Idioma:Español
Cardiff City v Norwich City
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cardiff City (Local)
Predicción 35.31%2.83momio equitativo
EV -1.13%
Ventaja -0.404%
Kelly -0.629%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.85%35.22%35.34%36.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.652.642.8040.00%37.78%37.88%35.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Norwich City (Visitante)
Predicción 39.51%2.53momio equitativo
EV -2.41%
Ventaja -0.976%
Kelly -1.64%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.47
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.24%39.49%39.54%41.21%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.352.352.4744.44%42.54%42.55%40.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.18%3.97momio equitativo
EV -1.80%
Ventaja -0.460%
Kelly -0.619%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.15%25.28%25.12%26.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.353.613.603.9029.85%27.66%27.78%25.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Cardiff City (Local): 35.31%; Norwich City (Visitante): 39.51%; Empate: 25.18%. Para Cardiff City (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.83. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.80, con un valor esperado de -1.13%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.37%EV -1.13%E -0.404%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.44%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.19%EV -3.81%E -0.997%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-25 17:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -1.13%E -0.404%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -9.13%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -4.31%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-25 17:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -2.90%E -1.05%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-25 17:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.25%EV -3.60%E -1.32%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.76%EV -4.39%E -1.81%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.99%EV -3.05%E -0.793%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-25 17:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.68%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.06%EV -4.31%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-25 17:48 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.15%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.54%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-25 17:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.08%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.31%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.60%EV -3.05%E -0.793%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-25 17:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.83%EV -3.99%E -1.64%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-25 17:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.83%EV -3.99%E -1.64%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-25 17:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.83%EV -3.99%E -1.64%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-25 17:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.83%EV -3.99%E -1.64%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-25 17:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.83%EV -3.99%E -1.64%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-25 17:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.83%EV -3.99%E -1.64%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-25 17:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.83%EV -3.99%E -1.64%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-25 17:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.61%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-25 17:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.89%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.96%EV -9.13%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -1.80%E -0.460%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-25 17:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.86%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.71%EV -6.36%E -2.68%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-25 17:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-25 17:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-25 17:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -4.66%E -1.73%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-25 17:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.93%EV -5.37%E -2.00%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.88%EV -9.52%E -4.16%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.19%EV -2.55%E -0.659%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-25 17:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -6.43%E -2.43%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.28%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-25 17:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -6.43%E -2.43%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.23%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -10.61%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-25 17:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -6.43%E -2.43%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -8.34%E -3.59%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -13.13%E -3.80%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-25 17:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -6.43%E -2.43%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -8.34%E -3.59%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -13.13%E -3.80%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-25 17:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.01%EV -7.14%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.69%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-25 17:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.01%EV -7.14%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.69%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-25 17:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.01%EV -7.14%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.69%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-25 17:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.24%EV -7.14%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.03%EV -11.10%E -4.93%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-25 17:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.36%EV -7.49%E -2.86%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.57%EV -2.41%E -0.976%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -4.31%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-25 16:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.36%EV -7.49%E -2.86%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.57%EV -2.41%E -0.976%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -4.31%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-25 16:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.72%EV -7.49%E -2.86%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.32%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -5.57%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-25 17:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -7.49%E -2.86%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -9.13%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-25 17:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -7.49%E -2.86%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -9.13%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-25 17:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -7.49%E -2.86%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -9.13%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-25 17:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -7.49%E -2.86%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -9.13%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-25 17:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.33%EV -7.49%E -2.86%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -11.10%E -4.93%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.87%E -3.39%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-25 17:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -8.19%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -9.13%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -4.31%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-25 17:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -8.19%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-25 17:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -8.19%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-25 17:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -8.19%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -9.13%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-25 17:48 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -8.19%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-25 17:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -8.19%E -3.15%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -11.10%E -4.93%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -14.39%E -4.23%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-25 17:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -7.15%E -3.04%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-25 17:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.84%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.63%EV -9.13%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.52%EV -15.64%E -4.67%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-25 17:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.84%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.63%EV -9.13%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.52%EV -15.64%E -4.67%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-25 17:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.84%EV -9.96%E -3.91%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.63%EV -9.13%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.52%EV -15.64%E -4.67%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-25 17:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -11.73%E -4.69%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.13%E -3.97%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -6.83%E -1.85%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-25 17:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.76%EV -11.73%E -4.69%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.74%EV -11.10%E -4.93%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.50%EV -8.09%E -2.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-25 17:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.52%EV -11.73%E -4.69%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.47%EV -11.10%E -4.93%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.01%EV -10.61%E -2.99%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-25 17:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.65% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.82% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.54% | 0.4% | 2026-08-25 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.06% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.76% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.18% | 0.5% | 2026-08-25 17:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.06% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.76% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.18% | 0.5% | 2026-08-25 17:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.02% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45% | 0.7% | 2026-08-25 17:55 |