Language:English
Cardiff City v Norwich City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cardiff City (Local)
Prediction 35.31%2.83fair odd
EV -1.13%
Edge -0.404%
Kelly -0.629%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.85%35.22%35.34%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.652.642.8040.00%37.78%37.88%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Norwich City (Visit)
Prediction 39.51%2.53fair odd
EV -2.41%
Edge -0.976%
Kelly -1.64%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.24%39.49%39.54%41.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.352.352.4744.44%42.54%42.55%40.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.18%3.97fair odd
EV -1.80%
Edge -0.460%
Kelly -0.619%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.15%25.28%25.12%26.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.613.603.9029.85%27.66%27.78%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cardiff City (Local): 35.31%; Norwich City (Visit): 39.51%; Draw: 25.18%. For Cardiff City (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.83. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.80, with an expected value of -1.13%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.37%EV -1.13%E -0.404%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.44%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.19%EV -3.81%E -0.997%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-25 17:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -1.13%E -0.404%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -9.13%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -4.31%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-25 17:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -2.90%E -1.05%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-25 17:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.25%EV -3.60%E -1.32%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.76%EV -4.39%E -1.81%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.99%EV -3.05%E -0.793%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-25 17:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.68%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.06%EV -4.31%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-25 17:48 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.15%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.54%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-25 17:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.08%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.31%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.60%EV -3.05%E -0.793%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-25 17:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.83%EV -3.99%E -1.64%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-25 17:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.83%EV -3.99%E -1.64%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-25 17:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.83%EV -3.99%E -1.64%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-25 17:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.83%EV -3.99%E -1.64%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-25 17:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.83%EV -3.99%E -1.64%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-25 17:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.83%EV -3.99%E -1.64%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-25 17:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.83%EV -3.99%E -1.64%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-25 17:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.61%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-25 17:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.89%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.96%EV -9.13%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -1.80%E -0.460%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-25 17:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.86%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.71%EV -6.36%E -2.68%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-25 17:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-25 17:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-25 17:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-25 17:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.93%EV -5.37%E -2.00%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.88%EV -9.52%E -4.16%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.19%EV -2.55%E -0.659%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 17:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -6.43%E -2.43%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.28%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-25 17:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -6.43%E -2.43%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.23%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -10.61%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-25 17:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -6.43%E -2.43%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -8.34%E -3.59%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -13.13%E -3.80%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-25 17:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -6.43%E -2.43%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -8.34%E -3.59%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -13.13%E -3.80%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-25 17:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.01%EV -7.14%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.69%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-25 17:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.01%EV -7.14%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.69%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-25 17:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.01%EV -7.14%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.69%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-25 17:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.24%EV -7.14%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.03%EV -11.10%E -4.93%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-25 17:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.36%EV -7.49%E -2.86%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.57%EV -2.41%E -0.976%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -4.31%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-25 16:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.36%EV -7.49%E -2.86%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.57%EV -2.41%E -0.976%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -4.31%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-25 16:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.72%EV -7.49%E -2.86%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.32%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-25 17:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -7.49%E -2.86%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -9.13%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-25 17:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -7.49%E -2.86%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -9.13%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-25 17:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -7.49%E -2.86%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -9.13%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-25 17:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -7.49%E -2.86%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -9.13%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-25 17:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.33%EV -7.49%E -2.86%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -11.10%E -4.93%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-25 17:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -8.19%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -9.13%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -4.31%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-25 17:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -8.19%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-25 17:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -8.19%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-25 17:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -8.19%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -9.13%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-25 17:48 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -8.19%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-25 17:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -8.19%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -11.10%E -4.93%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-25 17:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-25 17:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.84%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.63%EV -9.13%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.52%EV -15.64%E -4.67%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-25 17:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.84%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.63%EV -9.13%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.52%EV -15.64%E -4.67%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-25 17:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.84%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.63%EV -9.13%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.52%EV -15.64%E -4.67%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-25 17:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -11.73%E -4.69%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.13%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-25 17:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.76%EV -11.73%E -4.69%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.74%EV -11.10%E -4.93%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.50%EV -8.09%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-25 17:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.52%EV -11.73%E -4.69%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.47%EV -11.10%E -4.93%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.01%EV -10.61%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-25 17:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.65% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.82% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.54% | 0.4% | 2026-08-25 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.06% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.76% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.18% | 0.5% | 2026-08-25 17:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.06% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.76% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.18% | 0.5% | 2026-08-25 17:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.02% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45% | 0.7% | 2026-08-25 17:55 |