语言:简体中文
Chelsea v Luton
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Chelsea (主队)
预测 85.72%1.17公平赔率
EV -3.14%
优势 -2.78%
Kelly -24.13%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.13
博彩公司预测分布
83.46%85.48%85.66%87.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.041.091.091.1396.15%91.67%91.74%88.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
Luton (客队)
预测 4.82%20.74公平赔率
EV +20.52%
优势 +0.821%
Kelly +0.855%
增长率 +0.175%
假设最高赔率为 25.00
博彩公司预测分布
3.86%4.95%4.86%6.68%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
13.5019.0519.0025.007.41%5.25%5.26%4.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 9.46%10.57公平赔率
EV +8.79%
优势 +0.764%
Kelly +0.837%
增长率 +0.074%
假设最高赔率为 11.50
博彩公司预测分布
8.23%9.57%9.47%11.49%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
8.009.8510.0011.5012.50%10.15%10.00%8.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Chelsea (主队)：85.72%；Luton (客队)：4.82%；平局：9.46%。 对于“Luton (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为20.74。 当时有19家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为25.00，对应+20.52%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (47 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.75%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.09%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.86%EV +20.52%E +0.821%K +0.855%G +0.175% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.39%EV +8.79%E +0.764%K +0.837%G +0.074% | 3.6% | 2026-08-27 18:21 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.75%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.09%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.86%EV +20.52%E +0.821%K +0.855%G +0.175% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.39%EV +8.79%E +0.764%K +0.837%G +0.074% | 3.6% | 2026-08-27 18:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.35%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.10%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.12%EV +10.87%E +0.473%K +0.494%G +0.054% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.53%EV -14.86%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-27 18:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.65%EV -7.42%E -6.87%K -92.79%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.12%EV +10.87%E +0.473%K +0.494%G +0.054% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.23%EV +8.79%E +0.764%K +0.837%G +0.074% | 5.6% | 2026-08-27 18:23 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.65%EV -7.42%E -6.87%K -92.79%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.12%EV +10.87%E +0.473%K +0.494%G +0.054% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.23%EV +8.79%E +0.764%K +0.837%G +0.074% | 5.6% | 2026-08-27 18:22 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.69%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.09%G +0.000% | 22.33I 4.48%NM 4.27%EV +7.64%E +0.342%K +0.358%G +0.027% | 10.55I 9.48%NM 9.04%EV -0.198%E -0.019%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.68%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.10%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.37%EV +6.05%E +0.275%K +0.288%G +0.017% | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.95%EV +1.69%E +0.158%K +0.174%G +0.003% | 3.9% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.52%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.09%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.33%EV +6.05%E +0.275%K +0.288%G +0.017% | 10.40I 9.62%NM 9.15%EV -1.62%E -0.155%K -0.172%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.52%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.09%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.33%EV +6.05%E +0.275%K +0.288%G +0.017% | 10.40I 9.62%NM 9.15%EV -1.62%E -0.155%K -0.172%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.33%EV -6.57%E -6.02%K -72.95%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.18%EV +6.05%E +0.275%K +0.288%G +0.017% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -24.32%E -3.04%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-27 18:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.33%EV -6.57%E -6.02%K -72.95%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.18%EV +6.05%E +0.275%K +0.288%G +0.017% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -24.32%E -3.04%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-27 18:21 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.03%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.09%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.51%EV +1.23%E +0.059%K +0.062%G +0.001% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.57%E -6.02%K -72.95%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.49%EV +1.23%E +0.059%K +0.062%G +0.001% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.98%EV -0.671%E -0.064%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.42%E -6.87%K -92.79%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV +1.23%E +0.059%K +0.062%G +0.001% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -0.671%E -0.064%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 18:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.42%E -6.87%K -92.79%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV +1.23%E +0.059%K +0.062%G +0.001% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -0.671%E -0.064%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 18:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.42%E -6.87%K -92.79%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV +1.23%E +0.059%K +0.062%G +0.001% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -0.671%E -0.064%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.42%E -6.87%K -92.79%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV +1.23%E +0.059%K +0.062%G +0.001% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -0.671%E -0.064%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 18:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.42%E -6.87%K -92.79%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV +1.23%E +0.059%K +0.062%G +0.001% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -0.671%E -0.064%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 18:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.72%EV -6.57%E -6.02%K -72.95%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.45%EV +1.23%E +0.059%K +0.062%G +0.001% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -10.13%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.55%EV -8.28%E -7.74%K -118.29%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.63%EV -3.59%E -0.179%K -0.189%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.82%EV -0.671%E -0.064%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-27 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.55%EV -8.28%E -7.74%K -118.29%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.63%EV -3.59%E -0.179%K -0.189%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.82%EV -0.671%E -0.064%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-27 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.66%EV -9.14%E -8.62%K -152.29%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.59%EV -3.59%E -0.179%K -0.189%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%EV -0.671%E -0.064%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-27 18:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.62%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.10%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV -8.41%E -0.443%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -14.86%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-27 18:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.32%EV -6.57%E -6.02%K -72.95%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.89%EV -8.41%E -0.443%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV -10.13%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-27 18:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.96%EV -8.28%E -7.74%K -118.29%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV -8.41%E -0.443%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-27 18:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.32%EV -8.28%E -7.74%K -118.29%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.07%EV -13.23%E -0.735%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -10.13%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-27 18:21 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 85.67%EV -10.85%E -10.43%K -271.29%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 4.95%EV -13.23%E -0.735%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.38%EV -10.13%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-27 18:21 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 85.67%EV -10.85%E -10.43%K -271.29%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 4.95%EV -13.23%E -0.735%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.38%EV -10.13%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-27 18:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 85.67%EV -10.85%E -10.43%K -271.29%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 4.95%EV -13.23%E -0.735%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.38%EV -10.13%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-27 18:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.01%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.10%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.55%EV -18.05%E -1.06%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-27 17:56 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.11%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.09%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.51%EV -18.05%E -1.06%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 9.98I 10.02%NM 9.38%EV -5.59%E -0.560%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.13%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.10%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV -18.05%E -1.06%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -14.86%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.62%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.10%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -18.05%E -1.06%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -19.59%E -2.30%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-27 17:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.62%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.10%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -18.05%E -1.06%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -19.59%E -2.30%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-27 17:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.62%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.10%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -18.05%E -1.06%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -19.59%E -2.30%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-27 17:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.74%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.09%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV -18.05%E -1.06%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -19.59%E -2.30%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-27 18:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.16%EV -7.42%E -6.87%K -92.79%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.41%EV -18.05%E -1.06%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.43%EV -7.77%E -0.796%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 85.21%EV -10.85%E -10.43%K -271.29%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.21%EV -18.05%E -1.06%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 9.58%EV -12.50%E -1.35%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -3.14%E -2.78%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -22.87%E -1.43%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.13%EV -0.671%E -0.064%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.60%EV -3.14%E -2.78%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.90%EV -22.87%E -1.43%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV -14.86%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.84%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.09%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.83%EV -22.87%E -1.43%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.14%E -2.78%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.34%EV -27.69%E -1.85%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.99%E -3.57%K -33.29%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.29%EV -27.69%E -1.85%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.57%EV -7.42%E -6.87%K -92.79%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.30%EV -30.10%E -2.08%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.13%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.48%EV -3.99%E -3.57%K -33.29%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -32.51%E -2.32%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.84%EV -10.13%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-27 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.48%EV -3.99%E -3.57%K -33.29%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -32.51%E -2.32%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.84%EV -10.13%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-27 18:21 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 83.46%EV -8.28%E -7.74%K -118.29%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.62%EV -34.92%E -2.59%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.92%EV -14.86%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.35% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.33% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.32% | 0.2% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.35% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.33% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.32% | 0.2% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.35% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.33% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.32% | 0.2% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.35% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.33% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.32% | 0.2% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |