Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Barnsley v Wigan Athletic

Kickoff: 2026-08-08 14:00 UTC

Final: Barnsley 1–1 Wigan Athletic

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Barnsley (Local)

Prediction 38.26%2.61fair odd
EV -1.68%
Edge -0.653%
Kelly -1.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.05%38.22%38.26%39.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.232.392.402.5744.84%41.82%41.67%38.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wigan Athletic (Visit)

Prediction 34.76%2.88fair odd
EV -2.67%
Edge -0.954%
Kelly -1.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.53%34.72%34.75%35.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.472.672.682.8040.49%37.49%37.31%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.98%3.71fair odd
EV -5.56%
Edge -1.59%
Kelly -2.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.33%27.06%26.99%28.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.413.423.5030.77%29.29%29.24%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Barnsley (Local): 38.26%; Wigan Athletic (Visit): 34.76%; Draw: 26.98%. For Barnsley (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.61. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.57, with an expected value of -1.68%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.05%EV -1.68%E -0.653%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -7.19%E -2.69%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.28%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 13:45
1xBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.25%EV -3.97%E -1.58%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.41%EV -8.23%E -3.12%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.34%EV -7.72%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 13:49
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -6.15%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 13:40
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -6.15%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 13:38
Marathon Bet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 37.42%EV -4.74%E -1.90%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.57%EV -8.93%E -3.41%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -6.91%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 13:45
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -4.41%E -1.60%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 19:55
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -4.41%E -1.60%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 06:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.15%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -4.41%E -1.60%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 06:25
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -4.41%E -1.60%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 06:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -4.41%E -1.60%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 07:45
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -7.89%E -2.98%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 13:39
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -7.89%E -2.98%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 13:40
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.15%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 13:44
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -8.93%E -3.41%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -12.31%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 13:45
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -8.93%E -3.41%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -12.31%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 13:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -8.93%E -3.41%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -12.31%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 13:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -8.93%E -3.41%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -12.31%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 13:45
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.09%EV -7.42%E -3.07%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.39%EV -6.84%E -2.55%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 09:45
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.09%EV -7.42%E -3.07%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.39%EV -6.84%E -2.55%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 09:45
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -2.67%E -0.954%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 05:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -2.67%E -0.954%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 07:04
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -4.41%E -1.60%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:44
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -8.93%E -3.41%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 13:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -7.89%E -2.98%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 13:29
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -7.89%E -2.98%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 13:34
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -8.95%E -3.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -9.62%E -3.70%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 13:39
LeoVegas🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -8.95%E -3.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -9.62%E -3.70%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 13:44
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -8.95%E -3.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -13.10%E -5.24%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -12.31%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-08 13:40
NetBet (FR)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.35%EV -9.33%E -3.94%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 35.83%EV -14.14%E -5.73%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-08 13:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.74%EV -10.10%E -4.30%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 34.48%EV -8.23%E -3.12%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 13:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.74%EV -10.10%E -4.30%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 34.48%EV -8.23%E -3.12%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 13:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -10.10%E -4.30%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%EV -9.62%E -3.70%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -6.91%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 13:44
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -10.10%E -4.30%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -7.89%E -2.98%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 13:05
betPARX🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -10.86%E -4.66%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -6.15%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -10.86%E -4.66%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -6.15%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -10.86%E -4.66%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -6.15%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -10.86%E -4.66%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -6.15%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:50
Grosvenor🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -10.86%E -4.66%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -6.15%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:50
Casumo🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -10.86%E -4.66%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -6.15%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -10.86%E -4.66%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -6.15%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -10.86%E -4.66%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -6.15%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:49
TABtouch🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -10.86%E -4.66%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -6.15%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:49
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -10.86%E -4.66%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -6.15%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:50
BetRivers🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -11.24%E -4.85%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -4.41%E -1.60%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -6.91%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.63%EV -12.01%E -5.22%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.84%EV -11.36%E -4.46%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.52%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 13:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.63%EV -14.69%E -6.59%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.99%EV -9.62%E -3.70%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-08 13:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.63%EV -14.69%E -6.59%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.99%EV -9.62%E -3.70%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-08 13:49
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.63%EV -14.69%E -6.59%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.99%EV -9.62%E -3.70%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-08 13:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.33%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.09%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.58%0.3%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.33%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.09%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.58%0.3%2026-08-08 13:55
Matchbook2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.25%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-08-08 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.14%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44%0.8%2026-08-08 13:45

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