Barnsley v Wigan Athletic

2026-08-08 16:00 — EFL Cup

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (4 in analysis)

Option 1: Barnsley (Local)

Odds

2.1047.62%Min

2.1346.99%Mean

2.1247.17%Median

2.2245.05%Max

Consensus probabilities

42.19%2.370Min

43.40%2.304Max

42.86%2.333Mean

42.74%2.340Median

42.74%2.340IQM

42.92%2.330Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.22 under the IQM model: 42.74%

EV -5.11%Edge -2.30%Kelly -4.19%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Wigan Athletic (Visit)

Odds

3.0033.33%Min

3.0632.65%Mean

3.0532.79%Median

3.2031.25%Max

Consensus probabilities

29.16%3.430Min

29.96%3.338Max

29.64%3.374Mean

29.74%3.362Median

29.74%3.362IQM

29.59%3.380Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.20 under the IQM model: 29.74%

EV -4.82%Edge -1.51%Kelly -2.19%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds

3.2530.77%Min

3.3030.34%Mean

3.2530.77%Median

3.4029.41%Max

Consensus probabilities

27.19%3.678Min

27.88%3.587Max

27.50%3.636Mean

27.51%3.635Median

27.51%3.635IQM

27.50%3.637Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.40 under the IQM model: 27.51%

