默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cheltenham Town v Charlton Athletic

开赛时间: 2026-08-08 16:30 UTC

最终结果: Cheltenham Town 1–3 Charlton Athletic

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

50 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cheltenham Town (主队)

预测 19.28%5.19公平赔率
EV +2.17%
优势 +0.409%
Kelly +0.504%
增长率 +0.011%

假设最高赔率为 5.30

博彩公司预测分布
17.57%19.31%19.23%21.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.204.694.655.3023.81%21.33%21.51%18.87%最小值均值中位数最大值

Charlton Athletic (客队)

预测 56.70%1.76公平赔率
EV -3.61%
优势 -2.12%
Kelly -5.16%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.70

博彩公司预测分布
54.87%56.69%56.73%58.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.551.631.631.7064.52%61.29%61.16%58.82%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 24.02%4.16公平赔率
EV +0.901%
优势 +0.214%
Kelly +0.281%
增长率 +0.003%

假设最高赔率为 4.20

博彩公司预测分布
22.80%23.99%24.04%25.12%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.603.853.854.2027.78%25.99%25.94%23.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Cheltenham Town (主队):19.28%;Charlton Athletic (客队):56.70%;平局:24.02%。 对于“Cheltenham Town (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.19。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为5.30,对应+2.17%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (50 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
SportsBet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV +2.17%E +0.409%K +0.504%G +0.011%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.25%EV -8.71%E -5.41%K -14.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 16:25
FanDuel🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV +2.17%E +0.409%K +0.504%G +0.011%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.56%EV -9.85%E -6.19%K -16.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 16:25
Bet Victor🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.20%EV +1.20%E +0.229%K +0.283%G +0.003%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -3.90%E -0.976%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 16:24
1xBet🎯5.03I 19.88%NM 18.58%EV -3.04%E -0.604%K -0.754%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.30%EV -5.88%E -3.54%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.12%EV -10.63%E -2.86%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 16:14
Coral🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.15%EV -3.62%E -0.723%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.04%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV +0.901%E +0.214%K +0.281%G +0.003%4.4%2026-08-07 19:55
Coolbet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -3.62%E -0.723%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -3.90%E -0.976%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 06:35
betano_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -3.62%E -0.723%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -3.90%E -0.976%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 16:14
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -3.62%E -0.723%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -8.15%E -5.03%K -13.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -1.50%E -0.366%K -0.484%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 19:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -3.62%E -0.723%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -8.15%E -5.03%K -13.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -3.90%E -0.976%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 16:24
Neds🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -3.62%E -0.723%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -8.15%E -5.03%K -13.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -3.90%E -0.976%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 16:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -3.62%E -0.723%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -8.71%E -5.41%K -14.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -3.90%E -0.976%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 16:25
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -3.62%E -0.723%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -9.28%E -5.80%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-30 13:05
Tipico (DE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -3.62%E -0.723%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -9.28%E -5.80%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 16:20
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -3.62%E -0.723%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -10.98%E -7.00%K -19.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 16:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -3.62%E -0.723%K -0.904%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -10.98%E -7.00%K -19.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 16:24
Betr (AU)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -5.54%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.17%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -3.90%E -0.976%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-23 07:19
Marathon Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -5.54%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.83%EV -7.01%E -4.28%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.15%EV -7.27%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 16:23
Bovada🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -7.47%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -8.15%E -5.03%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 16:14
Sky Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -7.47%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -10.98%E -7.00%K -19.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -13.51%E -3.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 16:24
Pinnacle🎯4.79I 20.88%NM 19.82%EV -7.66%E -1.60%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.61%E -2.12%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.34%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 16:15
Unibet (UK)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -8.43%E -1.78%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-06 11:30
Betway🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -8.43%E -1.78%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -8.71%E -5.41%K -14.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 16:20
NordicBet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -9.40%E -2.00%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 16:24
Betsson🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -9.40%E -2.00%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 16:25
NetBet (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 18.80%EV -9.40%E -2.00%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.00%EV -12.12%E -7.82%K -22.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.20%EV -12.31%E -3.37%K -4.65%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-08 16:24
William Hill🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -11.33%E -2.46%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -8.15%E -5.03%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-07 19:55
888sport🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -11.33%E -2.46%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -8.71%E -5.41%K -14.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-07 19:55
888sport (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -11.33%E -2.46%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -8.71%E -5.41%K -14.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-07 19:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -11.33%E -2.46%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -8.71%E -5.41%K -14.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-07 19:55
PlayUp🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -11.33%E -2.46%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.53%EV -7.58%E -4.65%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -12.31%E -3.37%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-08 16:25
theScore Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -13.25%E -2.95%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 11:25
Winamax (DE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -13.25%E -2.95%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.63%EV -9.28%E -5.80%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-06 11:30
LeoVegas🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -13.25%E -2.95%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.11%EV -9.28%E -5.80%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-08 15:45
LowVig.ag🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 20.48%EV -14.22%E -3.19%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.22%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.30%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 16:24
BetOnline.ag🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 20.48%EV -14.22%E -3.19%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.22%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.30%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 16:25
betPARX🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -15.18%E -3.45%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.32%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 16:19
Unibet (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -15.18%E -3.45%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.32%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -15.18%E -3.45%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.32%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 16:20
Unibet (NL)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -15.18%E -3.45%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.32%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 16:19
Grosvenor🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -15.18%E -3.45%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.32%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 16:20
Casumo🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -15.18%E -3.45%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.32%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 16:20
ATG (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -15.18%E -3.45%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.32%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 16:20
Svenska Spel🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -15.18%E -3.45%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.32%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 16:20
TABtouch🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -15.18%E -3.45%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.32%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 16:20
Unibet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -15.18%E -3.45%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.32%EV -5.31%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 16:19
Winamax (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -15.18%E -3.45%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 56.34%EV -10.42%E -6.59%K -17.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.43%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-06 11:30
BetRivers🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV -16.15%E -3.71%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.87%EV -4.75%E -2.82%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -7.51%E -1.95%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 15:49
LiveScore Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -19.04%E -4.53%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 54.99%EV -8.71%E -5.41%K -14.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-08 16:20
Virgin Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -19.04%E -4.53%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 54.99%EV -8.71%E -5.41%K -14.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-08 16:19
PMU (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -19.04%E -4.53%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 54.99%EV -8.71%E -5.41%K -14.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-08 16:20
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.70%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-08-08 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.61%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.34%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-08-08 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.61%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.34%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-08-08 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.61%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.34%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-08-08 16:25