StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Chelsea v Luton

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-27 18:30 UTC

Endstand: Chelsea 2–0 Luton

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

47 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Chelsea (Heim)

Prognose 85.72%1.17faire Quote
EV -3.14%
Vorteil -2.78%
Kelly -24.13%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.13

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
83.46%85.48%85.66%87.75%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.041.091.091.1396.15%91.67%91.74%88.50%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Luton (Auswärts)

Prognose 4.82%20.74faire Quote
EV +20.52%
Vorteil +0.821%
Kelly +0.855%
Wachstum +0.175%

bei einer Höchstquote von 25.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
3.86%4.95%4.86%6.68%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
13.5019.0519.0025.007.41%5.25%5.26%4.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 9.46%10.57faire Quote
EV +8.79%
Vorteil +0.764%
Kelly +0.837%
Wachstum +0.074%

bei einer Höchstquote von 11.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
8.23%9.57%9.47%11.49%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
8.009.8510.0011.5012.50%10.15%10.00%8.70%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Chelsea (Heim): 85.72%; Luton (Auswärts): 4.82%; Unentschieden: 9.46%. Für Luton (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 20.74. 19 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 25.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +20.52%.

Wettanbieterquoten (47 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Svenska Spel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.75%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.09%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.86%EV +20.52%E +0.821%K +0.855%G +0.175%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.39%EV +8.79%E +0.764%K +0.837%G +0.074%3.6%2026-08-27 18:21
ATG (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.75%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.09%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.86%EV +20.52%E +0.821%K +0.855%G +0.175%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.39%EV +8.79%E +0.764%K +0.837%G +0.074%3.6%2026-08-27 18:20
PlayUp🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.35%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.10%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.12%EV +10.87%E +0.473%K +0.494%G +0.054%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.53%EV -14.86%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-27 18:15
betano_uk🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.65%EV -7.42%E -6.87%K -92.79%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.12%EV +10.87%E +0.473%K +0.494%G +0.054%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.23%EV +8.79%E +0.764%K +0.837%G +0.074%5.6%2026-08-27 18:23
Bet Victor🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.65%EV -7.42%E -6.87%K -92.79%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.12%EV +10.87%E +0.473%K +0.494%G +0.054%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.23%EV +8.79%E +0.764%K +0.837%G +0.074%5.6%2026-08-27 18:22
Pinnacle🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.69%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.09%G +0.000%22.33I 4.48%NM 4.27%EV +7.64%E +0.342%K +0.358%G +0.027%10.55I 9.48%NM 9.04%EV -0.198%E -0.019%K -0.021%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-27 18:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.68%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.10%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.37%EV +6.05%E +0.275%K +0.288%G +0.017%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.95%EV +1.69%E +0.158%K +0.174%G +0.003%3.9%2026-08-27 18:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.52%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.09%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.33%EV +6.05%E +0.275%K +0.288%G +0.017%10.40I 9.62%NM 9.15%EV -1.62%E -0.155%K -0.172%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 18:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.52%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.09%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.33%EV +6.05%E +0.275%K +0.288%G +0.017%10.40I 9.62%NM 9.15%EV -1.62%E -0.155%K -0.172%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 18:25
NordicBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.33%EV -6.57%E -6.02%K -72.95%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.18%EV +6.05%E +0.275%K +0.288%G +0.017%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -24.32%E -3.04%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-27 18:20
Betsson🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.33%EV -6.57%E -6.02%K -72.95%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.18%EV +6.05%E +0.275%K +0.288%G +0.017%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -24.32%E -3.04%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-27 18:21
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.03%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.09%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.51%EV +1.23%E +0.059%K +0.062%G +0.001%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-27 18:25
SportsBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.57%E -6.02%K -72.95%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.49%EV +1.23%E +0.059%K +0.062%G +0.001%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.98%EV -0.671%E -0.064%K -0.071%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-27 18:25
Unibet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.42%E -6.87%K -92.79%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV +1.23%E +0.059%K +0.062%G +0.001%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -0.671%E -0.064%K -0.071%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 18:20
betPARX🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.42%E -6.87%K -92.79%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV +1.23%E +0.059%K +0.062%G +0.001%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -0.671%E -0.064%K -0.071%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 18:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.42%E -6.87%K -92.79%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV +1.23%E +0.059%K +0.062%G +0.001%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -0.671%E -0.064%K -0.071%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 18:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.42%E -6.87%K -92.79%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV +1.23%E +0.059%K +0.062%G +0.001%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -0.671%E -0.064%K -0.071%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 18:20
Casumo🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.42%E -6.87%K -92.79%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV +1.23%E +0.059%K +0.062%G +0.001%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -0.671%E -0.064%K -0.071%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 18:20
FanDuel🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.72%EV -6.57%E -6.02%K -72.95%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.45%EV +1.23%E +0.059%K +0.062%G +0.001%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -10.13%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-27 18:25
TABtouch🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.55%EV -8.28%E -7.74%K -118.29%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.63%EV -3.59%E -0.179%K -0.189%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.82%EV -0.671%E -0.064%K -0.071%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-27 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.55%EV -8.28%E -7.74%K -118.29%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.63%EV -3.59%E -0.179%K -0.189%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.82%EV -0.671%E -0.064%K -0.071%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-27 18:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 86.66%EV -9.14%E -8.62%K -152.29%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.59%EV -3.59%E -0.179%K -0.189%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%EV -0.671%E -0.064%K -0.071%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-27 18:15
