Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Barnsley v Wigan Athletic

Início: 2026-08-08 14:00 UTC

Final: Barnsley 1–1 Wigan Athletic

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Barnsley (Local)

Previsão 38.26%2.61odd justa
EV -1.68%
Vantagem -0.653%
Kelly -1.07%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.57

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.05%38.22%38.26%39.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.232.392.402.5744.84%41.82%41.67%38.91%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Wigan Athletic (Visitante)

Previsão 34.76%2.88odd justa
EV -2.67%
Vantagem -0.954%
Kelly -1.48%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.53%34.72%34.75%35.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.472.672.682.8040.49%37.49%37.31%35.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.98%3.71odd justa
EV -5.56%
Vantagem -1.59%
Kelly -2.22%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.33%27.06%26.99%28.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.413.423.5030.77%29.29%29.24%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Barnsley (Local): 38.26%; Wigan Athletic (Visitante): 34.76%; Empate: 26.98%. Para Barnsley (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.61. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.57, com valor esperado de -1.68%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.05%EV -1.68%E -0.653%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -7.19%E -2.69%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.28%EV -5.83%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 13:45
1xBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.25%EV -3.97%E -1.58%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.41%EV -8.23%E -3.12%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.34%EV -7.72%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 13:49
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -6.15%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 13:40
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.36%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -6.15%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 13:38
Marathon Bet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 37.42%EV -4.74%E -1.90%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.57%EV -8.93%E -3.41%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -6.91%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 13:45
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -4.41%E -1.60%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 19:55
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -4.41%E -1.60%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 06:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.15%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -4.41%E -1.60%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 06:25
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -4.41%E -1.60%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 06:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -4.41%E -1.60%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 07:45
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -7.89%E -2.98%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 13:39
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -7.89%E -2.98%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 13:40
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.15%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 13:44
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -8.93%E -3.41%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -12.31%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 13:45
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -8.93%E -3.41%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -12.31%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 13:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -8.93%E -3.41%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -12.31%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 13:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -6.27%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -8.93%E -3.41%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -12.31%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 13:45
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.09%EV -7.42%E -3.07%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.39%EV -6.84%E -2.55%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 09:45
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.09%EV -7.42%E -3.07%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.39%EV -6.84%E -2.55%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 09:45
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -2.67%E -0.954%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 05:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -2.67%E -0.954%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 07:04
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -4.41%E -1.60%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 13:44
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -8.93%E -3.41%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 13:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -7.89%E -2.98%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 13:29
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.18%E -3.41%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -7.89%E -2.98%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 13:34
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -8.95%E -3.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -9.62%E -3.70%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 13:39
LeoVegas🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -8.95%E -3.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -9.62%E -3.70%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 13:44
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -8.95%E -3.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -13.10%E -5.24%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -12.31%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-08 13:40
NetBet (FR)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.35%EV -9.33%E -3.94%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 35.83%EV -14.14%E -5.73%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-08 13:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.74%EV -10.10%E -4.30%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 34.48%EV -8.23%E -3.12%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 13:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.74%EV -10.10%E -4.30%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 34.48%EV -8.23%E -3.12%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 13:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -10.10%E -4.30%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%EV -9.62%E -3.70%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -6.91%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 13:44
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -10.10%E -4.30%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -7.89%E -2.98%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 13:05
betPARX🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -10.86%E -4.66%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -6.15%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -10.86%E -4.66%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -6.15%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -10.86%E -4.66%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -6.15%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -10.86%E -4.66%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -6.15%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:50
Grosvenor🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -10.86%E -4.66%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -6.15%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:50
Casumo🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -10.86%E -4.66%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -6.15%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -10.86%E -4.66%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -6.15%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -10.86%E -4.66%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -6.15%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:49
TABtouch🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -10.86%E -4.66%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -6.15%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:49
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -10.86%E -4.66%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -6.15%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.56%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:50
BetRivers🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -11.24%E -4.85%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -4.41%E -1.60%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -6.91%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.63%EV -12.01%E -5.22%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.84%EV -11.36%E -4.46%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.52%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 13:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.63%EV -14.69%E -6.59%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.99%EV -9.62%E -3.70%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-08 13:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.63%EV -14.69%E -6.59%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.99%EV -9.62%E -3.70%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-08 13:49
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.63%EV -14.69%E -6.59%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.99%EV -9.62%E -3.70%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-08 13:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.33%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.09%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.58%0.3%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.33%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.09%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.58%0.3%2026-08-08 13:55
Matchbook2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.25%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-08-08 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.14%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44%0.8%2026-08-08 13:45