La escuela de los momios

Cheltenham Town v Charlton Athletic

2026-08-08 16:00 UTC — EFL Cup

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Cheltenham Town (Local)

Predicción 19.43%5.15momio equitativo
EV +6.88%
Ventaja +1.25%
Kelly +1.53%
Crecimiento +0.105%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.44%19.48%19.28%22.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.964.935.5025.00%20.16%20.30%18.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Charlton Athletic (Visitante)

Predicción 57.24%1.75momio equitativo
EV -3.84%
Ventaja -2.29%
Kelly -5.65%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.79%57.19%57.27%60.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.491.571.601.6867.11%63.72%62.50%59.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.33%4.29momio equitativo
EV -2.02%
Ventaja -0.482%
Kelly -0.632%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.48%23.33%23.46%24.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.653.943.954.2027.40%25.39%25.32%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
BetRivers5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV +6.88%E +1.25%K +1.53%G +0.105%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.68%EV -14.71%E -9.88%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -7.86%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 05:19
betPARX5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV +6.88%E +1.25%K +1.53%G +0.105%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.68%EV -14.71%E -9.88%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -7.86%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:09
Unibet (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV +6.88%E +1.25%K +1.53%G +0.105%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.68%EV -14.71%E -9.88%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -7.86%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV +6.88%E +1.25%K +1.53%G +0.105%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.68%EV -14.71%E -9.88%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -7.86%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:30
Unibet (NL)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV +6.88%E +1.25%K +1.53%G +0.105%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.68%EV -14.71%E -9.88%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -7.86%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:29
Grosvenor5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV +6.88%E +1.25%K +1.53%G +0.105%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.68%EV -14.71%E -9.88%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -7.86%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:29
LiveScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV +6.88%E +1.25%K +1.53%G +0.105%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.68%EV -14.71%E -9.88%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -7.86%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:29
Virgin Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV +6.88%E +1.25%K +1.53%G +0.105%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.68%EV -14.71%E -9.88%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -7.86%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:29
Casumo5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV +6.88%E +1.25%K +1.53%G +0.105%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.68%EV -14.71%E -9.88%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -7.86%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:29
ATG (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV +6.88%E +1.25%K +1.53%G +0.105%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.68%EV -14.71%E -9.88%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -7.86%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:29
Svenska Spel5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV +6.88%E +1.25%K +1.53%G +0.105%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.68%EV -14.71%E -9.88%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -7.86%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:29
TABtouch5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV +6.88%E +1.25%K +1.53%G +0.105%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.68%EV -14.71%E -9.88%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -7.86%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:39
Unibet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV +6.88%E +1.25%K +1.53%G +0.105%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.68%EV -14.71%E -9.88%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -7.86%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 08:39
PMU (FR)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV +6.88%E +1.25%K +1.53%G +0.105%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.68%EV -14.71%E -9.88%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.89%EV -7.86%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-16 14:05
FanDuel5.30I 18.87%NM 17.77%EV +3.00%E +0.566%K +0.697%G +0.021%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -8.99%E -5.65%K -15.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.36%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-21 19:20
SportsBet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV +2.03%E +0.386%K +0.477%G +0.010%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -8.42%E -5.26%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.69%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-21 19:20
BetMGM5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -2.83%E -0.566%K -0.708%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -7.27%E -4.49%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -2.02%E -0.482%K -0.632%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-22 16:59
Coral5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -2.83%E -0.566%K -0.708%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -7.85%E -4.87%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -2.02%E -0.482%K -0.632%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 16:58
Ladbrokes (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -2.83%E -0.566%K -0.708%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -7.85%E -4.87%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -2.02%E -0.482%K -0.632%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 16:59
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -2.83%E -0.566%K -0.708%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -8.42%E -5.26%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -6.69%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 19:20
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -2.83%E -0.566%K -0.708%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -8.42%E -5.26%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -6.69%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 19:20
Marathon Bet4.95I 20.20%NM 18.83%EV -3.80%E -0.768%K -0.963%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.88%EV -7.85%E -4.87%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -6.69%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 06:34
Betr (AU)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -4.78%E -0.975%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.17%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -6.69%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-23 07:19
1xBet4.88I 20.49%NM 19.25%EV -5.16%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.27%EV -6.13%E -3.74%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -6.69%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 06:34
Ladbrokes (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -6.72%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.02%EV -8.42%E -5.26%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -4.36%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-22 17:00
Neds4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -6.72%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.02%EV -8.42%E -5.26%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -4.36%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-22 16:59
Tipico (DE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -6.72%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -7.27%E -4.49%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -11.35%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-21 19:20
William Hill4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -7.69%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -9.02%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 16:59
betano_uk4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -7.69%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -7.85%E -4.87%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -12.52%E -3.34%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 09:04
Bet Victor4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -7.69%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -7.85%E -4.87%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -12.52%E -3.34%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-25 09:05
Unibet (UK)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -7.69%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.55%EV -9.56%E -6.05%K -16.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -9.02%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-21 23:05
BoyleSports4.75I 21.05%NM 18.82%EV -7.69%E -1.62%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -11.28%E -7.28%K -20.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.35%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-12 12:29
LeoVegas4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -8.66%E -1.84%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.12%EV -8.42%E -5.26%K -14.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -9.02%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-22 10:54
888sport4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -10.61%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -11.35%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-22 17:00
888sport (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -10.61%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -11.35%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-22 17:59
Mr Green (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -10.61%E -2.31%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -11.35%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-22 17:59
Bovada4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -12.55%E -2.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -7.27%E -4.49%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -6.69%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-22 16:58
Winamax (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 19.85%EV -14.49%E -3.29%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 57.46%EV -13.00%E -8.55%K -24.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.69%EV -10.19%E -2.65%K -3.57%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-22 15:39
Pinnacle4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -15.46%E -3.55%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.46%EV -3.84%E -2.29%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.12%EV -5.99%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-21 19:20
LowVig.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 20.75%EV -16.44%E -3.82%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.77%EV -8.42%E -5.26%K -14.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -11.35%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-21 19:20
BetOnline.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 20.75%EV -16.44%E -3.82%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.77%EV -8.42%E -5.26%K -14.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -11.35%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-21 19:20
NetBet (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 20.23%EV -16.44%E -3.82%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 56.87%EV -12.42%E -8.12%K -23.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.90%EV -11.35%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-25 09:05
Winamax (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 20.12%EV -18.38%E -4.38%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 56.72%EV -14.71%E -9.88%K -30.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.16%EV -14.85%E -4.07%K -5.61%G +0.000%18.3%2026-07-22 15:39
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -22.27%E -5.57%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -6.69%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-23 14:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.88%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%6.7%2026-07-26 01:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.88%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%6.7%2026-07-24 21:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.88%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%6.7%2026-07-24 21:15