Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cardiff City v Norwich City

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-25 18:00 UTC

Score final : Cardiff City 1–2 Norwich City

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cardiff City (Local)

Prévision 35.31%2.83cote équitable
EV -1.13%
Avantage -0.404%
Kelly -0.629%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.85%35.22%35.34%36.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.502.652.642.8040.00%37.78%37.88%35.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Norwich City (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.51%2.53cote équitable
EV -2.41%
Avantage -0.976%
Kelly -1.64%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.47

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.24%39.49%39.54%41.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.352.352.4744.44%42.54%42.55%40.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.18%3.97cote équitable
EV -1.80%
Avantage -0.460%
Kelly -0.619%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.15%25.28%25.12%26.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.353.613.603.9029.85%27.66%27.78%25.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Cardiff City (Local) : 35.31% ; Norwich City (Visiteur) : 39.51% ; Match nul : 25.18%. Pour Cardiff City (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.83. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.80, pour une espérance de -1.13% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Marathon Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.37%EV -1.13%E -0.404%K -0.629%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.44%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.19%EV -3.81%E -0.997%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-25 17:54
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -1.13%E -0.404%K -0.629%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -9.13%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -4.31%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-25 17:54
FanDuel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -2.90%E -1.05%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-25 17:49
Pinnacle🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.25%EV -3.60%E -1.32%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.76%EV -4.39%E -1.81%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.99%EV -3.05%E -0.793%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-25 17:20
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.68%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.06%EV -4.31%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 17:48
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.15%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.54%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 17:49
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.08%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.31%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.60%EV -3.05%E -0.793%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-25 17:54
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.83%EV -3.99%E -1.64%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-25 17:55
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.83%EV -3.99%E -1.64%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-25 17:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.83%EV -3.99%E -1.64%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-25 17:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.83%EV -3.99%E -1.64%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-25 17:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.83%EV -3.99%E -1.64%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-25 17:54
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.83%EV -3.99%E -1.64%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-25 17:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.83%EV -3.99%E -1.64%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-25 17:54
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.61%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 17:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.89%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.96%EV -9.13%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -1.80%E -0.460%K -0.619%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 17:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.86%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.71%EV -6.36%E -2.68%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-25 17:49
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-25 17:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-25 17:50
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-25 17:34
1xBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.93%EV -5.37%E -2.00%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.88%EV -9.52%E -4.16%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.19%EV -2.55%E -0.659%K -0.889%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-25 17:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -6.43%E -2.43%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.28%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 17:25
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -6.43%E -2.43%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.23%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -10.61%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-25 17:50
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -6.43%E -2.43%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -8.34%E -3.59%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -13.13%E -3.80%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-25 17:49
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -6.43%E -2.43%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -8.34%E -3.59%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -13.13%E -3.80%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-25 17:50
TABtouch🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.01%EV -7.14%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.69%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-25 17:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.01%EV -7.14%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.69%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-25 17:54
Grosvenor🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.01%EV -7.14%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.69%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-25 17:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.24%EV -7.14%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.03%EV -11.10%E -4.93%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-25 17:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.36%EV -7.49%E -2.86%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.57%EV -2.41%E -0.976%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -4.31%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 16:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.36%EV -7.49%E -2.86%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.57%EV -2.41%E -0.976%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -4.31%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 16:49
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.72%EV -7.49%E -2.86%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.32%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-25 17:14
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -7.49%E -2.86%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -9.13%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-25 17:50
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -7.49%E -2.86%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -9.13%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-25 17:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -7.49%E -2.86%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -9.13%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-25 17:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -7.49%E -2.86%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -9.13%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-25 17:49
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.33%EV -7.49%E -2.86%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -11.10%E -4.93%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-25 17:50
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -8.19%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -9.13%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -4.31%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-25 17:54
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -8.19%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-25 17:25
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -8.19%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-25 17:25
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -8.19%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -9.13%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-25 17:48
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -8.19%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-25 17:25
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -8.19%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -11.10%E -4.93%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-25 17:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-25 17:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.84%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.63%EV -9.13%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.52%EV -15.64%E -4.67%K -6.66%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-25 17:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.84%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.63%EV -9.13%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.52%EV -15.64%E -4.67%K -6.66%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-25 17:54
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.84%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.63%EV -9.13%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.52%EV -15.64%E -4.67%K -6.66%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-25 17:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -11.73%E -4.69%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.13%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-25 17:24
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.76%EV -11.73%E -4.69%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.74%EV -11.10%E -4.93%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.50%EV -8.09%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-25 17:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.52%EV -11.73%E -4.69%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.47%EV -11.10%E -4.93%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.01%EV -10.61%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-25 17:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.65%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.82%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.54%0.4%2026-08-25 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 34.06%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.76%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.18%0.5%2026-08-25 17:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 34.06%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.76%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.18%0.5%2026-08-25 17:55
Matchbook◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.02%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%0.7%2026-08-25 17:55