Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cheltenham Town v Charlton Athletic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-08 16:30 UTC

Score final : Cheltenham Town 1–3 Charlton Athletic

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cheltenham Town (Local)

Prévision 19.28%5.19cote équitable
EV +2.17%
Avantage +0.409%
Kelly +0.504%
Croissance +0.011%

avec la cote maximale 5.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.57%19.31%19.23%21.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.204.694.655.3023.81%21.33%21.51%18.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Charlton Athletic (Visiteur)

Prévision 56.70%1.76cote équitable
EV -3.61%
Avantage -2.12%
Kelly -5.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.87%56.69%56.73%58.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.551.631.631.7064.52%61.29%61.16%58.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.02%4.16cote équitable
EV +0.901%
Avantage +0.214%
Kelly +0.281%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.80%23.99%24.04%25.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.853.854.2027.78%25.99%25.94%23.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Cheltenham Town (Local) : 19.28% ; Charlton Athletic (Visiteur) : 56.70% ; Match nul : 24.02%. Pour Cheltenham Town (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.19. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.30, soit une espérance positive de +2.17%.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
SportsBet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV +2.17%E +0.409%K +0.504%G +0.011%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.25%EV -8.71%E -5.41%K -14.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 16:25
FanDuel🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV +2.17%E +0.409%K +0.504%G +0.011%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.56%EV -9.85%E -6.19%K -16.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 16:25
Bet Victor🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.20%EV +1.20%E +0.229%K +0.283%G +0.003%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -3.90%E -0.976%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 16:24
1xBet🎯5.03I 19.88%NM 18.58%EV -3.04%E -0.604%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.30%EV -5.88%E -3.54%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.12%EV -10.63%E -2.86%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 16:14
Coral🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.15%EV -3.62%E -0.723%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.04%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV +0.901%E +0.214%K +0.281%G +0.003%4.4%2026-08-07 19:55
Coolbet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -3.62%E -0.723%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -3.90%E -0.976%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 06:35
betano_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -3.62%E -0.723%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -3.90%E -0.976%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 16:14
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -3.62%E -0.723%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -8.15%E -5.03%K -13.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -1.50%E -0.366%K -0.484%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 19:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -3.62%E -0.723%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -8.15%E -5.03%K -13.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -3.90%E -0.976%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 16:24
Neds🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -3.62%E -0.723%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -8.15%E -5.03%K -13.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -3.90%E -0.976%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 16:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -3.62%E -0.723%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -8.71%E -5.41%K -14.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -3.90%E -0.976%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 16:25
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -3.62%E -0.723%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -9.28%E -5.80%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-30 13:05
Tipico (DE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -3.62%E -0.723%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -9.28%E -5.80%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 16:20
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -3.62%E -0.723%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -10.98%E -7.00%K -19.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 16:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -3.62%E -0.723%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -10.98%E -7.00%K -19.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 16:24
Betr (AU)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -5.54%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.17%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -3.90%E -0.976%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-23 07:19
Marathon Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -5.54%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.83%EV -7.01%E -4.28%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.15%EV -7.27%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 16:23
Bovada🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -7.47%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -8.15%E -5.03%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 16:14
Sky Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -7.47%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -10.98%E -7.00%K -19.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -13.51%E -3.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 16:24
Pinnacle🎯4.79I 20.88%NM 19.82%EV -7.66%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.61%E -2.12%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 16:15
Unibet (UK)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -8.43%E -1.78%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 11:30
Betway🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -8.43%E -1.78%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -8.71%E -5.41%K -14.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 16:20
NordicBet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -9.40%E -2.00%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 16:24
Betsson🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -9.40%E -2.00%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 16:25
NetBet (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 18.80%EV -9.40%E -2.00%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.00%EV -12.12%E -7.82%K -22.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.20%EV -12.31%E -3.37%K -4.65%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-08 16:24
William Hill🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -11.33%E -2.46%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -8.15%E -5.03%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-07 19:55
888sport🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -11.33%E -2.46%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -8.71%E -5.41%K -14.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-07 19:55
888sport (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -11.33%E -2.46%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -8.71%E -5.41%K -14.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-07 19:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -11.33%E -2.46%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -8.71%E -5.41%K -14.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-07 19:55
PlayUp🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -11.33%E -2.46%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.53%EV -7.58%E -4.65%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -12.31%E -3.37%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-08 16:25
theScore Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -13.25%E -2.95%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 11:25
Winamax (DE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -13.25%E -2.95%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.63%EV -9.28%E -5.80%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-06 11:30
LeoVegas🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -13.25%E -2.95%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.11%EV -9.28%E -5.80%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-08 15:45
LowVig.ag🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 20.48%EV -14.22%E -3.19%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.22%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.30%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 16:24
BetOnline.ag🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 20.48%EV -14.22%E -3.19%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.22%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.30%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 16:25
betPARX🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -15.18%E -3.45%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.32%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 16:19
Unibet (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -15.18%E -3.45%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.32%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -15.18%E -3.45%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.32%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 16:20
Unibet (NL)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -15.18%E -3.45%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.32%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 16:19
Grosvenor🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -15.18%E -3.45%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.32%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 16:20
Casumo🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -15.18%E -3.45%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.32%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 16:20
ATG (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -15.18%E -3.45%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.32%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 16:20
Svenska Spel🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -15.18%E -3.45%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.32%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 16:20
TABtouch🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -15.18%E -3.45%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.32%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 16:20
Unibet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -15.18%E -3.45%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.32%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 16:19
Winamax (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -15.18%E -3.45%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 56.34%EV -10.42%E -6.59%K -17.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.43%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-06 11:30
BetRivers🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV -16.15%E -3.71%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.87%EV -4.75%E -2.82%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -7.51%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 15:49
LiveScore Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -19.04%E -4.53%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 54.99%EV -8.71%E -5.41%K -14.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-08 16:20
Virgin Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -19.04%E -4.53%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 54.99%EV -8.71%E -5.41%K -14.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-08 16:19
PMU (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -19.04%E -4.53%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 54.99%EV -8.71%E -5.41%K -14.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-08 16:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.70%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-08-08 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.61%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.34%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-08-08 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.61%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.34%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-08-08 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.61%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.34%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-08-08 16:25