The School of Odds

Cheltenham Town v Charlton Athletic

2026-08-08 16:00 — EFL Cup

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (4 in analysis)

Option 1: Cheltenham Town (Local)

5.0020.00%Min
5.5218.10%Mean
5.5018.18%Median
6.2516.00%Max
15.11%6.620Min
17.91%5.583Max
16.85%5.934Mean
17.00%5.883Median
17.00%5.883IQM
16.65%6.005Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 6.25 under the IQM model: 17.00%

EV +6.24%Edge +0.999%Kelly +1.19%Growth +0.074%

Option 2: Charlton Athletic (Visit)

1.4469.44%Min
1.4967.29%Mean
1.4967.11%Median
1.5365.36%Max
59.70%1.675Min
63.59%1.573Max
61.06%1.638Mean
60.83%1.644Median
60.83%1.644IQM
61.34%1.630Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.53 under the IQM model: 60.83%

EV -6.93%Edge -4.53%Kelly -13.08%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

3.9525.32%Min
4.0624.63%Mean
3.9525.32%Median
4.4022.73%Max
21.15%4.729Min
22.89%4.369Max
22.09%4.527Mean
22.17%4.510Median
22.17%4.510IQM
22.01%4.544Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.40 under the IQM model: 22.17%

EV -2.44%Edge -0.556%Kelly -0.719%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

BookmakerCheltenham Town (Local) ▼Charlton Athletic (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet6.25I 16.00% NM 15.38%EV +6.24% E +0.999% K +1.19% G +0.074%1.52I 65.79% NM 63.25%EV -7.54% E -4.96% K -14.50% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 21.37%EV -0.227% E -0.050% K -0.065% G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-26 11:49
Betr (AU)6.25I 16.00% NM 15.11%EV +6.24% E +0.999% K +1.19% G +0.074%1.50I 66.67% NM 62.94%EV -8.76% E -5.84% K -17.51% G +0.000%4.30I 23.26% NM 21.96%EV -4.66% E -1.08% K -1.41% G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 02:59
SportsBet6.00I 16.67% NM 15.58%EV +1.99% E +0.332% K +0.399% G +0.008%1.48I 67.57% NM 63.17%EV -9.97% E -6.74% K -20.78% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 21.25%EV -2.44% E -0.556% K -0.719% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-02 21:30
FanDuel6.00I 16.67% NM 15.58%EV +1.99% E +0.332% K +0.399% G +0.008%1.48I 67.57% NM 63.17%EV -9.97% E -6.74% K -20.78% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 21.25%EV -2.44% E -0.556% K -0.719% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-02 21:35
Paddy Power6.00I 16.67% NM 15.26%EV +1.99% E +0.332% K +0.399% G +0.008%1.44I 69.44% NM 63.59%EV -12.41% E -8.62% K -28.20% G +0.000%4.33I 23.09% NM 21.15%EV -4.00% E -0.923% K -1.20% G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-02 21:34
Sky Bet6.00I 16.67% NM 15.26%EV +1.99% E +0.332% K +0.399% G +0.008%1.44I 69.44% NM 63.59%EV -12.41% E -8.62% K -28.20% G +0.000%4.33I 23.09% NM 21.15%EV -4.00% E -0.923% K -1.20% G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-02 21:30
1xBet5.77I 17.33% NM 16.23%EV -1.92% E -0.332% K -0.402% G +0.000%1.53I 65.36% NM 61.21%EV -6.93% E -4.53% K -13.08% G +0.000%4.15I 24.10% NM 22.56%EV -7.99% E -1.92% K -2.54% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 11:30
LeoVegas5.60I 17.86% NM 16.32%EV -4.81% E -0.858% K -1.04% G +0.000%1.47I 68.03% NM 62.17%EV -10.58% E -7.20% K -22.51% G +0.000%4.25I 23.53% NM 21.50%EV -5.77% E -1.36% K -1.78% G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-02 21:35
BetRivers5.50I 18.18% NM 16.44%EV -6.51% E -1.18% K -1.45% G +0.000%1.49I 67.11% NM 60.68%EV -9.36% E -6.28% K -19.11% G +0.000%3.95I 25.32% NM 22.89%EV -12.42% E -3.14% K -4.21% G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 05:19
betPARX5.50I 18.18% NM 16.44%EV -6.51% E -1.18% K -1.45% G +0.000%1.49I 67.11% NM 60.68%EV -9.36% E -6.28% K -19.11% G +0.000%3.95I 25.32% NM 22.89%EV -12.42% E -3.14% K -4.21% G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:09
Unibet (SE)5.50I 18.18% NM 16.44%EV -6.51% E -1.18% K -1.45% G +0.000%1.49I 67.11% NM 60.68%EV -9.36% E -6.28% K -19.11% G +0.000%3.95I 25.32% NM 22.89%EV -12.42% E -3.14% K -4.21% G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)5.50I 18.18% NM 16.44%EV -6.51% E -1.18% K -1.45% G +0.000%1.49I 67.11% NM 60.68%EV -9.36% E -6.28% K -19.11% G +0.000%3.95I 25.32% NM 22.89%EV -12.42% E -3.14% K -4.21% G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:30
Unibet (NL)5.50I 18.18% NM 16.44%EV -6.51% E -1.18% K -1.45% G +0.000%1.49I 67.11% NM 60.68%EV -9.36% E -6.28% K -19.11% G +0.000%3.95I 25.32% NM 22.89%EV -12.42% E -3.14% K -4.21% G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:29
Grosvenor5.50I 18.18% NM 16.44%EV -6.51% E -1.18% K -1.45% G +0.000%1.49I 67.11% NM 60.68%EV -9.36% E -6.28% K -19.11% G +0.000%3.95I 25.32% NM 22.89%EV -12.42% E -3.14% K -4.21% G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:29
LiveScore Bet5.50I 18.18% NM 16.44%EV -6.51% E -1.18% K -1.45% G +0.000%1.49I 67.11% NM 60.68%EV -9.36% E -6.28% K -19.11% G +0.000%3.95I 25.32% NM 22.89%EV -12.42% E -3.14% K -4.21% G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:29
Virgin Bet5.50I 18.18% NM 16.44%EV -6.51% E -1.18% K -1.45% G +0.000%1.49I 67.11% NM 60.68%EV -9.36% E -6.28% K -19.11% G +0.000%3.95I 25.32% NM 22.89%EV -12.42% E -3.14% K -4.21% G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:29
Casumo5.50I 18.18% NM 16.44%EV -6.51% E -1.18% K -1.45% G +0.000%1.49I 67.11% NM 60.68%EV -9.36% E -6.28% K -19.11% G +0.000%3.95I 25.32% NM 22.89%EV -12.42% E -3.14% K -4.21% G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:29
ATG (SE)5.50I 18.18% NM 16.44%EV -6.51% E -1.18% K -1.45% G +0.000%1.49I 67.11% NM 60.68%EV -9.36% E -6.28% K -19.11% G +0.000%3.95I 25.32% NM 22.89%EV -12.42% E -3.14% K -4.21% G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:29
Svenska Spel5.50I 18.18% NM 16.44%EV -6.51% E -1.18% K -1.45% G +0.000%1.49I 67.11% NM 60.68%EV -9.36% E -6.28% K -19.11% G +0.000%3.95I 25.32% NM 22.89%EV -12.42% E -3.14% K -4.21% G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:29
TABtouch5.50I 18.18% NM 16.44%EV -6.51% E -1.18% K -1.45% G +0.000%1.49I 67.11% NM 60.68%EV -9.36% E -6.28% K -19.11% G +0.000%3.95I 25.32% NM 22.89%EV -12.42% E -3.14% K -4.21% G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:39
Unibet5.50I 18.18% NM 16.44%EV -6.51% E -1.18% K -1.45% G +0.000%1.49I 67.11% NM 60.68%EV -9.36% E -6.28% K -19.11% G +0.000%3.95I 25.32% NM 22.89%EV -12.42% E -3.14% K -4.21% G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:39
William Hill5.00I 20.00% NM 17.91%EV -15.00% E -3.00% K -3.75% G +0.000%1.50I 66.67% NM 59.70%EV -8.76% E -5.84% K -17.51% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.39%EV -11.31% E -2.83% K -3.77% G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-30 14:00
888sport5.00I 20.00% NM 17.91%EV -15.00% E -3.00% K -3.75% G +0.000%1.50I 66.67% NM 59.70%EV -8.76% E -5.84% K -17.51% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.39%EV -11.31% E -2.83% K -3.77% G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-30 14:09
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00% NM 17.91%EV -15.00% E -3.00% K -3.75% G +0.000%1.50I 66.67% NM 59.70%EV -8.76% E -5.84% K -17.51% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.39%EV -11.31% E -2.83% K -3.77% G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-30 14:09
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00% NM 17.91%EV -15.00% E -3.00% K -3.75% G +0.000%1.50I 66.67% NM 59.70%EV -8.76% E -5.84% K -17.51% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.39%EV -11.31% E -2.83% K -3.77% G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-30 14:19
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00% NM 17.48%EV -15.00% E -3.00% K -3.75% G +0.000%1.44I 69.44% NM 60.68%EV -12.41% E -8.62% K -28.20% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 21.84%EV -11.31% E -2.83% K -3.77% G +0.000%14.4%2026-06-27 15:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00% NM 17.06%EV -15.00% E -3.00% K -3.75% G +0.000%1.44I 69.44% NM 59.24%EV -12.41% E -8.62% K -28.20% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 23.70%EV -20.18% E -5.61% K -7.76% G +0.000%17.2%2026-06-27 19:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerCheltenham Town (Local)Charlton Athletic (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-06-26 15:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-06-26 15:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-06-26 15:39