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Luton (Visiteur)
Prévision 57.56%1.74cote équitable
EV -4.45%
Avantage -2.68%
Kelly -6.75%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.66
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.60%57.64%57.58%59.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.531.611.611.6665.36%61.97%62.11%60.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 23.52%4.25cote équitable
EV -1.23%
Avantage -0.292%
Kelly -0.384%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.48%23.63%23.57%25.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.553.843.804.2028.17%26.03%26.32%23.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Gillingham (Local) : 18.92% ; Luton (Visiteur) : 57.56% ; Match nul : 23.52%. Pour Gillingham (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.28. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.60, soit une espérance positive de +5.98%.
Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +5.98%E +1.07%K +1.30%G +0.078% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -10.21%E -6.54%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.93%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV +4.08%E +0.743%K +0.908%G +0.037% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.44%EV -9.06%E -5.73%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -5.93%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV +4.08%E +0.743%K +0.908%G +0.037% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -10.78%E -6.96%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -8.28%E -2.12%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.05%EV -0.647%E -0.123%K -0.152%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.85%EV -7.33%E -4.55%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -3.58%E -0.873%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 13:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.05%EV -0.647%E -0.123%K -0.152%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.85%EV -7.33%E -4.55%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -3.58%E -0.873%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 13:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -1.59%E -0.306%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.56%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.20%EV -3.82%E -0.933%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 13:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -5.93%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 13:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -7.33%E -4.55%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -1.23%E -0.292%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 13:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -3.58%E -0.873%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-08 13:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -8.28%E -2.12%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 13:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.93%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 13:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.93%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 13:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.93%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 13:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -7.33%E -4.55%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.93%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 13:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.82%EV -7.33%E -4.55%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -7.11%E -1.80%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 13:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -11.94%E -7.80%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -8.28%E -2.12%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -11.94%E -7.80%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -10.63%E -2.80%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-08 13:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -5.38%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -11.94%E -7.80%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -11.81%E -3.15%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.73%EV -6.32%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.20%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-08 13:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.73%EV -6.32%E -1.28%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.20%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-08 13:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -4.45%E -2.68%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.06%EV -5.03%E -3.05%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.67%EV -11.81%E -3.15%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -10.63%E -2.80%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -7.33%E -4.55%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -10.63%E -2.80%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -7.33%E -4.55%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -10.63%E -2.80%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -7.33%E -4.55%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -10.63%E -2.80%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -9.16%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.28%EV -9.63%E -6.14%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -11.81%E -3.15%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-08 13:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.79I 20.88%NM 19.51%EV -9.35%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.35%EV -6.18%E -3.79%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.14%EV -4.99%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 13:53 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.42%EV -10.11%E -2.13%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.93%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -8.28%E -2.12%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 13:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -10.11%E -2.13%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.91%E -4.94%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -5.93%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -10.11%E -2.13%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -7.91%E -4.94%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -11.81%E -3.15%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-08 13:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -10.11%E -2.13%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.52%EV -7.91%E -4.94%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -12.99%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%EV -11.06%E -2.35%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.64%EV -6.76%E -4.17%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -9.46%E -2.46%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.84%EV -11.06%E -2.35%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.86%EV -11.94%E -7.80%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.30%EV -10.63%E -2.80%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -12.95%E -2.81%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.05%EV -7.91%E -4.94%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -7.11%E -1.80%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-08 13:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -12.95%E -2.81%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.60%EV -7.91%E -4.94%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.06%EV -16.51%E -4.65%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -12.95%E -2.81%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.60%EV -7.91%E -4.94%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.06%EV -16.51%E -4.65%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -12.95%E -2.81%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.60%EV -7.91%E -4.94%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.06%EV -16.51%E -4.65%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.97%EV -13.89%E -3.05%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.43%EV -7.33%E -4.55%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -9.46%E -2.46%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.97%EV -13.89%E -3.05%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.43%EV -7.33%E -4.55%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -9.46%E -2.46%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -14.84%E -3.30%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.08%EV -10.21%E -6.54%K -18.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.13%EV -9.46%E -2.46%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-08 13:14 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.64% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.14% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.22% | 0.2% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.58% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.29% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13% | 0.5% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.49% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.96% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.49% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.96% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 1.1% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |