Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Barnsley v Wigan Athletic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-08 14:00 UTC

Score final : Barnsley 1–1 Wigan Athletic

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Barnsley (Local)

Prévision 38.26%2.61cote équitable
EV -1.68%
Avantage -0.653%
Kelly -1.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.05%38.22%38.26%39.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.232.392.402.5744.84%41.82%41.67%38.91%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Wigan Athletic (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.76%2.88cote équitable
EV -2.67%
Avantage -0.954%
Kelly -1.48%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.53%34.72%34.75%35.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.472.672.682.8040.49%37.49%37.31%35.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.98%3.71cote équitable
EV -5.56%
Avantage -1.59%
Kelly -2.22%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.33%27.06%26.99%28.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.413.423.5030.77%29.29%29.24%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Barnsley (Local) : 38.26% ; Wigan Athletic (Visiteur) : 34.76% ; Match nul : 26.98%. Pour Barnsley (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.61. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.57, pour une espérance de -1.68% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.05%EV -1.68%E -0.653%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -7.19%E -2.69%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.28%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 13:45
1xBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.25%EV -3.97%E -1.58%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.41%EV -8.23%E -3.12%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.34%EV -7.72%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 13:49
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -6.15%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 13:40
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -6.15%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 13:38
Marathon Bet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 37.42%EV -4.74%E -1.90%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.57%EV -8.93%E -3.41%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -6.91%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 13:45
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -4.41%E -1.60%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 19:55
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -4.41%E -1.60%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 06:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.15%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -4.41%E -1.60%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 06:25
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -4.41%E -1.60%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 06:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -4.41%E -1.60%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 07:45
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -7.89%E -2.98%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 13:39
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -7.89%E -2.98%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 13:40
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.15%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 13:44
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -8.93%E -3.41%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -12.31%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 13:45
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -8.93%E -3.41%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -12.31%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 13:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -8.93%E -3.41%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -12.31%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 13:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -8.93%E -3.41%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -12.31%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 13:45
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.09%EV -7.42%E -3.07%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.39%EV -6.84%E -2.55%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 09:45
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.09%EV -7.42%E -3.07%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.39%EV -6.84%E -2.55%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 09:45
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -2.67%E -0.954%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 05:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -2.67%E -0.954%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 07:04
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -4.41%E -1.60%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:44
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -8.93%E -3.41%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 13:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -7.89%E -2.98%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 13:29
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -7.89%E -2.98%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 13:34
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -8.95%E -3.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -9.62%E -3.70%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 13:39
LeoVegas🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -8.95%E -3.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -9.62%E -3.70%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 13:44
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -8.95%E -3.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -13.10%E -5.24%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -12.31%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-08 13:40
NetBet (FR)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.35%EV -9.33%E -3.94%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 35.83%EV -14.14%E -5.73%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-08 13:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.74%EV -10.10%E -4.30%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 34.48%EV -8.23%E -3.12%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 13:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.74%EV -10.10%E -4.30%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 34.48%EV -8.23%E -3.12%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 13:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -10.10%E -4.30%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%EV -9.62%E -3.70%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -6.91%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 13:44
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -10.10%E -4.30%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -7.89%E -2.98%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 13:05
betPARX🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -10.86%E -4.66%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -6.15%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -10.86%E -4.66%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -6.15%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -10.86%E -4.66%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -6.15%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -10.86%E -4.66%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -6.15%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:50
Grosvenor🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -10.86%E -4.66%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -6.15%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:50
Casumo🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -10.86%E -4.66%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -6.15%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -10.86%E -4.66%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -6.15%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -10.86%E -4.66%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -6.15%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:49
TABtouch🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -10.86%E -4.66%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -6.15%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:49
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -10.86%E -4.66%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -6.15%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:50
BetRivers🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -11.24%E -4.85%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -4.41%E -1.60%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -6.91%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.63%EV -12.01%E -5.22%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.84%EV -11.36%E -4.46%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.52%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 13:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.63%EV -14.69%E -6.59%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.99%EV -9.62%E -3.70%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-08 13:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.63%EV -14.69%E -6.59%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.99%EV -9.62%E -3.70%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-08 13:49
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.63%EV -14.69%E -6.59%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.99%EV -9.62%E -3.70%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-08 13:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.33%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.09%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.58%0.3%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.33%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.09%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.58%0.3%2026-08-08 13:55
Matchbook2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.25%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-08-08 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.14%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44%0.8%2026-08-08 13:45