Langue:Français
Chelsea v Luton
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Chelsea (Local)
Prévision 85.72%1.17cote équitable
EV -3.14%
Avantage -2.78%
Kelly -24.13%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.13
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
83.46%85.48%85.66%87.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.041.091.091.1396.15%91.67%91.74%88.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Luton (Visiteur)
Prévision 4.82%20.74cote équitable
EV +20.52%
Avantage +0.821%
Kelly +0.855%
Croissance +0.175%
avec la cote maximale 25.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
3.86%4.95%4.86%6.68%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
13.5019.0519.0025.007.41%5.25%5.26%4.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 9.46%10.57cote équitable
EV +8.79%
Avantage +0.764%
Kelly +0.837%
Croissance +0.074%
avec la cote maximale 11.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.23%9.57%9.47%11.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
8.009.8510.0011.5012.50%10.15%10.00%8.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Chelsea (Local) : 85.72% ; Luton (Visiteur) : 4.82% ; Match nul : 9.46%. Pour Luton (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 20.74. 19 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 25.00, soit une espérance positive de +20.52%.
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.75%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.09%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.86%EV +20.52%E +0.821%K +0.855%G +0.175% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.39%EV +8.79%E +0.764%K +0.837%G +0.074% | 3.6% | 2026-08-27 18:21 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.75%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.09%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.86%EV +20.52%E +0.821%K +0.855%G +0.175% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.39%EV +8.79%E +0.764%K +0.837%G +0.074% | 3.6% | 2026-08-27 18:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.35%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.10%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.12%EV +10.87%E +0.473%K +0.494%G +0.054% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.53%EV -14.86%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-27 18:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.65%EV -7.42%E -6.87%K -92.79%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.12%EV +10.87%E +0.473%K +0.494%G +0.054% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.23%EV +8.79%E +0.764%K +0.837%G +0.074% | 5.6% | 2026-08-27 18:23 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.65%EV -7.42%E -6.87%K -92.79%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.12%EV +10.87%E +0.473%K +0.494%G +0.054% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.23%EV +8.79%E +0.764%K +0.837%G +0.074% | 5.6% | 2026-08-27 18:22 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.69%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.09%G +0.000% | 22.33I 4.48%NM 4.27%EV +7.64%E +0.342%K +0.358%G +0.027% | 10.55I 9.48%NM 9.04%EV -0.198%E -0.019%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.68%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.10%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.37%EV +6.05%E +0.275%K +0.288%G +0.017% | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.95%EV +1.69%E +0.158%K +0.174%G +0.003% | 3.9% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.52%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.09%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.33%EV +6.05%E +0.275%K +0.288%G +0.017% | 10.40I 9.62%NM 9.15%EV -1.62%E -0.155%K -0.172%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.52%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.09%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.33%EV +6.05%E +0.275%K +0.288%G +0.017% | 10.40I 9.62%NM 9.15%EV -1.62%E -0.155%K -0.172%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.33%EV -6.57%E -6.02%K -72.95%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.18%EV +6.05%E +0.275%K +0.288%G +0.017% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -24.32%E -3.04%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-27 18:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.33%EV -6.57%E -6.02%K -72.95%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.18%EV +6.05%E +0.275%K +0.288%G +0.017% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -24.32%E -3.04%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-27 18:21 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.03%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.09%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.51%EV +1.23%E +0.059%K +0.062%G +0.001% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.57%E -6.02%K -72.95%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.49%EV +1.23%E +0.059%K +0.062%G +0.001% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.98%EV -0.671%E -0.064%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.42%E -6.87%K -92.79%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV +1.23%E +0.059%K +0.062%G +0.001% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -0.671%E -0.064%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 18:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.42%E -6.87%K -92.79%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV +1.23%E +0.059%K +0.062%G +0.001% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -0.671%E -0.064%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 18:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.42%E -6.87%K -92.79%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV +1.23%E +0.059%K +0.062%G +0.001% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -0.671%E -0.064%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.42%E -6.87%K -92.79%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV +1.23%E +0.059%K +0.062%G +0.001% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -0.671%E -0.064%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 18:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.42%E -6.87%K -92.79%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV +1.23%E +0.059%K +0.062%G +0.001% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -0.671%E -0.064%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 18:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.72%EV -6.57%E -6.02%K -72.95%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.45%EV +1.23%E +0.059%K +0.062%G +0.001% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.83%EV -10.13%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.55%EV -8.28%E -7.74%K -118.29%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.63%EV -3.59%E -0.179%K -0.189%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.82%EV -0.671%E -0.064%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-27 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.55%EV -8.28%E -7.74%K -118.29%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.63%EV -3.59%E -0.179%K -0.189%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.82%EV -0.671%E -0.064%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-27 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.66%EV -9.14%E -8.62%K -152.29%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.59%EV -3.59%E -0.179%K -0.189%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.75%EV -0.671%E -0.064%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-27 18:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.62%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.10%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.94%EV -8.41%E -0.443%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -14.86%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-27 18:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.32%EV -6.57%E -6.02%K -72.95%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.89%EV -8.41%E -0.443%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV -10.13%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-27 18:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.96%EV -8.28%E -7.74%K -118.29%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV -8.41%E -0.443%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-27 18:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.32%EV -8.28%E -7.74%K -118.29%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.07%EV -13.23%E -0.735%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -10.13%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-27 18:21 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 85.67%EV -10.85%E -10.43%K -271.29%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 4.95%EV -13.23%E -0.735%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.38%EV -10.13%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-27 18:21 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 85.67%EV -10.85%E -10.43%K -271.29%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 4.95%EV -13.23%E -0.735%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.38%EV -10.13%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-27 18:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 85.67%EV -10.85%E -10.43%K -271.29%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 4.95%EV -13.23%E -0.735%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.38%EV -10.13%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-27 18:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.01%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.10%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.55%EV -18.05%E -1.06%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-27 17:56 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.11%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.09%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.51%EV -18.05%E -1.06%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 9.98I 10.02%NM 9.38%EV -5.59%E -0.560%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.13%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.10%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV -18.05%E -1.06%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV -14.86%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.62%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.10%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -18.05%E -1.06%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -19.59%E -2.30%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-27 17:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.62%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.10%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -18.05%E -1.06%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -19.59%E -2.30%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-27 17:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.62%EV -4.85%E -4.37%K -44.10%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -18.05%E -1.06%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -19.59%E -2.30%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-27 17:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.74%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.09%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV -18.05%E -1.06%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -19.59%E -2.30%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-27 18:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.16%EV -7.42%E -6.87%K -92.79%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.41%EV -18.05%E -1.06%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.43%EV -7.77%E -0.796%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 85.21%EV -10.85%E -10.43%K -271.29%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.21%EV -18.05%E -1.06%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 9.58%EV -12.50%E -1.35%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.87%EV -3.14%E -2.78%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -22.87%E -1.43%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.13%EV -0.671%E -0.064%K -0.071%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.60%EV -3.14%E -2.78%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.90%EV -22.87%E -1.43%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV -14.86%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.84%EV -5.71%E -5.19%K -57.09%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.83%EV -22.87%E -1.43%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.14%E -2.78%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.34%EV -27.69%E -1.85%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.99%E -3.57%K -33.29%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.29%EV -27.69%E -1.85%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.57%EV -7.42%E -6.87%K -92.79%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.30%EV -30.10%E -2.08%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.13%EV -5.40%E -0.540%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.48%EV -3.99%E -3.57%K -33.29%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -32.51%E -2.32%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.84%EV -10.13%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-27 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.48%EV -3.99%E -3.57%K -33.29%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -32.51%E -2.32%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.84%EV -10.13%E -1.07%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-27 18:21 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 83.46%EV -8.28%E -7.74%K -118.29%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.62%EV -34.92%E -2.59%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.92%EV -14.86%E -1.65%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.35% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.33% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.32% | 0.2% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.35% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.33% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.32% | 0.2% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.35% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.33% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.32% | 0.2% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.35% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.33% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.32% | 0.2% | 2026-08-27 18:25 |