Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.30
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Cheltenham Town (Local): 19.28%; Charlton Athletic (Visitante): 56.70%; Empate: 24.02%. Para Cheltenham Town (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.19. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.30, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.17%.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV +2.17%E +0.409%K +0.504%G +0.011% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.25%EV -8.71%E -5.41%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV +2.17%E +0.409%K +0.504%G +0.011% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.56%EV -9.85%E -6.19%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.20%EV +1.20%E +0.229%K +0.283%G +0.003% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -3.90%E -0.976%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-08 16:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.03I 19.88%NM 18.58%EV -3.04%E -0.604%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.30%EV -5.88%E -3.54%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.12%EV -10.63%E -2.86%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 16:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.15%EV -3.62%E -0.723%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.04%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV +0.901%E +0.214%K +0.281%G +0.003% | 4.4% | 2026-08-07 19:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -3.62%E -0.723%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -3.90%E -0.976%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 06:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -3.62%E -0.723%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -3.90%E -0.976%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 16:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -3.62%E -0.723%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -8.15%E -5.03%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -1.50%E -0.366%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-07 19:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -3.62%E -0.723%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -8.15%E -5.03%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -3.90%E -0.976%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 16:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -3.62%E -0.723%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -8.15%E -5.03%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -3.90%E -0.976%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 16:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -3.62%E -0.723%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -8.71%E -5.41%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -3.90%E -0.976%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -3.62%E -0.723%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -9.28%E -5.80%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-30 13:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -3.62%E -0.723%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -9.28%E -5.80%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 16:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -3.62%E -0.723%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -10.98%E -7.00%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -3.62%E -0.723%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -10.98%E -7.00%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 16:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -5.54%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.17%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -3.90%E -0.976%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-23 07:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -5.54%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.83%EV -7.01%E -4.28%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.15%EV -7.27%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 16:23 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -7.47%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -8.15%E -5.03%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 16:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -7.47%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -10.98%E -7.00%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -13.51%E -3.75%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-08 16:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.79I 20.88%NM 19.82%EV -7.66%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.61%E -2.12%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 16:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -8.43%E -1.78%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-06 11:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -8.43%E -1.78%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -8.71%E -5.41%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-08 16:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -9.40%E -2.00%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 16:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -9.40%E -2.00%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.80%EV -9.40%E -2.00%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.00%EV -12.12%E -7.82%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.20%EV -12.31%E -3.37%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-08 16:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -11.33%E -2.46%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -8.15%E -5.03%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-07 19:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -11.33%E -2.46%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -8.71%E -5.41%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-07 19:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -11.33%E -2.46%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -8.71%E -5.41%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-07 19:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -11.33%E -2.46%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -8.71%E -5.41%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-07 19:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -11.33%E -2.46%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.53%EV -7.58%E -4.65%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -12.31%E -3.37%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -13.25%E -2.95%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 11:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -13.25%E -2.95%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.63%EV -9.28%E -5.80%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-06 11:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -13.25%E -2.95%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.11%EV -9.28%E -5.80%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-08 15:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.48%EV -14.22%E -3.19%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.22%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.30%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 16:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.48%EV -14.22%E -3.19%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.22%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.30%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -15.18%E -3.45%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.32%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 16:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -15.18%E -3.45%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.32%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 16:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -15.18%E -3.45%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.32%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 16:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -15.18%E -3.45%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.32%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 16:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -15.18%E -3.45%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.32%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 16:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -15.18%E -3.45%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.32%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 16:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -15.18%E -3.45%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.32%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 16:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -15.18%E -3.45%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.32%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 16:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -15.18%E -3.45%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.32%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 16:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -15.18%E -3.45%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.32%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 16:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -15.18%E -3.45%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.34%EV -10.42%E -6.59%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.43%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-06 11:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV -16.15%E -3.71%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.87%EV -4.75%E -2.82%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -7.51%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 15:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -19.04%E -4.53%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.99%EV -8.71%E -5.41%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-08 16:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -19.04%E -4.53%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.99%EV -8.71%E -5.41%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-08 16:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -19.04%E -4.53%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.99%EV -8.71%E -5.41%K -14.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-08 16:20 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.70% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20% | 0.8% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.61% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.34% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 1.4% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.61% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.34% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 1.4% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.61% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.34% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 1.4% | 2026-08-08 16:25 |