Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cheltenham Town v Charlton Athletic

Kickoff: 2026-08-08 16:30 UTC

Final: Cheltenham Town 1–3 Charlton Athletic

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cheltenham Town (Local)

Prediction 19.28%5.19fair odd
EV +2.17%
Edge +0.409%
Kelly +0.504%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 5.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.57%19.31%19.23%21.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.694.655.3023.81%21.33%21.51%18.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Charlton Athletic (Visit)

Prediction 56.70%1.76fair odd
EV -3.61%
Edge -2.12%
Kelly -5.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.87%56.69%56.73%58.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.631.631.7064.52%61.29%61.16%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.02%4.16fair odd
EV +0.901%
Edge +0.214%
Kelly +0.281%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.80%23.99%24.04%25.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.853.854.2027.78%25.99%25.94%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cheltenham Town (Local): 19.28%; Charlton Athletic (Visit): 56.70%; Draw: 24.02%. For Cheltenham Town (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.19. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.17%.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV +2.17%E +0.409%K +0.504%G +0.011%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.25%EV -8.71%E -5.41%K -14.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 16:25
FanDuel🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV +2.17%E +0.409%K +0.504%G +0.011%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.56%EV -9.85%E -6.19%K -16.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 16:25
Bet Victor🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.20%EV +1.20%E +0.229%K +0.283%G +0.003%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -3.90%E -0.976%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 16:24
1xBet🎯5.03I 19.88%NM 18.58%EV -3.04%E -0.604%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.30%EV -5.88%E -3.54%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.12%EV -10.63%E -2.86%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 16:14
Coral🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.15%EV -3.62%E -0.723%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.04%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV +0.901%E +0.214%K +0.281%G +0.003%4.4%2026-08-07 19:55
Coolbet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -3.62%E -0.723%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -3.90%E -0.976%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 06:35
betano_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -3.62%E -0.723%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -3.90%E -0.976%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 16:14
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -3.62%E -0.723%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -8.15%E -5.03%K -13.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -1.50%E -0.366%K -0.484%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 19:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -3.62%E -0.723%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -8.15%E -5.03%K -13.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -3.90%E -0.976%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 16:24
Neds🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -3.62%E -0.723%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -8.15%E -5.03%K -13.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -3.90%E -0.976%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 16:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -3.62%E -0.723%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -8.71%E -5.41%K -14.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -3.90%E -0.976%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 16:25
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -3.62%E -0.723%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -9.28%E -5.80%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-30 13:05
Tipico (DE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -3.62%E -0.723%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -9.28%E -5.80%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 16:20
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -3.62%E -0.723%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -10.98%E -7.00%K -19.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 16:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -3.62%E -0.723%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -10.98%E -7.00%K -19.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 16:24
Betr (AU)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -5.54%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.17%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -3.90%E -0.976%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-23 07:19
Marathon Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -5.54%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.83%EV -7.01%E -4.28%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.15%EV -7.27%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 16:23
Bovada🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -7.47%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -8.15%E -5.03%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 16:14
Sky Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -7.47%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -10.98%E -7.00%K -19.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -13.51%E -3.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 16:24
Pinnacle🎯4.79I 20.88%NM 19.82%EV -7.66%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.61%E -2.12%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 16:15
Unibet (UK)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -8.43%E -1.78%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 11:30
Betway🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -8.43%E -1.78%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -8.71%E -5.41%K -14.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 16:20
NordicBet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -9.40%E -2.00%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 16:24
Betsson🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -9.40%E -2.00%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 16:25
NetBet (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 18.80%EV -9.40%E -2.00%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.00%EV -12.12%E -7.82%K -22.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.20%EV -12.31%E -3.37%K -4.65%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-08 16:24
William Hill🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -11.33%E -2.46%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -8.15%E -5.03%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-07 19:55
888sport🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -11.33%E -2.46%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -8.71%E -5.41%K -14.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-07 19:55
888sport (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -11.33%E -2.46%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -8.71%E -5.41%K -14.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-07 19:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -11.33%E -2.46%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -8.71%E -5.41%K -14.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-07 19:55
PlayUp🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -11.33%E -2.46%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.53%EV -7.58%E -4.65%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -12.31%E -3.37%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-08 16:25
theScore Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -13.25%E -2.95%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 11:25
Winamax (DE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -13.25%E -2.95%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.63%EV -9.28%E -5.80%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-06 11:30
LeoVegas🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -13.25%E -2.95%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.11%EV -9.28%E -5.80%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-08 15:45
LowVig.ag🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 20.48%EV -14.22%E -3.19%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.22%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.30%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 16:24
BetOnline.ag🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 20.48%EV -14.22%E -3.19%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.22%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.30%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 16:25
betPARX🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -15.18%E -3.45%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.32%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 16:19
Unibet (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -15.18%E -3.45%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.32%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -15.18%E -3.45%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.32%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 16:20
Unibet (NL)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -15.18%E -3.45%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.32%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 16:19
Grosvenor🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -15.18%E -3.45%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.32%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 16:20
Casumo🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -15.18%E -3.45%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.32%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 16:20
ATG (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -15.18%E -3.45%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.32%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 16:20
Svenska Spel🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -15.18%E -3.45%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.32%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 16:20
TABtouch🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -15.18%E -3.45%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.32%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 16:20
Unibet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -15.18%E -3.45%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.32%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 16:19
Winamax (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -15.18%E -3.45%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 56.34%EV -10.42%E -6.59%K -17.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.43%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-06 11:30
BetRivers🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV -16.15%E -3.71%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.87%EV -4.75%E -2.82%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -7.51%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 15:49
LiveScore Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -19.04%E -4.53%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 54.99%EV -8.71%E -5.41%K -14.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-08 16:20
Virgin Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -19.04%E -4.53%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 54.99%EV -8.71%E -5.41%K -14.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-08 16:19
PMU (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -19.04%E -4.53%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 54.99%EV -8.71%E -5.41%K -14.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-08 16:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.70%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-08-08 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.61%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.34%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-08-08 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.61%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.34%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-08-08 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.61%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.34%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-08-08 16:25

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