Язык:Русский
Chelsea v Luton
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Chelsea (Хозяева)
Прогноз 85.72%1.17справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.14%
Преимущество -2.78%
Kelly -24.13%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.13
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
83.46%85.48%85.66%87.75%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.041.091.091.1396.15%91.67%91.74%88.50%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Luton (Гости)
Прогноз 4.82%20.74справедливый коэффициент
EV +20.52%
Преимущество +0.821%
Kelly +0.855%
Рост +0.175%
при максимальном коэффициенте 25.00
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
3.86%4.95%4.86%6.68%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
13.5019.0519.0025.007.41%5.25%5.26%4.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 9.46%10.57справедливый коэффициент
EV +8.79%
Преимущество +0.764%
Kelly +0.837%
Рост +0.074%
при максимальном коэффициенте 11.50
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
8.23%9.57%9.47%11.49%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
8.009.8510.0011.5012.50%10.15%10.00%8.70%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Chelsea (Хозяева): 85.72%; Luton (Гости): 4.82%; Ничья: 9.46%. Для исхода «Luton (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 20.74. 19 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 25.00, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +20.52%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (47 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.75%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.09%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.86%EV +20.52%E +0.821%K +0.855%G +0.175% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.39%EV +8.79%E +0.764%K +0.837%G +0.074% | 3.6% | 2026-08-27 18:21 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.75%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.09%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.86%EV +20.52%E +0.821%K +0.855%G +0.175% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.39%EV +8.79%E +0.764%K +0.837%G +0.074% | 3.6% | 2026-08-27 18:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.35%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.10%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.12%EV +10.87%E +0.473%K +0.494%G +0.054% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.53%EV -14.86%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-27 18:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.65%EV -7.42%E -6.87%K -92.79%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.12%EV +10.87%E +0.473%K +0.494%G +0.054% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.23%EV +8.79%E +0.764%K +0.837%G +0.074% | 5.6% | 2026-08-27 18:23 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.65%EV -7.42%E -6.87%K -92.79%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.12%EV +10.87%E +0.473%K +0.494%G +0.054% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.23%EV +8.79%E +0.764%K +0.837%G +0.074% | 5.6% | 2026-08-27 18:22 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.69%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.09%G +0.000% | 22.33I 4.48%NM 4.27%EV +7.64%E +0.342%K +0.358%G +0.027% | 10.55I 9.48%NM 9.04%EV -0.198%E -0.019%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.68%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.10%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.37%EV +6.05%E +0.275%K +0.288%G +0.017% | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.95%EV +1.69%E +0.158%K +0.174%G +0.003% | 3.9% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.52%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.09%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.33%EV +6.05%E +0.275%K +0.288%G +0.017% | 10.40I 9.62%NM 9.15%EV -1.62%E -0.155%K -0.172%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.52%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.09%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.33%EV +6.05%E +0.275%K +0.288%G +0.017% | 10.40I 9.62%NM 9.15%EV -1.62%E -0.155%K -0.172%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.33%EV -6.57%E -6.02%K -72.95%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.18%EV +6.05%E +0.275%K +0.288%G +0.017% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -24.32%E -3.04%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-27 18:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.33%EV -6.57%E -6.02%K -72.95%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.18%EV +6.05%E +0.275%K +0.288%G +0.017% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -24.32%E -3.04%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-27 18:21 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.03%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.09%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.51%EV +1.23%E +0.059%K +0.062%G +0.001% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.57%E -6.02%K -72.95%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.49%EV +1.23%E +0.059%K +0.062%G +0.001% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.98%EV -0.671%E -0.064%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.42%E -6.87%K -92.79%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV +1.23%E +0.059%K +0.062%G +0.001% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -0.671%E -0.064%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 18:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.42%E -6.87%K -92.79%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV +1.23%E +0.059%K +0.062%G +0.001% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -0.671%E -0.064%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 18:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.42%E -6.87%K -92.79%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV +1.23%E +0.059%K +0.062%G +0.001% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -0.671%E -0.064%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.42%E -6.87%K -92.79%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV +1.23%E +0.059%K +0.062%G +0.001% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -0.671%E -0.064%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 18:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.42%E -6.87%K -92.79%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV +1.23%E +0.059%K +0.062%G +0.001% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -0.671%E -0.064%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 18:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.72%EV -6.57%E -6.02%K -72.95%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.45%EV +1.23%E +0.059%K +0.062%G +0.001% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -10.13%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.55%EV -8.28%E -7.74%K -118.29%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.63%EV -3.59%E -0.179%K -0.189%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.82%EV -0.671%E -0.064%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-27 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.55%EV -8.28%E -7.74%K -118.29%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.63%EV -3.59%E -0.179%K -0.189%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.82%EV -0.671%E -0.064%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-27 