Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cardiff City v Norwich City

Início: 2026-08-25 18:00 UTC

Final: Cardiff City 1–2 Norwich City

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cardiff City (Local)

Previsão 35.31%2.83odd justa
EV -1.13%
Vantagem -0.404%
Kelly -0.629%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.85%35.22%35.34%36.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.502.652.642.8040.00%37.78%37.88%35.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Norwich City (Visitante)

Previsão 39.51%2.53odd justa
EV -2.41%
Vantagem -0.976%
Kelly -1.64%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.47

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.24%39.49%39.54%41.21%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.252.352.352.4744.44%42.54%42.55%40.49%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.18%3.97odd justa
EV -1.80%
Vantagem -0.460%
Kelly -0.619%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.15%25.28%25.12%26.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.353.613.603.9029.85%27.66%27.78%25.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Cardiff City (Local): 35.31%; Norwich City (Visitante): 39.51%; Empate: 25.18%. Para Cardiff City (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.83. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.80, com valor esperado de -1.13%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Marathon Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.37%EV -1.13%E -0.404%K -0.629%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.44%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.19%EV -3.81%E -0.997%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-25 17:54
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -1.13%E -0.404%K -0.629%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -9.13%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -4.31%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-25 17:54
FanDuel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -2.90%E -1.05%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-25 17:49
Pinnacle🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.25%EV -3.60%E -1.32%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.76%EV -4.39%E -1.81%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.99%EV -3.05%E -0.793%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-25 17:20
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.68%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.06%EV -4.31%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 17:48
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.15%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.54%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 17:49
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.08%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.31%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.60%EV -3.05%E -0.793%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-25 17:54
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.83%EV -3.99%E -1.64%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-25 17:55
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.83%EV -3.99%E -1.64%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-25 17:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.83%EV -3.99%E -1.64%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-25 17:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.83%EV -3.99%E -1.64%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-25 17:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.83%EV -3.99%E -1.64%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-25 17:54
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.83%EV -3.99%E -1.64%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-25 17:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.83%EV -3.99%E -1.64%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-25 17:54
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.61%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 17:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.89%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.96%EV -9.13%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -1.80%E -0.460%K -0.619%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 17:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.86%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.71%EV -6.36%E -2.68%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-25 17:49
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-25 17:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-25 17:50
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-25 17:34
1xBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.93%EV -5.37%E -2.00%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.88%EV -9.52%E -4.16%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.19%EV -2.55%E -0.659%K -0.889%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-25 17:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -6.43%E -2.43%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.28%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 17:25
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -6.43%E -2.43%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.23%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -10.61%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-25 17:50
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -6.43%E -2.43%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -8.34%E -3.59%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -13.13%E -3.80%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-25 17:49
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -6.43%E -2.43%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -8.34%E -3.59%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -13.13%E -3.80%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-25 17:50
TABtouch🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.01%EV -7.14%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.69%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-25 17:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.01%EV -7.14%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.69%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-25 17:54
Grosvenor🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.01%EV -7.14%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.69%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-25 17:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.24%EV -7.14%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.03%EV -11.10%E -4.93%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-25 17:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.36%EV -7.49%E -2.86%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.57%EV -2.41%E -0.976%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -4.31%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 16:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.36%EV -7.49%E -2.86%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.57%EV -2.41%E -0.976%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -4.31%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 16:49
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.72%EV -7.49%E -2.86%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.32%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-25 17:14
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -7.49%E -2.86%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -9.13%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-25 17:50
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -7.49%E -2.86%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -9.13%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-25 17:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -7.49%E -2.86%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -9.13%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-25 17:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -7.49%E -2.86%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -9.13%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-25 17:49
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.33%EV -7.49%E -2.86%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -11.10%E -4.93%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-25 17:50
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -8.19%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -9.13%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -4.31%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-25 17:54
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -8.19%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-25 17:25
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -8.19%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-25 17:25
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -8.19%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -9.13%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-25 17:48
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -8.19%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-25 17:25
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -8.19%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -11.10%E -4.93%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-25 17:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-25 17:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.84%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.63%EV -9.13%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.52%EV -15.64%E -4.67%K -6.66%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-25 17:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.84%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.63%EV -9.13%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.52%EV -15.64%E -4.67%K -6.66%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-25 17:54
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.84%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.63%EV -9.13%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.52%EV -15.64%E -4.67%K -6.66%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-25 17:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -11.73%E -4.69%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.13%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-25 17:24
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.76%EV -11.73%E -4.69%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.74%EV -11.10%E -4.93%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.50%EV -8.09%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-25 17:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.52%EV -11.73%E -4.69%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.47%EV -11.10%E -4.93%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.01%EV -10.61%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-25 17:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.65%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.82%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.54%0.4%2026-08-25 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 34.06%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.76%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.18%0.5%2026-08-25 17:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 34.06%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.76%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.18%0.5%2026-08-25 17:55
Matchbook◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.02%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%0.7%2026-08-25 17:55