Coolbet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.62%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.10%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV -8.41%E -0.443%K -0.467%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -14.86%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-27 18:19
BoyleSports🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.32%EV -6.57%E -6.02%K -72.95%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.89%EV -8.41%E -0.443%K -0.467%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV -10.13%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-27 18:20
BetRivers🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.96%EV -8.28%E -7.74%K -118.29%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV -8.41%E -0.443%K -0.467%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-27 18:20
Paddy Power🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.32%EV -8.28%E -7.74%K -118.29%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.07%EV -13.23%E -0.735%K -0.778%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -10.13%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-27 18:21
Virgin Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 85.67%EV -10.85%E -10.43%K -271.29%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 4.95%EV -13.23%E -0.735%K -0.778%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.38%EV -10.13%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-27 18:21
LiveScore Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 85.67%EV -10.85%E -10.43%K -271.29%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 4.95%EV -13.23%E -0.735%K -0.778%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.38%EV -10.13%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-27 18:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 85.67%EV -10.85%E -10.43%K -271.29%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 4.95%EV -13.23%E -0.735%K -0.778%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.38%EV -10.13%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-27 18:20
Betway🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.01%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.10%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.55%EV -18.05%E -1.06%K -1.13%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-27 17:56
1xBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.11%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.09%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.51%EV -18.05%E -1.06%K -1.13%G +0.000%9.98I 10.02%NM 9.38%EV -5.59%E -0.560%K -0.622%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-27 18:25
William Hill🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.13%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.10%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV -18.05%E -1.06%K -1.13%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -14.86%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-27 18:25
888sport🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.62%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.10%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -18.05%E -1.06%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -19.59%E -2.30%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-27 17:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.62%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.10%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -18.05%E -1.06%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -19.59%E -2.30%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-27 17:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.62%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.10%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -18.05%E -1.06%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -19.59%E -2.30%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-27 17:35
Grosvenor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.74%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.09%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV -18.05%E -1.06%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -19.59%E -2.30%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-27 18:20
Bovada🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.16%EV -7.42%E -6.87%K -92.79%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.41%EV -18.05%E -1.06%K -1.13%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.43%EV -7.77%E -0.796%K -0.888%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-27 18:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 85.21%EV -10.85%E -10.43%K -271.29%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.21%EV -18.05%E -1.06%K -1.13%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.58%EV -12.50%E -1.35%K -1.51%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-27 18:25
BetMGM🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -3.14%E -2.78%K -24.13%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -22.87%E -1.43%K -1.52%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.13%EV -0.671%E -0.064%K -0.071%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-27 18:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.60%EV -3.14%E -2.78%K -24.13%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.90%EV -22.87%E -1.43%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV -14.86%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-27 18:25
theScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.84%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.09%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.83%EV -22.87%E -1.43%K -1.52%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-27 18:25
Coral🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.14%E -2.78%K -24.13%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.34%EV -27.69%E -1.85%K -1.98%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-27 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.99%E -3.57%K -33.29%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.29%EV -27.69%E -1.85%K -1.98%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-27 18:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.57%EV -7.42%E -6.87%K -92.79%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.30%EV -30.10%E -2.08%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.13%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-27 18:25
Neds🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.48%EV -3.99%E -3.57%K -33.29%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -32.51%E -2.32%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.84%EV -10.13%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-27 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.48%EV -3.99%E -3.57%K -33.29%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -32.51%E -2.32%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.84%EV -10.13%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-27 18:21
Winamax (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 83.46%EV -8.28%E -7.74%K -118.29%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.62%EV -34.92%E -2.59%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.92%EV -14.86%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-27 18:25
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (4)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 88.35%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.33%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.32%0.2%2026-08-27 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 88.35%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.33%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.32%0.2%2026-08-27 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 88.35%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.33%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.32%0.2%2026-08-27 18:25
Matchbook◎1.13I 88.50%NM 88.35%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.33%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.32%0.2%2026-08-27 18:25