EV -6.46%Edge -1.90%Kelly -2.69%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Barnsley (Local) ▼	Wigan Athletic (Visit)	Draw	Margin	Updated
1xBet	2.22I 45.05% NM 42.19%EV -5.11% E -2.30% K -4.19% G +0.000%	3.13I 31.95% NM 29.93%EV -6.90% E -2.20% K -3.24% G +0.000%	3.36I 29.76% NM 27.88%EV -7.56% E -2.25% K -3.20% G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-07-03 15:45
Betr (AU)	2.20I 45.45% NM 42.83%EV -5.97% E -2.71% K -4.97% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 29.45%EV -4.82% E -1.51% K -2.19% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 27.72%EV -6.46% E -1.90% K -2.69% G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-06-30 02:59
FanDuel	2.15I 46.51% NM 43.40%EV -8.10% E -3.77% K -7.05% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 29.16%EV -4.82% E -1.51% K -2.19% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 27.44%EV -6.46% E -1.90% K -2.69% G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-06-26 14:39
SportsBet	2.15I 46.51% NM 42.99%EV -8.10% E -3.77% K -7.05% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.82%EV -7.79% E -2.51% K -3.71% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 27.19%EV -6.46% E -1.90% K -2.69% G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-06-26 11:49
Paddy Power	2.15I 46.51% NM 42.99%EV -8.10% E -3.77% K -7.05% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.82%EV -7.79% E -2.51% K -3.71% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 27.19%EV -6.46% E -1.90% K -2.69% G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-06-26 11:48
Sky Bet	2.15I 46.51% NM 42.99%EV -8.10% E -3.77% K -7.05% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.82%EV -7.79% E -2.51% K -3.71% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 27.19%EV -6.46% E -1.90% K -2.69% G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-06-26 14:29
LeoVegas	2.12I 47.17% NM 43.16%EV -9.38% E -4.43% K -8.38% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.52%EV -7.79% E -2.51% K -3.71% G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85% NM 27.32%EV -7.84% E -2.34% K -3.33% G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-07-02 10:20
BetRivers	2.12I 47.17% NM 42.60%EV -9.38% E -4.43% K -8.38% G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79% NM 29.61%EV -9.28% E -3.04% K -4.53% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 27.79%EV -10.59% E -3.26% K -4.70% G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-06-30 05:19
betPARX	2.12I 47.17% NM 42.60%EV -9.38% E -4.43% K -8.38% G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79% NM 29.61%EV -9.28% E -3.04% K -4.53% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 27.79%EV -10.59% E -3.26% K -4.70% G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-06-30 08:09
Unibet (SE)	2.12I 47.17% NM 42.60%EV -9.38% E -4.43% K -8.38% G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79% NM 29.61%EV -9.28% E -3.04% K -4.53% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 27.79%EV -10.59% E -3.26% K -4.70% G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-06-30 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)	2.12I 47.17% NM 42.60%EV -9.38% E -4.43% K -8.38% G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79% NM 29.61%EV -9.28% E -3.04% K -4.53% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 27.79%EV -10.59% E -3.26% K -4.70% G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-06-30 08:30
Unibet (NL)	2.12I 47.17% NM 42.60%EV -9.38% E -4.43% K -8.38% G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79% NM 29.61%EV -9.28% E -3.04% K -4.53% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 27.79%EV -10.59% E -3.26% K -4.70% G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-06-30 08:29
Grosvenor	2.12I 47.17% NM 42.60%EV -9.38% E -4.43% K -8.38% G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79% NM 29.61%EV -9.28% E -3.04% K -4.53% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 27.79%EV -10.59% E -3.26% K -4.70% G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-06-30 08:29
LiveScore Bet	2.12I 47.17% NM 42.60%EV -9.38% E -4.43% K -8.38% G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79% NM 29.61%EV -9.28% E -3.04% K -4.53% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 27.79%EV -10.59% E -3.26% K -4.70% G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-06-30 08:29
Virgin Bet	2.12I 47.17% NM 42.60%EV -9.38% E -4.43% K -8.38% G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79% NM 29.61%EV -9.28% E -3.04% K -4.53% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 27.79%EV -10.59% E -3.26% K -4.70% G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-06-30 08:29
Casumo	2.12I 47.17% NM 42.60%EV -9.38% E -4.43% K -8.38% G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79% NM 29.61%EV -9.28% E -3.04% K -4.53% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 27.79%EV -10.59% E -3.26% K -4.70% G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-06-30 08:29
ATG (SE)	2.12I 47.17% NM 42.60%EV -9.38% E -4.43% K -8.38% G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79% NM 29.61%EV -9.28% E -3.04% K -4.53% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 27.79%EV -10.59% E -3.26% K -4.70% G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-06-30 08:29
Svenska Spel	2.12I 47.17% NM 42.60%EV -9.38% E -4.43% K -8.38% G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79% NM 29.61%EV -9.28% E -3.04% K -4.53% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 27.79%EV -10.59% E -3.26% K -4.70% G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-06-30 08:29
TABtouch	2.12I 47.17% NM 42.60%EV -9.38% E -4.43% K -8.38% G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79% NM 29.61%EV -9.28% E -3.04% K -4.53% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 27.79%EV -10.59% E -3.26% K -4.70% G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-06-30 08:39
Unibet	2.12I 47.17% NM 42.60%EV -9.38% E -4.43% K -8.38% G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79% NM 29.61%EV -9.28% E -3.04% K -4.53% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 27.79%EV -10.59% E -3.26% K -4.70% G +0.000%	10.7%	2026-06-30 08:39
William Hill	2.10I 47.62% NM 42.80%EV -10.24% E -4.88% K -9.31% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 29.96%EV -10.77% E -3.59% K -5.38% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 27.24%EV -9.21% E -2.79% K -4.00% G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-06-30 14:00
888sport	2.10I 47.62% NM 42.80%EV -10.24% E -4.88% K -9.31% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 29.96%EV -10.77% E -3.59% K -5.38% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 27.24%EV -9.21% E -2.79% K -4.00% G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-06-30 14:09
888sport (SE)	2.10I 47.62% NM 42.80%EV -10.24% E -4.88% K -9.31% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 29.96%EV -10.77% E -3.59% K -5.38% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 27.24%EV -9.21% E -2.79% K -4.00% G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-06-30 14:09
Mr Green (SE)	2.10I 47.62% NM 42.80%EV -10.24% E -4.88% K -9.31% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 29.96%EV -10.77% E -3.59% K -5.38% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 27.24%EV -9.21% E -2.79% K -4.00% G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-06-30 14:19
BoyleSports	2.10I 47.62% NM 42.62%EV -10.24% E -4.88% K -9.31% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 29.84%EV -10.77% E -3.59% K -5.38% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 27.54%EV -10.59% E -3.26% K -4.70% G +0.000%	11.7%	2026-06-27 15:10
Coolbet	1.00I 100.00% NM 33.33%EV -57.26% E -57.26% K +0.000% G +0.000%	1.00I 100.00% NM 33.33%EV -70.26% E -70.26% K +0.000% G +0.000%	1.00I 100.00% NM 33.33%EV -72.49% E -72.49% K +0.000% G +0.000%	200.0%	2026-06-26 11:49

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

Bookmaker	Barnsley (Local)	Wigan Athletic (Visit)	Draw	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.04I 96.15%	1.04I 96.15%	1.02I 98.04%	190.3%	2026-06-26 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.04I 96.15%	1.04I 96.15%	1.02I 98.04%	190.3%	2026-06-26 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.04I 96.15%	1.04I 96.15%	1.02I 98.04%	190.3%	2026-06-26 15:29