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.66%EV -9.14%E -8.62%K -152.29%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.59%EV -3.59%E -0.179%K -0.189%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%EV -0.671%E -0.064%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-27 18:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.62%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.10%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV -8.41%E -0.443%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -14.86%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-27 18:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.32%EV -6.57%E -6.02%K -72.95%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.89%EV -8.41%E -0.443%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV -10.13%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-27 18:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.96%EV -8.28%E -7.74%K -118.29%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV -8.41%E -0.443%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-27 18:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.32%EV -8.28%E -7.74%K -118.29%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.07%EV -13.23%E -0.735%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -10.13%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-27 18:21 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 85.67%EV -10.85%E -10.43%K -271.29%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 4.95%EV -13.23%E -0.735%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.38%EV -10.13%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-27 18:21 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 85.67%EV -10.85%E -10.43%K -271.29%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 4.95%EV -13.23%E -0.735%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.38%EV -10.13%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-27 18:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 85.67%EV -10.85%E -10.43%K -271.29%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 4.95%EV -13.23%E -0.735%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.38%EV -10.13%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-27 18:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.01%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.10%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.55%EV -18.05%E -1.06%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-27 17:56 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.11%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.09%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.51%EV -18.05%E -1.06%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 9.98I 10.02%NM 9.38%EV -5.59%E -0.560%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.13%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.10%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV -18.05%E -1.06%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -14.86%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.62%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.10%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -18.05%E -1.06%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -19.59%E -2.30%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-27 17:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.62%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.10%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -18.05%E -1.06%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -19.59%E -2.30%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-27 17:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.62%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.10%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -18.05%E -1.06%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -19.59%E -2.30%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-27 17:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.74%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.09%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV -18.05%E -1.06%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -19.59%E -2.30%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-27 18:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.16%EV -7.42%E -6.87%K -92.79%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.41%EV -18.05%E -1.06%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.43%EV -7.77%E -0.796%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 85.21%EV -10.85%E -10.43%K -271.29%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.21%EV -18.05%E -1.06%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 9.58%EV -12.50%E -1.35%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -3.14%E -2.78%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -22.87%E -1.43%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.13%EV -0.671%E -0.064%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.60%EV -3.14%E -2.78%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.90%EV -22.87%E -1.43%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV -14.86%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.84%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.09%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.83%EV -22.87%E -1.43%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.14%E -2.78%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.34%EV -27.69%E -1.85%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.99%E -3.57%K -33.29%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.29%EV -27.69%E -1.85%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.57%EV -7.42%E -6.87%K -92.79%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.30%EV -30.10%E -2.08%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.13%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.48%EV -3.99%E -3.57%K -33.29%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -32.51%E -2.32%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.84%EV -10.13%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-27 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.48%EV -3.99%E -3.57%K -33.29%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -32.51%E -2.32%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.84%EV -10.13%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-27 18:21 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 83.46%EV -8.28%E -7.74%K -118.29%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.62%EV -34.92%E -2.59%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.92%EV -14.86%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (4)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.35% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.33% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.32% | 0.2% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.35% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.33% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.32% | 0.2% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.35% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.33% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.32% | 0.2% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.35% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.33% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.32% | 0.2% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |