La escuela de los momios

Barnsley v Wigan Athletic

2026-08-08 14:00 UTC — EFL Cup

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Barnsley (Local)

Predicción 39.47%2.53momio equitativo
EV -5.26%
Ventaja -2.19%
Kelly -3.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.36%39.63%39.51%42.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.122.262.302.4047.17%44.17%43.48%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Wigan Athletic (Visitante)

Predicción 33.26%3.01momio equitativo
EV +1.43%
Ventaja +0.469%
Kelly +0.698%
Crecimiento +0.010%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.61%33.09%33.29%34.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.452.842.803.0540.82%35.24%35.71%32.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.27%3.67momio equitativo
EV -1.83%
Ventaja -0.508%
Kelly -0.704%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.92%27.28%27.20%28.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.153.343.303.6031.75%29.97%30.30%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 42.60%EV -16.31%E -7.70%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV +1.43%E +0.469%K +0.698%G +0.010%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 05:19
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 42.60%EV -16.31%E -7.70%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV +1.43%E +0.469%K +0.698%G +0.010%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:09
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.60%EV -16.31%E -7.70%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV +1.43%E +0.469%K +0.698%G +0.010%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.60%EV -16.31%E -7.70%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV +1.43%E +0.469%K +0.698%G +0.010%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:30
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.60%EV -16.31%E -7.70%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV +1.43%E +0.469%K +0.698%G +0.010%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:29
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 42.60%EV -16.31%E -7.70%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV +1.43%E +0.469%K +0.698%G +0.010%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:29
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.60%EV -16.31%E -7.70%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV +1.43%E +0.469%K +0.698%G +0.010%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:29
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.60%EV -16.31%E -7.70%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV +1.43%E +0.469%K +0.698%G +0.010%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:29
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 42.60%EV -16.31%E -7.70%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV +1.43%E +0.469%K +0.698%G +0.010%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:29
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.60%EV -16.31%E -7.70%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV +1.43%E +0.469%K +0.698%G +0.010%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:29
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 42.60%EV -16.31%E -7.70%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV +1.43%E +0.469%K +0.698%G +0.010%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:29
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 42.60%EV -16.31%E -7.70%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV +1.43%E +0.469%K +0.698%G +0.010%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:39
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.60%EV -16.31%E -7.70%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV +1.43%E +0.469%K +0.698%G +0.010%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 08:39
PMU (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.60%EV -16.31%E -7.70%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV +1.43%E +0.469%K +0.698%G +0.010%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-16 14:05
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 39.65%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.16%EV -4.56%E -1.59%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 19:19
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -5.22%E -1.83%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 02:39
1xBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.06%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.36%EV -6.55%E -2.33%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-21 14:30
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.23%E -3.08%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.88%E -2.46%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 14:30
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -6.05%E -2.54%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.88%E -2.46%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -6.05%E -2.54%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.88%E -2.46%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 21:55
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -6.05%E -2.54%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.88%E -2.46%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 21:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.32%EV -6.44%E -2.72%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -6.88%E -2.46%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-21 21:55
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 38.89%EV -6.05%E -2.54%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%EV -6.88%E -2.46%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-21 19:20
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.88%E -2.46%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-22 20:58
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -6.88%E -2.46%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-21 19:20
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -6.88%E -2.46%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-21 19:50
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -6.88%E -2.46%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-21 19:50
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -6.05%E -2.54%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.36%EV -7.55%E -2.72%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-23 02:50
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -6.05%E -2.54%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.36%EV -7.55%E -2.72%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-23 02:49
Pinnacle2.36I 42.37%NM 39.71%EV -6.84%E -2.90%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.96%EV -8.21%E -2.98%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.33%EV -2.92%E -0.820%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-21 14:30
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -5.26%E -2.19%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.55%E -3.11%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -1.83%E -0.508%K -0.704%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-21 14:30
SportsBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.23%E -3.08%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -8.55%E -3.11%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 14:30
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.55%E -3.11%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-21 14:29
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.55%E -3.11%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-21 14:30
Unibet (UK)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.23%E -3.08%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -8.55%E -3.11%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-22 08:50
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 40.11%EV -11.58%E -5.17%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.67%EV -8.55%E -3.11%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-21 19:20
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 40.11%EV -11.58%E -5.17%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.67%EV -8.55%E -3.11%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-21 19:20
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -7.23%E -3.08%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -10.21%E -3.78%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 06:59
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -7.23%E -3.08%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -10.21%E -3.78%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-23 14:32
betano_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -10.21%E -3.78%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-21 19:18
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -10.21%E -3.78%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -7.28%E -2.14%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-21 19:20
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -11.18%E -4.97%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -10.21%E -3.78%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-22 13:34
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.21%E -4.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -12.87%E -4.91%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-23 14:35
NetBet (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 39.25%EV -12.37%E -5.57%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.52%EV -13.53%E -5.21%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.23%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-22 13:34
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.38%EV -13.16%E -5.98%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.97%EV -15.20%E -5.96%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.65%EV -11.37%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-22 15:39
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 39.06%EV -15.13%E -7.04%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.28%EV -18.52%E -7.56%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.66%EV -14.10%E -4.48%K -6.56%G +0.000%19.1%2026-07-22 15:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 39.07%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.53%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%5.8%2026-07-25 23:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 39.07%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.53%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%5.8%2026-07-25 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 39.07%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.53%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%5.8%2026-07-25 23:30